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FRIDAY, APRIL 30, 2021

Industrial Society and Its Future

A Manifesto by Ted Kaczynski

Eric Lee, A-SOCIATED PRESS

TOPICS: HUMAN CENTRIC, POLITICAL, FROM THE WIRES, THINKING POLITICAL SOLUTIONS

Abstract: In 1995, Ted Kaczynski known only to the FBI and media as the Unabomber, got the Washington Post to publish his manifesto by agreeing to stop his bombings if one or both published it. I suspect that may have been his plan from the beginning, to get his message 'out there', so further acts of terrorism would be pointless unless hundreds of other revolutionaries were also out there on the margins of techno-industrial society willing to attack it. There were not any, as it turned out, who understood the whys of an anti-tech revolution, but who could have known otherwise?

COOS BAY (A-P) — I don't recall reading the manifesto in 1995. I could have gone to a library, but probably didn't. I recall media coverage. More recently I gave the manifesto a more 'careful hearing' and read Technological Slavery (2010) and bought his newer book Anti-Tech Revolution: Why and How  (2016) because I thought it obvious that he didn't kill and injure a few people because he was crazy, ideologically driven, misanthropic, or hoped to change (much less destroy) techno-industrial society thereby, at least not directly, but perhaps by setting an example. and getting his manifesto widely read.

After three years of serving the system as Berkley's youngest professor (1967-69) to make enough money to acquire a bit of remote property in Montana to build a small cabin on, he began to recover from his upbringing. There was a special place that took him two days to walk to, that looked like pristine Nature. On one trip into what he was viewing as true wilderness, he found a road had been punched through the area and the forest was being industrially logged. On the way back to his cabin, something snapped or clicked, and his trajectory was forever changed. (Per Wikipedia this was in 1983, but the source of the source cited is a novel. I don't know the year, but 1975 would be credible.)

My guess is that it was not known to him in 1978, or until some time after 1995 (or to anyone else), whether or not there were perhaps enough relatively high functioning humans out there willing and able to show a little courage, work together, and destroy techno-industrial society. He did get his manifesto publish in a major outlet (the Earth First Journal would not have been) to get some ideas out there that could have had a different outcome (revolution). If his revolution had worked, posterity might have had a different view of his endeavor. If he hadn't done what he did, I wouldn't have known that there were too few 'out there' able to foresee long-term outcomes or 'take up arms against a sea of troubles'.

If taking up arms was a viable potential solution, I'd look into it. As it is, fighting to see who inherits the rubble seems a fool's game. Kaczynski was intensively schooled in mathematics by the system to serve the system. He had no apparent interest in applied math nor the science it served. He knew too little history and less science, no systems science and so was clearly inecolate like virtually all products of the schooling system were then or are now. His only hammer was revolution of a sort that looks like political revolution (calls for mass upraising) with the added aim of changing the economy and the state of our being had by technology.

 

The Unabomber Manifesto

This is the text of a 34,838-word manifesto as submitted to The Washington Post and the New York Times by the serial mail bomber called the Unabomber. This document contains corrections that appeared in the Friday, Sept. 22, 1995 editions of Washington Post. The text was sent in June, 1995 to The New York Times and The Washington Post by the person who calls himself “FC,” identified by the FBI as the Unabomber, who killed three people and injured 23 in 16 mail bombing attacks. The author threatened to send a bomb to an unspecified destination “with intent to kill” unless one of the newspapers published this manuscript. The Attorney General and the Director of the FBI recommended publication as an eight page insert.

INDUSTRIAL SOCIETY AND ITS FUTURE

Introduction, The Psychology of Modern Leftism, Feelings of Inferiority, Oversocialization, Surrogate Activities, Autonomy, Sources of Social Problems, How Some People Adjust, The Motives of Scientists, The Nature of Freedom, Some Principles of History, Industrial-technological Society Cannot Be Reformed, Restriction of Freedom Is Unavoidable in Industrial Society, The Bad Parts of Technology Cannot Be Separated from the Good Parts, Technology Is a More Powerful Social Force than the Aspiration for Freedom, Simpler Social Problems Have Proved Intractable, Revolution Is Easier than Reform, Control Of Human Behavior, Human Race at a Crossroads, Human Suffering, The Future, Strategy, Two Kinds of Technology, The Danger of Leftism, Final Note

Response




Introduction

1. The Industrial Revolution and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race. They have greatly increased the life-expectancy of those of us who live in “advanced” countries, but they have destabilized society, have made life unfulfilling, have subjected human beings to indignities, have led to widespread psychological suffering (in the Third World to physical suffering as well) and have inflicted severe damage on the natural world. The continued development of technology will worsen the situation. It will certainly subject human beings to greater indignities and inflict greater damage on the natural world, it will probably lead to greater social disruption and psychological suffering, and it may lead to increased physical suffering even in “advanced” countries.

Modern techno-industrial (MTI) society started about 1450 in Europe to become global about 1950. It (and all prior empire-building complex societies) exceeded environmental and social density limits to benefit elites over commoners whom legions of merely eloquent wordsmiths (e.g. priests and politicians), aligned with (whose bread they eat) to serve and sing for all to hear of the benefits of complex growth society.

2. The industrial-technological system may survive or it may break down. If it survives, it MAY eventually achieve a low level of physical and psychological suffering, but only after passing through a long and very painful period of adjustment and only at the cost of permanently reducing human beings and many other living organisms to engineered products and mere cogs in the social machine. Furthermore, if the system survives, the consequences will be inevitable: There is no way of reforming or modifying the system so as to prevent it from depriving people of dignity and autonomy.


We Anthropocene enthusiasts are presiding over the greatest mass extinction event since the late Cretaceous, one that could exceed that of the Permian. After perhaps 8-12 generations of urban overdensity service to the system, the human behavioral sink, loss of functional behavior, is perhaps irreversible.

3. If the system breaks down the consequences will still be very painful. But the bigger the system grows the more disastrous the results of its breakdown will be, so if it is to break down it had best break down sooner rather than later.

The bigger modern techno-industrial (MTI) society gets, the harder it will fall. Outcomes will mostly be unintended and unpredictable.

4. We therefore advocate a revolution against the industrial system. This revolution may or may not make use of violence; it may be sudden or it may be a relatively gradual process spanning a few decades. We can’t predict any of that. But we do outline in a very general way the measures that those who hate the industrial system should take in order to prepare the way for a revolution against that form of society. This is not to be a POLITICAL revolution. Its object will be to overthrow not governments but the economic and technological basis of the present society.

I suggest humans stand down and consider loving and understanding Gaia they are subsystems of, to be delivered from their hubris ways. A few heads may up on pikes, but the need is for an apolitical compassionate rxevolution that involves far more than changing the political system which may involve temporarily hijacking the political system.

5. In this article we give attention to only some of the negative developments that have grown out of the industrial-technological system. Other such developments we mention only briefly or ignore altogether. This does not mean that we regard these other developments as unimportant. For practical reasons we have to confine our discussion to areas that have received insufficient public attention or in which we have something new to say. For example, since there are well-developed environmental and wilderness movements, we have written very little about environmental degradation or the destruction of wild nature, even though we consider these to be highly important.

The list of errors, ignorance, and illusions of we humans of NIMH is long and evident. We need to endeavor to think in systems, to understand carrying capacity, overshoot, and descent to manage as prosperous a way down as possible. Keep your eye on the ball and the long-term prize of persisting as a species by following Nature's laws.


THE PSYCHOLOGY OF MODERN LEFTISM


THE LEFT-LEANING POLITICAL SPECTRUM

6. Almost everyone will agree that we live in a deeply troubled society. One of the most widespread manifestations of the craziness of our world is leftism, so a discussion of the psychology of leftism can serve as an introduction to the discussion of the problems of modern society in general.

In the post-truth society, the only thing the left agrees upon is that the right is wrong about everything, so don't use any words they use and obfuscate as needed.

7. But what is leftism? During the first half of the 20th century leftism could have been practically identified with socialism. Today the movement is fragmented and it is not clear who can properly be called a leftist. When we speak of leftists in this article we have in mind mainly socialists, collectivists, “politically correct” types, feminists, gay and disability activists, animal rights activists and the like. But not everyone who is associated with one of these movements is a leftist. What we are trying to get at in discussing leftism is not so much movement or an ideology as a psychological type, or rather a collection of related types. Thus, what we mean by “leftism” will emerge more clearly in the course of our discussion of leftist psychology. (Also, see paragraphs 227-230.)

The concept 'right and left' comes from 1789 France and is neither good nor bad. Non-autocracies select for two parties that vie to serve the system. A more telling name would be Tweedledum and Tweedledee Parties. Each will be blamed for any issues of displeasure and so will take turns serving the growth hegemon. Democracy merely proved to be the most efficient, in the 20th century, at serving the system.

8. Even so, our conception of leftism will remain a good deal less clear than we would wish, but there doesn’t seem to be any remedy for this. All we are trying to do here is indicate in a rough and approximate way the two psychological tendencies that we believe are the main driving force of modern leftism. We by no means claim to be telling the WHOLE truth about leftist psychology. Also, our discussion is meant to apply to modern leftism only. We leave open the question of the extent to which our discussion could be applied to the leftists of the 19th and early 20th centuries.

Any two parties could also be called the BAU Party and the BAU-in-Sheep's Clothing Party. Understanding the dynamics of the political system is what matters as doing so, understanding the pathology of the system, may deliver humans from it.

9. The two psychological tendencies that underlie modern leftism we call “feelings of inferiority” and “oversocialization.” Feelings of inferiority are characteristic of modern leftism as a whole, while oversocialization is characteristic only of a certain segment of modern leftism; but this segment is highly influential.

The two pathologies of the left-leaning are feelings of superiority to compensate for felt inferiority and love of mere eloquence and consensus thinking, i.e. concept mongering.


FEELINGS OF INFERIORITY


10. By “feelings of inferiority” we mean not only inferiority feelings in the strict sense but a whole spectrum of related traits; low self-esteem, feelings of powerlessness, depressive tendencies, defeatism, guilt, self- hatred, etc. We argue that modern leftists tend to have some such feelings (possibly more or less repressed) and that these feelings are decisive in determining the direction of modern leftism.

Their feeling of superiority are perfectly matched by the right-leaning, but the right feel their values are superior and the left are certain their ideology is superior. The further toward either extreme, the greater the certainty.

11. When someone interprets as derogatory almost anything that is said about him (or about groups with whom he identifies) we conclude that he has inferiority feelings or low self-esteem. This tendency is pronounced among minority rights activists, whether or not they belong to the minority groups whose rights they defend. They are hypersensitive about the words used to designate minorities and about anything that is said concerning minorities. The terms “negro,” “oriental,” “handicapped” or “chick” for an African, an Asian, a disabled person or a woman originally had no derogatory connotation. “Broad” and “chick” were merely the feminine equivalents of “guy,” “dude” or “fellow.” The negative connotations have been attached to these terms by the activists themselves. Some animal rights activists have gone so far as to reject the word “pet” and insist on its replacement by “animal companion.” Leftish anthropologists go to great lengths to avoid saying anything about primitive peoples that could conceivably be interpreted as negative. They want to replace the world “primitive” by “nonliterate.” They seem almost paranoid about anything that might suggest that any primitive culture is inferior to our own. (We do not mean to imply that primitive cultures ARE inferior to ours. We merely point out the hypersensitivity of leftish anthropologists.)

What was happening on campuses in the 1960s is happening vastly more so today. To attack sexism, racism, genderism, speciesism, homophobia, Islamophobia, linguistic hegemony, inequality, heterosexism, classism, ableism, ageism, ethnocentrism, adultism, paternalism, lesbophobia, gynocentrism, biphobia, Eurocentrism, patriarchy, microaggression, transphobia, misandry, gerontophobia, misogyny, heightism, ephebiphobia, lookism, sizeism, colorism, triumphalism, adultcentrism, androcentrism, rankism, sexualism, weightism, anthropocentrism, Christian supremacy, chronocentrism, Sinocentrism, xenocentrism, White supremacy is to serve the SYSTEM.

12. Those who are most sensitive about “politically incorrect” terminology are not the average black ghetto- dweller, Asian immigrant, abused woman or disabled person, but a minority of activists, many of whom do not even belong to any “oppressed” group but come from privileged strata of society. Political correctness has its stronghold among university professors, who have secure employment with comfortable salaries, and the majority of whom are heterosexual white males from middle- to upper-middle-class families.

That Orwell turned out to be right was annoying, so being correct in a way that cannot be corrected by mere evidence (e.g. Stalin, Mao), came into favor. Modernism turns to postmodernism, metamodernism, transmodernism, ecomodernism. Wordsmiths of the world unit!

13. Many leftists have an intense identification with the problems of groups that have an image of being weak (women), defeated (American Indians), repellent (homosexuals) or otherwise inferior. The leftists themselves feel that these groups are inferior. They would never admit to themselves that they have such feelings, but it is precisely because they do see these groups as inferior that they identify with their problems. (We do not mean to suggest that women, Indians, etc. ARE inferior; we are only making a point about leftist psychology.)

Members of groups with a sense of victimhood, oppression by The Man (or who can be encouraged to acquire a sense of injustice) are likely supporters to hopefully put one's One True Party in power whether by force or vote.

14. Feminists are desperately anxious to prove that women are as strong and as capable as men. Clearly they are nagged by a fear that women may NOT be as strong and as capable as men.

Women are actually naturally superior to men, with one exception: feminist ideologues.

15. Leftists tend to hate anything that has an image of being strong, good and successful. They hate America, they hate Western civilization, they hate white males, they hate rationality. The reasons that leftists give for hating the West, etc. clearly do not correspond with their real motives. They SAY they hate the West because it is warlike, imperialistic, sexist, ethnocentric and so forth, but where these same faults appear in socialist countries or in primitive cultures, the leftist finds excuses for them, or at best he GRUDGINGLY admits that they exist; whereas he ENTHUSIASTICALLY points out (and often greatly exaggerates) these faults where they appear in Western civilization. Thus it is clear that these faults are not the leftist’s real motive for hating America and the West. He hates America and the West because they are strong and successful.

The strong and successful, by definition, tend to be the wealthiest elites in power regardless of party or tribal affiliation. During the growth phase, the right-leaning tend to better serve the economy and neglect the masses, allowing the progressives to keep a foot in the door and in some areas and times dominate. No one faction can permanently defeat and replace the other as someone always has to be blamed.

16. Words like “self-confidence,” “self-reliance,” “initiative,” “enterprise,” “optimism,” etc., play little role in the liberal and leftist vocabulary. The leftist is anti-individualistic, pro-collectivist. He wants society to solve everyone’s problems for them, satisfy everyone’s needs for them, take care of them. He is not the sort of person who has an inner sense of confidence in his ability to solve his own problems and satisfy his own needs. The leftist is antagonistic to the concept of competition because, deep inside, he feels like a loser.

The far left-leaning merely 'know' that everything the right-leaning is sure about is wrong, and vice versa. Those in power feel like winners. No mystery here folks. Right and left are two sides of the same coin. When the cultural revolution comes, the woke will feel like winners.

17. Art forms that appeal to modern leftish intellectuals tend to focus on sordidness, defeat and despair, or else they take an orgiastic tone, throwing off rational control as if there were no hope of accomplishing anything through rational calculation and all that was left was to immerse oneself in the sensations of the moment.

Fashions change. The only given is that preferences must differ given that the other side is wrong about everything.

18. Modern leftish philosophers tend to dismiss reason, science, objective reality and to insist that everything is culturally relative. It is true that one can ask serious questions about the foundations of scientific knowledge and about how, if at all, the concept of objective reality can be defined. But it is obvious that modern leftish philosophers are not simply cool-headed logicians systematically analyzing the foundations of knowledge. They are deeply involved emotionally in their attack on truth and reality. They attack these concepts because of their own psychological needs. For one thing, their attack is an outlet for hostility, and, to the extent that it is successful, it satisfies the drive for power. More importantly, the leftist hates science and rationality because they classify certain beliefs as true (i.e., successful, superior) and other beliefs as false (i.e., failed, inferior). The leftist’s feelings of inferiority run so deep that he cannot tolerate any classification of some things as successful or superior and other things as failed or inferior. This also underlies the rejection by many leftists of the concept of mental illness and of the utility of IQ tests. Leftists are antagonistic to genetic explanations of human abilities or behavior because such explanations tend to make some persons appear superior or inferior to others. Leftists prefer to give society the credit or blame for an individual’s ability or lack of it. Thus if a person is “inferior” it is not his fault, but society’s, because he has not been brought up properly.

Both sides of any politicized issue dismiss evidence and reason unless it serves their narrative. The right was concerned (correctly) that climate change concerns might crimp the flow of fossil fuels and slow economic growth. The left promises a Green New Deal will grow the economy (falsely) as fast or faster, so put them in power. Neither traffic in reality-based thinking. As Eckhart once noted, most men love God the way as they love their cow, for the milk and cheese, and profit it brings them. In a theocracy, believing in God or pretending to, profits one. In a democracy believing in The Rule of We the People profits one. I claim, for example, that women are naturally superior to men because the evidence compels me to. I have no free will as there is no 'I' who could have it.

19. The leftist is not typically the kind of person whose feelings of inferiority make him a braggart, an egotist, a bully, a self-promoter, a ruthless competitor. This kind of person has not wholly lost faith in himself. He has a deficit in his sense of power and self-worth, but he can still conceive of himself as having the capacity to be strong, and his efforts to make himself strong produce his unpleasant behavior. [1] But the leftist is too far gone for that. His feelings of inferiority are so ingrained that he cannot conceive of himself as individually strong and valuable. Hence the collectivism of the leftist. He can feel strong only as a member of a large organization or a mass movement with which he identifies himself.

A recent US president was not a typical leftist. He was an alpha-male wannabe. A braggart, an egotist, a bully..... The leftist find affirmation in group solidarity, in safety in numbers. The rightist feels safe by following a great and strong leader (and having plenty of ammo). Not everyone can be alpha, and both strategies work, sometimes, and so human evolution selected for both.

20. Notice the masochistic tendency of leftist tactics. Leftists protest by lying down in front of vehicles, they intentionally provoke police or racists to abuse them, etc. These tactics may often be effective, but many leftists use them not as a means to an end but because they PREFER masochistic tactics. Self-hatred is a leftist trait.

Passive resistance worked for the submissive, who are always the majority, and not for the dominant patriarchal types whose politics differ.

21. Leftists may claim that their activism is motivated by compassion or by moral principles, and moral principle does play a role for the leftist of the oversocialized type. But compassion and moral principle cannot be the main motives for leftist activism. Hostility is too prominent a component of leftist behavior; so is the drive for power. Moreover, much leftist behavior is not rationally calculated to be of benefit to the people whom the leftists claim to be trying to help. For example, if one believes that affirmative action is good for black people, does it make sense to demand affirmative action in hostile or dogmatic terms? Obviously it would be more productive to take a diplomatic and conciliatory approach that would make at least verbal and symbolic concessions to white people who think that affirmative action discriminates against them. But leftist activists do not take such an approach because it would not satisfy their emotional needs. Helping black people is not their real goal. Instead, race problems serve as an excuse for them to express their own hostility and frustrated need for power. In doing so they actually harm black people, because the activists’ hostile attitude toward the white majority tends to intensify race hatred.

For the left-leaning, words are the weapon of choice as when push comes to shove, they tend to lose to those who love guns. Seven to ten million years ago, male dominated patriarchies may have been the norm, but among hunter-gatherer groups of 20-50 mostly related individuals, matriarchal, matrilocal, and matrilineal societies must have been selected for more often than the prior norm. The selection pattern probably goes at least as far back as Australopithecus among whom infatuatory pair bonds lasting until the infant could provide for themselves may have evolved. Leftist ideology often has the opposite of the claimed outcome desired. Antifa become fascist racists in sheep's clothing.

22. If our society had no social problems at all, the leftists would have to INVENT problems in order to provide themselves with an excuse for making a fuss.

My campus must be a safe place everywhere. Don't try to tell me otherwise.

23. We emphasize that the foregoing does not pretend to be an accurate description of everyone who might be considered a leftist. It is only a rough indication of a general tendency of leftism.

Some of my best friends are leftists. On political self-assessment tests, I come out firmly on the left.


OVERSOCIALIZATION


OVERSHOOTING DUNBAR'S NUMBER

24. Psychologists use the term “socialization” to designate the process by which children are trained to think and act as society demands. A person is said to be well socialized if he believes in and obeys the moral code of his society and fits in well as a functioning part of that society. It may seem senseless to say that many leftists are oversocialized, since the leftist is perceived as a rebel. Nevertheless, the position can be defended. Many leftists are not such rebels as they seem.

Complex societies select for overconditioning, over-schooling, and overcontrol due to an inability to rely on our evolved biology-based natural social control system. Overschooling selects for left-leaning controls.

25. The moral code of our society is so demanding that no one can think, feel and act in a completely moral way. For example, we are not supposed to hate anyone, yet almost everyone hates somebody at some time or other, whether he admits it to himself or not. Some people are so highly socialized that the attempt to think, feel and act morally imposes a severe burden on them. In order to avoid feelings of guilt, they continually have to deceive themselves about their own motives and find moral explanations for feelings and actions that in reality have a non-moral origin. We use the term “oversocialized” to describe such people. [2]

My acts of micro racism are continuous and ongoing, however vigilante I am to detect them. I always sit at the back of the bus, but doing so is hardly enough. If reading self-help books and articles fail, I'll seek professional help. If I saw an atomic bomb flash and knew I would soon be a mist, I would not hate it or those who used it. I would understand and die.

26. Oversocialization can lead to low self-esteem, a sense of powerlessness, defeatism, guilt, etc. One of the most important means by which our society socializes children is by making them feel ashamed of behavior or speech that is contrary to society’s expectations. If this is overdone, or if a particular child is especially susceptible to such feelings, he ends by feeling ashamed of HIMSELF. Moreover the thought and the behavior of the oversocialized person are more restricted by society’s expectations than are those of the lightly socialized person. The majority of people engage in a significant amount of naughty behavior. They lie, they commit petty thefts, they break traffic laws, they goof off at work, they hate someone, they say spiteful things or they use some underhanded trick to get ahead of the other guy. The oversocialized person cannot do these things, or if he does do them he generates in himself a sense of shame and self-hatred. The oversocialized person cannot even experience, without guilt, thoughts or feelings that are contrary to the accepted morality; he cannot think “unclean” thoughts. And socialization is not just a matter of morality; we are socialized to conform to many norms of behavior that do not fall under the heading of morality. Thus the oversocialized person is kept on a psychological leash and spends his life running on rails that society has laid down for him. In many oversocialized people this results in a sense of constraint and powerlessness that can be a severe hardship. We suggest that oversocialization is among the more serious cruelties that human beings inflict on one another.

We modern techno-industrial humans are well into overshoot, having overpulsed, blown past the long-term sustainable maximum population (the overcarry limit) the planet can support. We have overdeveloped and overpopulated. We live in vast overdensity, overstressed, overcomplex, overconsuming, overextracting, oversocialized, overweight, overschooled and undereducated populations. We overrate our clever ape ways. Our hubris is such that only a wannabe overload could admire. We normalize our error, ignorance, and illusion. In Growth we trust, knowing that growth is the ideology of the cancer cell. We overenthusiastically serve the overgrowth hegemon as Anthropocene enthusiasts. We are ever so special, gods among the devils of the land. We oversocialized ones are Lord Man on high (for a time).

27. We argue that a very important and influential segment of the modern left is oversocialized and that their oversocialization is of great importance in determining the direction of modern leftism. Leftists of the oversocialized type tend to be intellectuals or members of the upper-middle class. Notice that university intellectuals [3] constitute the most highly socialized segment of our society and also the most left-wing segment.

We are seeing the development of a new Cultural Revolution of the West, by the West, and for the World that despises the West and doesn't even offer a Little Red Book of words, words, words as such could be criticized.

28. The leftist of the oversocialized type tries to get off his psychological leash and assert his autonomy by rebelling. But usually he is not strong enough to rebel against the most basic values of society. Generally speaking, the goals of today’s leftists are NOT in conflict with the accepted morality. On the contrary, the left takes an accepted moral principle, adopts it as its own, and then accuses mainstream society of violating that principle. Examples: racial equality, equality of the sexes, helping poor people, peace as opposed to war, nonviolence generally, freedom of expression, kindness to animals. More fundamentally, the duty of the individual to serve society and the duty of society to take care of the individual. All these have been deeply rooted values of our society (or at least of its middle and upper classes [4] for a long time. These values are explicitly or implicitly expressed or presupposed in most of the material presented to us by the mainstream communications media and the educational system. Leftists, especially those of the oversocialized type, usually do not rebel against these principles but justify their hostility to society by claiming (with some degree of truth) that society is not living up to these principles.

Concepts valued may reference values, but the ideologues, all ideologies, are not value-based. They are concept driven within an intellectual house of mirrors where every concept references only other concepts. Only beliefs and believing matter. Facts, data, reality, the what-is, much less testing one's best guess about the what-is (i.e. 'asking Nature'), is an externality, a gesture sometimes made if being 'scientific' is being claimed. Aside from being able to walk and drive about without hitting things (usually), there is no evidence of any connection to anything that might allegedly be outside their Overton window (e.g. reality).

29. Here is an illustration of the way in which the oversocialized leftist shows his real attachment to the conventional attitudes of our society while pretending to be in rebellion against it. Many leftists push for affirmative action, for moving black people into high-prestige jobs, for improved education in black schools and more money for such schools; the way of life of the black “underclass” they regard as a social disgrace. They want to integrate the black man into the system, make him a business executive, a lawyer, a scientist just like upper-middle-class white people. The leftists will reply that the last thing they want is to make the black man into a copy of the white man; instead, they want to preserve African American culture. But in what does this preservation of African American culture consist? It can hardly consist in anything more than eating black-style food, listening to black-style music, wearing black-style clothing and going to a black- style church or mosque. In other words, it can express itself only in superficial matters. In all ESSENTIAL respects most leftists of the oversocialized type want to make the black man conform to white, middle-class ideals. They want to make him study technical subjects, become an executive or a scientist, spend his life climbing the status ladder to prove that black people are as good as white. They want to make black fathers “responsible,” they want black gangs to become nonviolent, etc. But these are exactly the values of the industrial-technological system. The system couldn’t care less what kind of music a man listens to, what kind of clothes he wears or what religion he believes in as long as he studies in school, holds a respectable job, climbs the status ladder, is a “responsible” parent, is nonviolent and so forth. In effect, however much he may deny it, the oversocialized leftist wants to integrate the black man into the system and make him adopt its values.

There are wolves out there. They look like beautiful, confident alpha wannabe wolves who will die for the pack. The openly support BAU values and practices that work in business and government and religion. The left are beautiful wolves too in truly beautiful (to them) sheep's clothing. They want to see beautiful black sheep out there in the flock who know how the vote. They want many colors and all forms of ornamentation beautifying the rainbow masses. They don't care what they wear, but they better wear something to not be mistaken for a BAU Wolf, which, by definition, is everything they are not (but are). All us MTI humans are politicized from single-digit ages to be wolves. Later we get to pick which form we want to take, what music we want to listen to, which drugs we use when not serving the SYSTEM.

30. We certainly do not claim that leftists, even of the oversocialized type, NEVER rebel against the fundamental values of our society. Clearly they sometimes do. Some oversocialized leftists have gone so far as to rebel against one of modern society’s most important principles by engaging in physical violence. By their own account, violence is for them a form of “liberation.” In other words, by committing violence they break through the psychological restraints that have been trained into them. Because they are oversocialized these restraints have been more confining for them than for others; hence their need to break free of them. But they usually justify their rebellion in terms of mainstream values. If they engage in violence they claim to be fighting against racism or the like.

There are 2,755 billionaires today, 11.5% of the world population is Black, but there are only 15 Black billionaires and only 316 billionaires are women (1 Black), so we must keep up a united front until justice is achieved. Bring on the revolution. Then we can sip our latte in peace knowing that the enlightened Left are running the world with freedom and justice for all (who are woke). Or maybe the Left bring on the revolution and lose.

31. We realize that many objections could be raised to the foregoing thumbnail sketch of leftist psychology. The real situation is complex, and anything like a complete description of it would take several volumes even if the necessary data were available. We claim only to have indicated very roughly the two most important tendencies in the psychology of modern leftism.

Complex systems are more complicated than we know, more complex than we can know, as usual. Oncologists should attempt to know then their subject.

32. The problems of the leftist are indicative of the problems of our society as a whole. Low self-esteem, depressive tendencies and defeatism are not restricted to the left. Though they are especially noticeable in the left, they are widespread in our society. And today’s society tries to socialize us to a greater extent than any previous society. We are even told by experts how to eat, how to exercise, how to make love, how to raise our kids and so forth.

Self-help books: a bestselling genre, a $1 billion industry in America alone. Hu-mans of NIMH need help. Reading all of them will make matters worse as none mention the need to cancel MTI culture/society.


THE POWER PROCESS


The Maximum Power Principle

33. Human beings have a need (probably based in biology) for something that we will call the “power process.” This is closely related to the need for power (which is widely recognized) but is not quite the same thing. The power process has four elements. The three most clear-cut of these we call goal, effort and attainment of goal. (Everyone needs to have goals whose attainment requires effort, and needs to succeed in attaining at least some of his goals.) The fourth element is more difficult to define and may not be necessary for everyone. We call it autonomy and will discuss it later (paragraphs 42-44).

Social primates need a social group that would have them as a member. All crave social approbation, the lack of which can be fatal. Humans lived in bands, of 20-50 (5-85 range) mostly matriarchal as that is what Nature was selecting for (it worked). Then empire building became possible, selecting for patriarchy.

34. Consider the hypothetical case of a man who can have anything he wants just by wishing for it. Such a man has power, but he will develop serious psychological problems. At first he will have a lot of fun, but by and by he will become acutely bored and demoralized. Eventually he may become clinically depressed. History shows that leisured aristocracies tend to become decadent. This is not true of fighting aristocracies that have to struggle to maintain their power. But leisured, secure aristocracies that have no need to exert themselves usually become bored, hedonistic and demoralized, even though they have power. This shows that power is not enough. One must have goals toward which to exercise one’s power.

Consider the spawn of the Roman upper class who rose to be known to history, who were served by many slaves from birth. Today we the middle class are served by hundreds of energy slaves, the elites by vastly more. Like the nobility of Rome, we have become hu-mans of NIMH (National Institute of Mental Health).

35. Everyone has goals; if nothing else, to obtain the physical necessities of life: food, water and whatever clothing and shelter are made necessary by the climate. But the leisured aristocrat obtains these things without effort. Hence his boredom and demoralization.

By our hunter-gatherer ancestor standards of normality, at least 90% of us lever pushers would parse out as mentally ill.

36. Nonattainment of important goals results in death if the goals are physical necessities, and in frustration if nonattainment of the goals is compatible with survival. Consistent failure to attain goals throughout life results in defeatism, low self-esteem or depression.

Our ancestors lived a life-driven purpose. We MTI ones live a purpose-driven life like rats in a Skinner box (the economy, stupid).

37, Thus, in order to avoid serious psychological problems, a human being needs goals whose attainment requires effort, and he must have a reasonable rate of success in attaining his goals.

Humans need a life-driven purpose. Nature determines whose lives are driven by purpose.


SURROGATE ACTIVITIES

 

38. But not every leisured aristocrat becomes bored and demoralized. For example, the emperor Hirohito, instead of sinking into decadent hedonism, devoted himself to marine biology, a field in which he became distinguished. When people do not have to exert themselves to satisfy their physical needs they often set up artificial goals for themselves. In many cases they then pursue these goals with the same energy and emotional involvement that they otherwise would have put into the search for physical necessities. Thus the aristocrats of the Roman Empire had their literary pretensions; many European aristocrats a few centuries ago invested tremendous time and energy in hunting, though they certainly didn’t need the meat; other aristocracies have competed for status through elaborate displays of wealth; and a few aristocrats, like Hirohito, have turned to science.

Those lacking a life-driven purpose often find ways to go through the motions of acting as if they did. The last year no elites (or Sherpas who serve them) died on Mt. Everest was 1977. Not all the servants who died are known, but over 300 have died for bragging rights. Those who didn't die were merely distracted for a while. Meanwhile, despite cleanup efforts removing 11 tons, 30 tons or so of MTI trash (e.g. food wrappers, bodies, and toilet paper) remain.

39. We use the term “surrogate activity” to designate an activity that is directed toward an artificial goal that people set up for themselves merely in order to have some goal to work toward, or let us say, merely for the sake of the “fulfillment” that they get from pursuing the goal. Here is a rule of thumb for the identification of surrogate activities. Given a person who devotes much time and energy to the pursuit of goal X, ask yourself this: If he had to devote most of his time and energy to satisfying his biological needs, and if that effort required him to use his physical and mental faculties in a varied and interesting way, would he feel seriously deprived because he did not attain goal X? If the answer is no, then the person’s pursuit of goal X is a surrogate activity. Hirohito’s studies in marine biology clearly constituted a surrogate activity, since it is pretty certain that if Hirohito had had to spend his time working at interesting non-scientific tasks in order to obtain the necessities of life, he would not have felt deprived because he didn’t know all about the anatomy and life-cycles of marine animals. On the other hand the pursuit of sex and love (for example) is not a surrogate activity, because most people, even if their existence were otherwise satisfactory, would feel deprived if they passed their lives without ever having a relationship with a member of the opposite sex. (But pursuit of an excessive amount of sex, more than one really needs, can be a surrogate activity.)

Life-driven purpose, e.g. forming a pair-bond able to last long enough to beget viable, functional offspring and raise them to viable, functional adults who do not serve an MTI system that is not remotely sustainable, is not to be mistaken for pulling slot machine levers in a casino or pulling other levers for a paycheck. Or marrying your favorite avatar.

 

40. In modern industrial society only minimal effort is necessary to satisfy one’s physical needs. It is enough to go through a training program to acquire some petty technical skill, then come to work on time and exert the very modest effort needed to hold a job. The only requirements are a moderate amount of intelligence and, most of all, simple OBEDIENCE. If one has those, society takes care of one from cradle to grave. (Yes, there is an underclass that cannot take the physical necessities for granted, but we are speaking here of mainstream society.) Thus it is not surprising that modern society is full of surrogate activities. These include scientific work, athletic achievement, humanitarian work, artistic and literary creation, climbing the corporate ladder, acquisition of money and material goods far beyond the point at which they cease to give any additional physical satisfaction, and social activism when it addresses issues that are not important for the activist personally, as in the case of white activists who work for the rights of nonwhite minorities. These are not always PURE surrogate activities, since for many people they may be motivated in part by needs other than the need to have some goal to pursue. Scientific work may be motivated in part by a drive for prestige, artistic creation by a need to express feelings, militant social activism by hostility. But for most people who pursue them, these activities are in large part surrogate activities. For example, the majority of scientists will probably agree that the “fulfillment” they get from their work is more important than the money and prestige they earn.

In modern techno-industrial society only minimal effort is necessary to satisfy one's needs and the rest is 'needed' effort to acquire wants. The SYSTEM conflates the two such that most people (> 99%) DON'T KNOW THEIR NEEDS FROM THEIR WANTS and so will work for wants (e.g. drugs, lottery tickets, smart phones..., or money to buy them) as if vitally needed. This condition is foundational to the sea of error, ignorance, and illusion we swim in. As fish in the bottom of a boat awaiting processing, we moisten one another with our slime and normalize the situation, forgetting (having never known) what the ocean world is like (which includes the possibility of being eaten by bigger fish and eating smaller ones). We are told we live in the best of all possible MTI worlds, and would surely die anywhere else.

41. For many if not most people, surrogate activities are less satisfying than the pursuit of real goals (that is, goals that people would want to attain even if their need for the power process were already fulfilled). One indication of this is the fact that, in many or most cases, people who are deeply involved in surrogate activities are never satisfied, never at rest. Thus the money-maker constantly strives for more and more wealth. The scientist no sooner solves one problem than he moves on to the next. The long-distance runner drives himself to run always farther and faster. Many people who pursue surrogate activities will say that they get far more fulfillment from these activities than they do from the “mundane” business of satisfying their biological needs, but that is because in our society the effort needed to satisfy the biological needs has been reduced to triviality. More importantly, in our society people do not satisfy their biological needs AUTONOMOUSLY but by functioning as parts of an immense social machine. In contrast, people generally have a great deal of autonomy in pursuing their surrogate activities.

The power needed is not in the slightest political power. The laws of thermodynamics rule the universe, including complex societies. The mandate, Nature's mandate, is to maximize power, energy/time, as that is what is selected for. This is Lotka's maximum power principle, MPP, insight and Odum's clarification as the maximum eMpower principle (MEP). Whether humans make this the fourth law of thermodynamics or not doesn't matter. Nature doesn't care how we think the Cosmos works. Nature is the only source worth listening to, who alone has all the answers.


AUTONOMY

 

42. Autonomy as a part of the power process may not be necessary for every individual. But most people need a greater or lesser degree of autonomy in working toward their goals. Their efforts must be undertaken on their own initiative and must be under their own direction and control. Yet most people do not have to exert this initiative, direction and control as single individuals. It is usually enough to act as a member of a SMALL group. Thus if half a dozen people discuss a goal among themselves and make a successful joint effort to attain that goal, their need for the power process will be served. But if they work under rigid orders handed down from above that leave them no room for autonomous decision and initiative, then their need for the power process will not be served. The same is true when decisions are made on a collective basis if the group making the collective decision is so large that the role of each individual is insignificant. [5]

Autonomy and society imply a dynamic of competing interests. All individuals, for some time in their lives, need/seek out the society of others. In overdensity societies (>50?) the individual may become insignificant and the overcomplexity selects for hierarchy and hierarchical control systems. Functional social groups self-organize (auto-organize) and if not too large, human biology make them work optimally.

43. It is true that some individuals seem to have little need for autonomy. Either their drive for power is weak or they satisfy it by identifying themselves with some powerful organization to which they belong. And then there are unthinking, animal types who seem to be satisfied with a purely physical sense of power (the good combat soldier, who gets his sense of power by developing fighting skills that he is quite content to use in blind obedience to his superiors).

 The need for autonomy varies within individuals, from one who may have once spent an hour in Nature, to Thoreau who while sojourning at Walden, visited his mother for Sunday dinner once a week or so.

44. But for most people it is through the power process—having a goal, making an AUTONOMOUS effort and attaining the goal—that self-esteem, self-confidence and a sense of power are acquired. When one does not have adequate opportunity to go through the power process the consequences are (depending on the individual and on the way the power process is disrupted) boredom, demoralization, low self-esteem, inferiority feelings, defeatism, depression, anxiety, guilt, frustration, hostility, spouse or child abuse, insatiable hedonism, abnormal sexual behavior, sleep disorders, eating disorders, etc. [6]

'Home is the sailor, home from sea, And the hunter home from the hill.' Competency earned by persisting offers self-esteem, self-confidence and a sense of power.  Living the surrogate life of quiet desperation does not. In 8-12 generations, urbanized humans of NIMH become pathetic pretenders.


SOURCES OF SOCIAL PROBLEMS

 

45. Any of the foregoing symptoms can occur in any society, but in modern industrial society they are present on a massive scale. We aren’t the first to mention that the world today seems to be going crazy. This sort of thing is not normal for human societies. There is good reason to believe that primitive man suffered from less stress and frustration and was better satisfied with his way of life than modern man is. It is true that not all was sweetness and light in primitive societies. Abuse of women was common among the Australian aborigines, transexuality was fairly common among some of the American Indian tribes. But it does appear that GENERALLY SPEAKING the kinds of problems that we have listed in the preceding paragraph were far less common among primitive peoples than they are in modern society.

Diseases of civilization arise: acne, Alzheimer's, arthritis, atherosclerosis, asthma, cancer [e.g. lung, breast, colorectal], carpal-tunnel syndrome, chronic liver disease/cirrhosis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, colitis, irritable bowel syndrome, malnutrition, type 2 diabetes, heart disease, hypertension, metabolic syndrome, chronic kidney failure, osteoporosis, PCOD, diverticulitis, gallstones, rickets...

46. We attribute the social and psychological problems of modern society to the fact that that society requires people to live under conditions radically different from those under which the human race evolved and to behave in ways that conflict with the patterns of behavior that the human race developed while living under the earlier conditions. It is clear from what we have already written that we consider lack of opportunity to properly experience the power process as the most important of the abnormal conditions to which modern society subjects people. But it is not the only one. Before dealing with disruption of the power process as a source of social problems we will discuss some of the other sources.

...dental caries, stroke, depression, OCD, suicide, chronic stress, addiction/anxiety/sexuality disorders, bipolar/personality/eating disorders, substance abuse, obesity, ideology, and vascular dementia  We long ago normalized the greatest pathology, our belief in belief. The life-driven purpose is foundationally different from the purpose-driven life. One is aberrant.

47. Among the abnormal conditions present in modern industrial society are excessive density of population, isolation of man from nature, excessive rapidity of social change and the breakdown of natural small-scale communities such as the extended family, the village or the tribe.

Wild rats, living in groups of <12, self-organize and form viable social groups. As John B Calhoun noted, domesticated rats/MTI humans do not.

48. It is well known that crowding increases stress and aggression. The degree of crowding that exists today and the isolation of man from nature are consequences of technological progress. All pre-industrial societies were predominantly rural. The Industrial Revolution vastly increased the size of cities and the proportion of the population that lives in them, and modern agricultural technology has made it possible for the Earth to support a far denser population than it ever did before. (Also, technology exacerbates the effects of crowding because it puts increased disruptive powers in people’s hands. For example, a variety of noise-making devices: power mowers, radios, motorcycles, etc. If the use of these devices is unrestricted, people who want peace and quiet are frustrated by the noise. If their use is restricted, people who use the devices are frustrated by the regulations. But if these machines had never been invented there would have been no conflict and no frustration generated by them.)

Over half of humans now live in cities and 36 percent of mammalian biomass is now human (4% wild). As seen from space, maybe 5 percent of Earth's land surface, mostly tundra and desert, still appears pristine, untrammeled by MTI humans. Due to the glow at night of artificial lights, 80 percent of North Americans can no longer see the Milky Way. We have an awesome power to normalize the abnormal and deny, deny, deny. 

49. For primitive societies the natural world (which usually changes only slowly) provided a stable framework and therefore a sense of security. In the modern world it is human society that dominates nature rather than the other way around, and modern society changes very rapidly owing to technological change. Thus there is no stable framework.

And the greatest abnormality? Noticeable change, e.g. in population, from generation to generation while being so short-term self-centered as to be posterity blind. 

50. The conservatives are fools: They whine about the decay of traditional values, yet they enthusiastically support technological progress and economic growth. Apparently it never occurs to them that you can’t make rapid, drastic changes in the technology and the economy of a society without causing rapid changes in all other aspects of the society as well, and that such rapid changes inevitably break down traditional values.

The conservatives are as blind as the liberals, if less ideologically driven (being more values driven) as their values are obscured by their cherished beliefs as much as the purist ideals of the left-leaning are. 

51. The breakdown of traditional values to some extent implies the breakdown of the bonds that hold together traditional small-scale social groups. The disintegration of small-scale social groups is also promoted by the fact that modern conditions often require or tempt individuals to move to new locations, separating themselves from their communities. Beyond that, a technological society HAS TO weaken family ties and local communities if it is to function efficiently. In modern society an individual’s loyalty must be first to the system and only secondarily to a small-scale community, because if the internal loyalties of small-scale communities were stronger than loyalty to the system, such communities would pursue their own advantage at the expense of the system.

To be a true believer: abandon all values and ideals, all ye who enter here while pretending not to. 

In their pursuit of short-term self interest, individuals, communities, and the system managing them HAVE TO live within limits, e.g. to individual theft and group conquest by other groups.

52. Suppose that a public official or a corporation executive appoints his cousin, his friend or his co- religionist to a position rather than appointing the person best qualified for the job. He has permitted personal loyalty to supersede his loyalty to the system, and that is “nepotism” or “discrimination,” both of which are terrible sins in modern society. Would-be industrial societies that have done a poor job of subordinating personal or local loyalties to loyalty to the system are usually very inefficient. (Look at Latin America.) Thus an advanced industrial society can tolerate only those small-scale communities that are emasculated, tamed and made into tools of the system. [7]

To prosper, you must serve industrial society whose bread you eat, and sing its song. You have the right to fail and self-select out of the system. You are free to beg for food and pity within limits. In Tucson you have to leave the park by the library and sleep on the sidewalk after 10pm. If assaulted at 3am, someone will call the police who will be there within 5 minutes, as I've observed.  

53. Crowding, rapid change and the breakdown of communities have been widely recognized as sources of social problems. But we do not believe they are enough to account for the extent of the problems that are seen today.

There is no evidence that humans can live in groups >250 long term, the Siane of New Guinea, after thousands of years, can manage 250. 

54. A few pre-industrial cities were very large and crowded, yet their inhabitants do not seem to have suffered from psychological problems to the same extent as modern man. In America today there still are uncrowded rural areas, and we find there the same problems as in urban areas, though the problems tend to be less acute in the rural areas. Thus crowding does not seem to be the decisive factor.

Loss of functional behaviors is gradual over multiple generations. Part of my family were hill people of Appalachia. My grandmother's vocabulary included Elizabethan English. Her immigrant ancestors were of MTI society. 

55. On the growing edge of the American frontier during the 19th century, the mobility of the population probably broke down extended families and small-scale social groups to at least the same extent as these are broken down today. In fact, many nuclear families lived by choice in such isolation, having no neighbors within several miles, that they belonged to no community at all, yet they do not seem to have developed problems as a result.

The Roman techno-industrial society was multi-generations in the making. After its fall, forests grew back and humans may have partially recovered by 1450 when early MTI started up, up and away, but full recovery obviously failed. 

56. Furthermore, change in American frontier society was very rapid and deep. A man might be born and raised in a log cabin, outside the reach of law and order and fed largely on wild meat; and by the time he arrived at old age he might be working at a regular job and living in an ordered community with effective law enforcement. This was a deeper change than that which typically occurs in the life of a modern individual, yet it does not seem to have led to psychological problems. In fact, 19th century American society had an optimistic and self-confident tone, quite unlike that of today’s society. [8]

We normalize the disorders of MTI society so fast that we fail to see the disorders that would have been obvious to oud ancestors of two centuries ago. My grandmother's lament was 'I never knew there were such heathens in this world' as she watched TV late in life. 

57. The difference, we argue, is that modern man has the sense (largely justified) that change is IMPOSED on him, whereas the 19th century frontiersman had the sense (also largely justified) that he created change himself, by his own choice. Thus a pioneer settled on a piece of land of his own choosing and made it into a farm through his own effort. In those days an entire county might have only a couple of hundred inhabitants and was a far more isolated and autonomous entity than a modern county is. Hence the pioneer farmer participated as a member of a relatively small group in the creation of a new, ordered community. One may well question whether the creation of this community was an improvement, but at any rate it satisfied the pioneer’s need for the power process.

In early 1870s a 'grass is gold' advertising campaign brought  hundreds of wannabe ranchers from the east to Arizona to put land to 'good use' recently liberated from the Apache. Most failed, vast areas were overgrazed, massive soil erosion and arroyo cut down followed, and the region has never recovered. Totally BAU. They were at best marginally different from us recent descendants.

58. It would be possible to give other examples of societies in which there has been rapid change and/or lack of close community ties without the kind of massive behavioral aberration that is seen in today’s industrial society. We contend that the most important cause of social and psychological problems in modern society is the fact that people have insufficient opportunity to go through the power process in a normal way. We don’t mean to say that modern society is the only one in which the power process has been disrupted. Probably most if not all civilized societies have interfered with the power process to a greater or lesser extent. But in modern industrial society the problem has become particularly acute. Leftism, at least in its recent (mid- to late-20th century) form, is in part a symptom of deprivation with respect to the power process.

The massive behavioral aberration that we MTI humans are has been 50k years in the coming, but renormalizing humans is critically, existentially important if humans are to persist on the planet. We are all captured and being dragged along by a complex, powerful and remorseless dynamic that automatically thwarts all attempts to stop it. If we don’t put time and energy into understanding it, we are doomed to go with it, right to the final curtain. 


DISRUPTION OF THE POWER PROCESS IN MODERN SOCIETY


 

 

59. We divide human drives into three groups: (1) those drives that can be satisfied with minimal effort; (2) those that can be satisfied but only at the cost of serious effort; (3) those that cannot be adequately satisfied no matter how much effort one makes. The power process is the process of satisfying the drives of the second group. The more drives there are in the third group, the more there is frustration, anger, eventually defeatism, depression, etc.

The need to be normal with respect to our biology is unmet in MTI culture. Serving the system is the mandate, which involves money, the obtaining of it. The monetary culture cannot actually be normalized. 

60. In modern industrial society natural human drives tend to be pushed into the first and third groups, and the second group tends to consist increasingly of artificially created drives.

We live to make money, not hunt-gather-forage-farm aas money is needed today to live. 

61. In primitive societies, physical necessities generally fall into group 2: They can be obtained, but only at the cost of serious effort. But modern society tends to guaranty the physical necessities to everyone [9] in exchange for only minimal effort, hence physical needs are pushed into group 1. (There may be disagreement about whether the effort needed to hold a job is “minimal”; but usually, in lower- to middle- level jobs, whatever effort is required is merely that of OBEDIENCE. You sit or stand where you are told to sit or stand and do what you are told to do in the way you are told to do it. Seldom do you have to exert yourself seriously, and in any case you have hardly any autonomy in work, so that the need for the power process is not well served.)

For ten years I only worked in the summers as a migrant farmworker. I didn't work for money, but took what I was given and every so often bought a money order to send to my parents to keep for me. I made/saved enough to put myself through university. I worked (for money) minimally. Learning (9 months a year wandering the stack of a university library) and exploring are type 2 needs. 

62. Social needs, such as sex, love and status, often remain in group 2 in modern society, depending on the situation of the individual. [10] But, except for people who have a particularly strong drive for status, the effort required to fulfill the social drives is insufficient to satisfy adequately the need for the power process.

As a 38-year old virgin I met my social needs, married, and had a son. Nature's mandate ✓. Soon, 30 years of marriage. I also need to understand. Be happy in your type 2 work. I am. 

63. So certain artificial needs have been created that fall into group 2, hence serve the need for the power process. Advertising and marketing techniques have been developed that make many people feel they need things that their grandparents never desired or even dreamed of. It requires serious effort to earn enough money to satisfy these artificial needs, hence they fall into group 2. (But see paragraphs 80-82.) Modern man must satisfy his need for the power process largely through pursuit of the artificial needs created by the advertising and marketing industry [11], and through surrogate activities.

The failure of MTI humans, conditioned by media (as soon as their media conditioned parents can provide it), to know their needs from their wants is what makes us the consumer society and consumers we are. This obfuscation is a profound violation of our grasp of reality. It sell products, but at unmeasured cost. 

64. It seems that for many people, maybe the majority, these artificial forms of the power process are insufficient. A theme that appears repeatedly in the writings of the social critics of the second half of the 20th century is the sense of purposelessness that afflicts many people in modern society. (This purposelessness is often called by other names such as “anomic” or “middle-class vacuity.”) We suggest that the so-called “identity crisis” is actually a search for a sense of purpose, often for commitment to a suitable surrogate activity. It may be that existentialism is in large part a response to the purposelessness of modern life. [12] Very widespread in modern society is the search for “fulfillment.” But we think that for the majority of people an activity whose main goal is fulfillment (that is, a surrogate activity) does not bring completely satisfactory fulfillment. In other words, it does not fully satisfy the need for the power process. (See paragraph 41.) That need can be fully satisfied only through activities that have some external goal, such as physical necessities, sex, love, status, revenge, etc.

Pathology involves suffering to quiet desperation, and our life is dukkha. We lack a life-driven purpose, but that's not the half of it. We products of Indo-European/Confucian type BAU empire building patriarchal monetary culture took a misstep and fell into the abyss of human centrism long ago. We know that, one way or another, the universe revolves around us, that we are different in kind from mere plants and animals. Everything we think we know is error, ignorance, and illusion. Alternative is Nature centrism, which has nothing to do with believing in it.

65. Moreover, where goals are pursued through earning money, climbing the status ladder or functioning as part of the system in some other way, most people are not in a position to pursue their goals AUTONOMOUSLY. Most workers are someone else’s employee and, as we pointed out in paragraph 61, must spend their days doing what they are told to do in the way they are told to do it. Even people who are in business for themselves have only limited autonomy. It is a chronic complaint of small-business persons and entrepreneurs that their hands are tied by excessive government regulation. Some of these regulations are doubtless unnecessary, but for the most part government regulations are essential and inevitable parts of our extremely complex society. A large portion of small business today operates on the franchise system. It was reported in the Wall Street Journal a few years ago that many of the franchise-granting companies require applicants for franchises to take a personality test that is designed to EXCLUDE those who have creativity and initiative, because such persons are not sufficiently docile to go along obediently with the franchise system. This excludes from small business many of the people who most need autonomy.

There are basically two narratives: the MTI/BAU monetary culture's, and what M. King Hubbert calls the matter-energy systems worldview. One is humancentric and the other is natrocentric which includes science, but Laozi's narrative is too. If in some hierarchy of being we are just a little lower than the angels, then not 'just' subsystems enfolded within multiple systems composed of other subsystems on a planet going around a sun, one of about 10e23 in the universe, of unknown uniqueness. The two cultures differ in other ways that matter. Both cannot be about the same universe.

66. Today people live more by virtue of what the system does FOR them or TO them than by virtue of what they do for themselves. And what they do for themselves is done more and more along channels laid down by the system. Opportunities tend to be those that the system provides, the opportunities must be exploited in accord with rules and regulations [13], and techniques prescribed by experts must be followed if there is to be a chance of success.

Understand that the system is faceless. There is no one behind the curtain pulling levers. There are smoke-filled rooms of kleptocrats, but they do not run the show. All of us serve the system that subsumes us, most with enthusiasm. 

67. Thus the power process is disrupted in our society through a deficiency of real goals and a deficiency of autonomy in the pursuit of goals. But it is also disrupted because of those human drives that fall into group 3: the drives that one cannot adequately satisfy no matter how much effort one makes. One of these drives is the need for security. Our lives depend on decisions made by other people; we have no control over these decisions and usually we do not even know the people who make them. (“We live in a world in which relatively few people—maybe 500 or 1,000—make the important decisions”—Philip B. Heymann of Harvard Law School, quoted by Anthony Lewis, New York Times, April 21, 1995.) Our lives depend on whether safety standards at a nuclear power plant are properly maintained; on how much pesticide is allowed to get into our food or how much pollution into our air; on how skillful (or incompetent) our doctor is; whether we lose or get a job may depend on decisions made by government economists or corporation executives; and so forth. Most individuals are not in a position to secure themselves against these threats to more [than] a very limited extent. The individual’s search for security is therefore frustrated, which leads to a sense of powerlessness.

The need for security is not absolute. The need is for good enough security. Our deaths will be determined by chance, fate, King's, desperate men, and nurses who make med-math errors or just give us the wrong dose or medication. We can manage threats, but not secure ourselves from them as the universe is not only more complex than we think, but more so than we can think. Ug doesn't need to feel secure going in to evict the cave bear so his family can take shelter from the sudden blizzard.  We can trust in the heart and take what comes. Death can come at any moment. The 'need' for security justifies our doing any crazy thing.

68. It may be objected that primitive man is physically less secure than modern man, as is shown by his shorter life expectancy; hence modern man suffers from less, not more than the amount of insecurity that is normal for human beings. But psychological security does not closely correspond with physical security. What makes us FEEL secure is not so much objective security as a sense of confidence in our ability to take care of ourselves. Primitive man, threatened by a fierce animal or by hunger, can fight in self-defense or travel in search of food. He has no certainty of success in these efforts, but he is by no means helpless against the things that threaten him. The modern individual on the other hand is threatened by many things against which he is helpless: nuclear accidents, carcinogens in food, environmental pollution, war, increasing taxes, invasion of his privacy by large organizations, nationwide social or economic phenomena that may disrupt his way of life.

An individual in a group of 35 has significant influence. As one of millions or billion, not so much. MTI society, now global, cannot be changed by one person. It may be tweaked by one, but who could end all fossil fuel use in five years? Individual and small groups on up to NGO/CEO/governments have failed to even slightly alter the raise of CO2 in the atmosphere. Nearly sixty years of environmental activism and meanwhile 'the pace of planetary destruction has not slowed'. [David Suzuki 2016]

69. It is true that primitive man is powerless against some of the things that threaten him; disease for example. But he can accept the risk of disease stoically. It is part of the nature of things, it is no one’s fault, unless it is the fault of some imaginary, impersonal demon. But threats to the modern individual tend to be MAN-MADE. They are not the results of chance but are IMPOSED on him by other persons whose decisions he, as an individual, is unable to influence. Consequently he feels frustrated, humiliated and angry.

In the humancentric worldview everything happens because someone did it as agent, human or superhuman. Hence blame is universal and automatic. I'm angry at China for giving me Covid. China must be punished. Their retaliation must be redressed... WWIII. 

70. Thus primitive man for the most part has his security in his own hands (either as an individual or as a member of a SMALL group) whereas the security of modern man is in the hands of persons or organizations that are too remote or too large for him to be able personally to influence them. So modern man’s drive for security tends to fall into groups 1 and 3; in some areas (food, shelter etc.) his security is assured at the cost of only trivial effort, whereas in other areas he CANNOT attain security. (The foregoing greatly simplifies the real situation, but it does indicate in a rough, general way how the condition of modern man differs from that of primitive man.)

Modern man lives in, depends utterly on, and serves a system that is not remotely sustainable, selects for a loss of function behaviors,  and increase our disconnect from the what-is over time. Our ancestors lived a life-driven purpose in Nature, within limits (carrying capacity), and prior to agriculture, as nomads doing what had worked for hundreds of thousands of years.

71. People have many transitory drives or impulses that are necessarily frustrated in modern life, hence fall into group 3. One may become angry, but modern society cannot permit fighting. In many situations it does not even permit verbal aggression. When going somewhere one may be in a hurry, or one may be in a mood to travel slowly, but one generally has no choice but to move with the flow of traffic and obey the traffic signals. One may want to do one’s work in a different way, but usually one can work only according to the rules laid down by one’s employer. In many other ways as well, modern man is strapped down by a network of rules and regulations (explicit or implicit) that frustrate many of his impulses and thus interfere with the power process. Most of these regulations cannot be dispensed with, because they are necessary for the functioning of industrial society.

I obey laws, go with the flow, help others to do so, and otherwise serve the system until I can't.  I get along and keep on keeping on. And I plot rxevolution.

72. Modern society is in certain respects extremely permissive. In matters that are irrelevant to the functioning of the system we can generally do what we please. We can believe in any religion we like (as long as it does not encourage behavior that is dangerous to the system). We can go to bed with anyone we like (as long as we practice “safe sex”). We can do anything we like as long as it is UNIMPORTANT. But in all IMPORTANT matters the system tends increasingly to regulate our behavior.

You can protest for 1,742 hours in the streets with a sign, but burning buildings is problematic unless centuries of systemic racism forces you to vent (until a new major is elected who doesn't think so). Marry your toaster, but don't pick my pocket or break my leg.

73. Behavior is regulated not only through explicit rules and not only by the government. Control is often exercised through indirect coercion or through psychological pressure or manipulation, and by organizations other than the government, or by the system as a whole. Most large organizations use some form of propaganda [14] to manipulate public attitudes or behavior. Propaganda is not limited to “commercials” and advertisements, and sometimes it is not even consciously intended as propaganda by the people who make it. For instance, the content of entertainment programming is a powerful form of propaganda. An example of indirect coercion: There is no law that says we have to go to work every day and follow our employer’s orders. Legally there is nothing to prevent us from going to live in the wild like primitive people or from going into business for ourselves. But in practice there is very little wild country left, and there is room in the economy for only a limited number of small business owners. Hence most of us can survive only as someone else’s employee.

MTI society is served by a consensus narrative that is the collage of competing narratives of all suborganizations, e.g. nations, corporations, NGOs, education providers, religion purveyors, governments on down to city level, and media on down to citizen journalists to office pundits, have a story. Stories vary from likely, e.g. oblate spheroid to flat earth fringe, but there are no true stories. My story about the hydrology of my watershed, with detailed map, is not the water flow nor rainbow in the mist at the falls. A climate model is not the climate.

74. We suggest that modern man’s obsession with longevity, and with maintaining physical vigor and sexual attractiveness to an advanced age, is a symptom of unfulfillment resulting from deprivation with respect to the power process. The “mid-life crisis” also is such a symptom. So is the lack of interest in having children that is fairly common in modern society but almost unheard-of in primitive societies.

Our increasing lack of interest in investing in posterity (having and raising children with great commitment) is viewed as a demographic transition caused by educating and empowering women. 

75. In primitive societies life is a succession of stages. The needs and purposes of one stage having been fulfilled, there is no particular reluctance about passing on to the next stage. A young man goes through the power process by becoming a hunter, hunting not for sport or for fulfillment but to get meat that is necessary for food. (In young women the process is more complex, with greater emphasis on social power; we won’t discuss that here.) This phase having been successfully passed through, the young man has no reluctance about settling down to the responsibilities of raising a family. (In contrast, some modern people indefinitely postpone having children because they are too busy seeking some kind of “fulfillment.” We suggest that the fulfillment they need is adequate experience of the power process—with real goals instead of the artificial goals of surrogate activities.) Again, having successfully raised his children, going through the power process by providing them with the physical necessities, the primitive man feels that his work is done and he is prepared to accept old age (if he survives that long) and death. Many modern people, on the other hand, are disturbed by the prospect of physical deterioration and death, as is shown by the amount of effort they expend trying to maintain their physical condition, appearance and health. We argue that this is due to unfulfillment resulting from the fact that they have never put their physical powers to any practical use, have never gone through the power process using their bodies in a serious way. It is not the primitive man, who has used his body daily for practical purposes, who fears the deterioration of age, but the modern man, who has never had a practical use for his body beyond walking from his car to his house. It is the man whose need for the power process has been satisfied during his life who is best prepared to accept the end of that life.

John B Calhoun studied a demographic transition among rats and mice. He did not view it as an empowering dynamic. The fertility rate declined to zero by about the 12th generation, but humans are more adaptive, and have many ways to commit happy, slow suicide. Most humans in cities are only a few generations in, but have forgotten old norms:

Under the wide and starry sky,
Dig the grave and let me lie.
Glad did I live and gladly die,
And I laid me down with a will.

76. In response to the arguments of this section someone will say, “Society must find a way to give people the opportunity to go through the power process.” For such people the value of the opportunity is destroyed by the very fact that society gives it to them. What they need is to find or make their own opportunities. As long as the system GIVES them their opportunities it still has them on a leash. To attain autonomy they must get off that leash.

MTI society is an adaptive, dissipative, but not evolvable thermodynamic system too complex to persist. It has nothing to give but dissolution, though full of sound and fury for a time. In Growth We Trust is the religion of the cancer.


HOW SOME PEOPLE ADJUST

 

77. Not everyone in industrial-technological society suffers from psychological problems. Some people even profess to be quite satisfied with society as it is. We now discuss some of the reasons why people differ so greatly in their response to modern society.

Some Anthropocene enthusiasts are at times well rewarded rock-stars in their field, with money, power, privilege, and feel-good fame.

78. First, there doubtless are differences in the strength of the drive for power. Individuals with a weak drive for power may have relatively little need to go through the power process, or at least relatively little need for autonomy in the power process. These are docile types who would have been happy as plantation darkies in the Old South. (We don’t mean to sneer at the “plantation darkies” of the Old South. To their credit, most of the slaves were NOT content with their servitude. We do sneer at people who ARE content with servitude.)

Some found mass movements of true believers, others join. Some come up with the right hashtag at the right time and end up with millions in real estate holdings. Wage slaves are often happy in their work. All who value money, know what it is, likely have some, serve the system.

79. Some people may have some exceptional drive, in pursuing which they satisfy their need for the power process. For example, those who have an unusually strong drive for social status may spend their whole lives climbing the status ladder without ever getting bored with that game.

Kurtz was Conrad's hollow man, and we lean together, headpiece filled with straw, with eyes fixed on death's dream kingdom.

80. People vary in their susceptibility to advertising and marketing techniques. Some are so susceptible that, even if they make a great deal of money, they cannot satisfy their constant craving for the the shiny new toys that the marketing industry dangles before their eyes. So they always feel hard-pressed financially even if their income is large, and their cravings are frustrated.

We are the oversold ones. Some more than others. Few live on the fringe of the monetary culture and dumpster-dive. 

81. Some people have low susceptibility to advertising and marketing techniques. These are the people who aren’t interested in money. Material acquisition does not serve their need for the power process.

I've always wanted to take a high seat amongst the devils of the land and evict cave bears from their dens. 

82. People who have medium susceptibility to advertising and marketing techniques are able to earn enough money to satisfy their craving for goods and services, but only at the cost of serious effort (putting in overtime, taking a second job, earning promotions, etc.). Thus material acquisition serves their need for the power process. But it does not necessarily follow that their need is fully satisfied. They may have insufficient autonomy in the power process (their work may consist of following orders) and some of their drives may be frustrated (e.g., security, aggression). (We are guilty of oversimplification in paragraphs 80- 82 because we have assumed that the desire for material acquisition is entirely a creation of the advertising and marketing industry. Of course it’s not that simple. [11]

Like Thoreau before me, I found I could work six weeks a year and live of the proceeds for the rest of the year. I never actually had to work for money, or borrow or steal or beg for food or pity. We are living in mater-energy rich times (for a time). But dissipation serves no life-driven purpose, so serving the MTI hegemon is a distraction from destroying it. Believe nothing, question everything, rethink everything.  

83. Some people partly satisfy their need for power by identifying themselves with a powerful organization or mass movement. An individual lacking goals or power joins a movement or an organization, adopts its goals as his own, then works toward those goals. When some of the goals are attained, the individual, even though his personal efforts have played only an insignificant part in the attainment of the goals, feels (through his identification with the movement or organization) as if he had gone through the power process. This phenomenon was exploited by the fascists, Nazis and communists. Our society uses it too, though less crudely. Example: Manuel Noriega was an irritant to the U.S. (goal: punish Noriega). The U.S. invaded Panama (effort) and punished Noriega (attainment of goal). Thus the U.S. went through the power process and many Americans, because of their identification with the U.S., experienced the power process vicariously. Hence the widespread public approval of the Panama invasion; it gave people a sense of power. [15] We see the same phenomenon in armies, corporations, political parties, humanitarian organizations, religious or ideological movements. In particular, leftist movements tend to attract people who are seeking to satisfy their need for power. But for most people identification with a large organization or a mass movement does not fully satisfy the need for power.

Living the dissipative, disconnected life of MTI worker/consumers of NIMH does not fully satisfy our need for power and yet we will keep on pushing leverage points we hope will change our condition of dukkha. Assume that for every impasse there is a way out. Understanding is the way out. To understand something is to be delivered from it. Understanding that the MTI dynamic is not remotely sustainable is to be delivered from it. In that understanding (not belief), serving the system even without enthusiasm becomes a non-option. Your life-driven purpose will auto-organize your mind and life. You will have no choice in your choiceless awareness but to endeavor to understand, to think well, and that is the only morality.

84. Another way in which people satisfy their need for the power process is through surrogate activities. As we explained in paragraphs 38-40, a surrogate activity is an activity that is directed toward an artificial goal that the individual pursues for the sake of the “fulfillment” that he gets from pursuing the goal, not because he needs to attain the goal itself. For instance, there is no practical motive for building enormous muscles, hitting a little ball into a hole or acquiring a complete series of postage stamps. Yet many people in our society devote themselves with passion to bodybuilding, golf or stamp-collecting. Some people are more “other-directed” than others, and therefore will more readily attach importance to a surrogate activity simply because the people around them treat it as important or because society tells them it is important. That is why some people get very serious about essentially trivial activities such as sports, or bridge, or chess, or arcane scholarly pursuits, whereas others who are more clear-sighted never see these things as anything but the surrogate activities that they are, and consequently never attach enough importance to them to satisfy their need for the power process in that way. It only remains to point out that in many cases a person’s way of earning a living is also a surrogate activity. Not a PURE surrogate activity, since part of the motive for the activity is to gain the physical necessities and (for some people) social status and the luxuries that advertising makes them want. But many people put into their work far more effort than is necessary to earn whatever money and status they require, and this extra effort constitutes a surrogate activity. This extra effort, together with the emotional investment that accompanies it, is one of the most potent forces acting toward the continual development and perfecting of the system, with negative consequences for individual freedom (see paragraph 131). Especially, for the most creative scientists and engineers, work tends to be largely a surrogate activity. This point is so important that it deserves a separate discussion, which we shall give in a moment (paragraphs 87-92).

Obtaining what is materially needed (food, shelter—maintaining homeostases) is trivial in MTI society. If a homeless person expresses needs (or claim to have a need for money) I give them information on where to go for all the free stuff and services. For most, any perceived need to make money is an illusion. Vast amounts of human effort are dissipated while doing nothing to even slow the pace of planetary destruction. Post fossil fuels, the transitioned will depend on the local environmental productivity which will be the system served, That we are the environment will be evident as we can but understand or die. If we go extinct, then problem solved. If we become to the biosphere what our brains are to our bodies, humans will have come to understand the planet and live with it properly. MTI is a pretend system, a surrogate Nature. To serve Nature we hubris ones need to stand down, put system (the nature of things) over self. Otherwise we remain, for a time, mimes, in the form of God on high who mutter and mumble low until cometh the worm.

85. In this section we have explained how many people in modern society do satisfy their need for the power process to a greater or lesser extent. But we think that for the majority of people the need for the power process is not fully satisfied. In the first place, those who have an insatiable drive for status, or who get firmly “hooked” on a surrogate activity, or who identify strongly enough with a movement or organization to satisfy their need for power in that way, are exceptional personalities. Others are not fully satisfied with surrogate activities or by identification with an organization (see paragraphs 41, 64). In the second place, too much control is imposed by the system through explicit regulation or through socialization, which results in a deficiency of autonomy, and in frustration due to the impossibility of attaining certain goals and the necessity of restraining too many impulses.

MTI culture is the summation of all who strut their stuff on the stage of society pursuing short-term self interest as if it were all about self over system. Becoming transhumans who live forever seems sane. Opposite is a 'system over self' paradigm in which we are the environment we serve as agents of Gaia to maximize the empower of the system we are small subsystem of for a time because that's what works, bitches, to be evolvable. Evolve or go extinct.

86. But even if most people in industrial-technological society were well satisfied, we (FC) would still be opposed to that form of society, because (among other reasons) we consider it demeaning to fulfill one’s need for the power process through surrogate activities or through identification with an organization, rather than through pursuit of real goals.

The struggle between 'for' and 'against' is the mind's worst disease. Don't be against MTI society, understand it. Doing so will destroy it one mind at a time.


THE MOTIVES OF SCIENTISTS

 

87. Science and technology provide the most important examples of surrogate activities. Some scientists claim that they are motivated by “curiosity” or by a desire to “benefit humanity.” But it is easy to see that neither of these can be the principal motive of most scientists. As for “curiosity,” that notion is simply absurd. Most scientists work on highly specialized problems that are not the object of any normal curiosity. For example, is an astronomer, a mathematician or an entomologist curious about the properties of isopropyltrimethylmethane? Of course not. Only a chemist is curious about such a thing, and he is curious about it only because chemistry is his surrogate activity. Is the chemist curious about the appropriate classification of a new species of beetle? No. That question is of interest only to the entomologist, and he is interested in it only because entomology is his surrogate activity. If the chemist and the entomologist had to exert themselves seriously to obtain the physical necessities, and if that effort exercised their abilities in an interesting way but in some nonscientific pursuit, then they wouldn’t give a damn about isopropyltrimethylmethane or the classification of beetles. Suppose that lack of funds for postgraduate education had led the chemist to become an insurance broker instead of a chemist. In that case he would have been very interested in insurance matters but would have cared nothing about isopropyltrimethylmethane. In any case it is not normal to put into the satisfaction of mere curiosity the amount of time and effort that scientists put into their work. The “curiosity” explanation for the scientists’ motive just doesn’t stand up.

All forms of expertise are value if paid for, e.g. expert witnesses at a trial hired to tell a story. Some science is useful and lines form to serve, and many are happy to contribute to the journal of irreproducible results of their patronizing. MTI society values science, all things, as Eckhart said most used to value God or their cow, i.e. for the milk and cheese and profit it brings. For as long as science adds to the list of profitable things, it is supported. Obviously the vast majority of professional scientists and engineers work to serve the economy who bread they eat. I a matter-energy systems society, the contingencies would be inverted. Those doing surrogate work would be selected out. Those who would rather know than believe, who want to find things out, to guess then test, who want to know the mind of God would be selected for.

88. The “benefit of humanity” explanation doesn’t work any better. Some scientific work has no conceivable relation to the welfare of the human race—most of archaeology or comparative linguistics for example. Some other areas of science present obviously dangerous possibilities. Yet scientists in these areas are just as enthusiastic about their work as those who develop vaccines or study air pollution. Consider the case of Dr. Edward Teller, who had an obvious emotional involvement in promoting nuclear power plants. Did this involvement stem from a desire to benefit humanity? If so, then why didn’t Dr. Teller get emotional about other “humanitarian” causes? If he was such a humanitarian then why did he help to develop the H- bomb? As with many other scientific achievements, it is very much open to question whether nuclear power plants actually do benefit humanity. Does the cheap electricity outweigh the accumulating waste and the risk of accidents? Dr. Teller saw only one side of the question. Clearly his emotional involvement with nuclear power arose not from a desire to “benefit humanity” but from a personal fulfillment he got from his work and from seeing it put to practical use.

The best scientific work tells us of the Cosmos and has no conceivable focus on the denizens of Sol's third rock who still think digital watches are a pretty neat idea. In a naturcentric worldview, humans and their parasites are included as subsystems of intrinsically equal interest. In an era of commercialized MTI system serving science, the real value of listening to Nature is lost, including on most scientists. Only specialists are valued for the profit they bring. The matter-energy systems worldview, being naturcentric, is antithetical to MTI narratives in all their forms, whether today's Growth's mandate or the prior God's mandate certitude.

89. The same is true of scientists generally. With possible rare exceptions, their motive is neither curiosity nor a desire to benefit humanity but the need to go through the power process: to have a goal (a scientific problem to solve), to make an effort (research) and to attain the goal (solution of the problem.) Science is a surrogate activity because scientists work mainly for the fulfillment they get out of the work itself.

Science that is not a surrogate activity is based on our not being able to persist as the millennia pass without some grasp of the what-is, aka reality, without which, but with technology, we are pathogens selecting for our own failure. 

90. Of course, it’s not that simple. Other motives do play a role for many scientists. Money and status for example. Some scientists may be persons of the type who have an insatiable drive for status (see paragraph 79) and this may provide much of the motivation for their work. No doubt the majority of scientists, like the majority of the general population, are more or less susceptible to advertising and marketing techniques and need money to satisfy their craving for goods and services. Thus science is not a PURE surrogate activity. But it is in large part a surrogate activity.

It is a surrogate activity, and this too shall pass away. The need to tell better stories, to guess then test, to contribute to a coherent matter-energy-li systems view will not. The need to give expression to one's inner vision, whether in art or science, will persist if humans do. Telling likely stories is a high-stakes game.

91. Also, science and technology constitute a power mass movement, and many scientists gratify their need for power through identification with this mass movement (see paragraph 83).

Technology empowers, hence the need for limits self-imposed. 

92. Thus science marches on blindly, without regard to the real welfare of the human race or to any other standard, obedient only to the psychological needs of the scientists and of the government officials and corporation executives who provide the funds for research.

Thus MTI society, along with the scientists and technologists who serve it, march on, for a time. Some scientist have warned us, however.


THE NATURE OF FREEDOM

 

93. We are going to argue that industrial-technological society cannot be reformed in such a way as to prevent it from progressively narrowing the sphere of human freedom. But, because “freedom” is a word that can be interpreted in many ways, we must first make clear what kind of freedom we are concerned with.

MTI society cannot be reformed to prevent it from selecting for its own failure to be evolvable. To be evolvable, Nature selects and will select against short-termism. 

94. By “freedom” we mean the opportunity to go through the power process, with real goals not the artificial goals of surrogate activities, and without interference, manipulation or supervision from anyone, especially from any large organization. Freedom means being in control (either as an individual or as a member of a SMALL group) of the life-and-death issues of one’s existence; food, clothing, shelter and defense against whatever threats there may be in one’s environment. Freedom means having power; not the power to control other people but the power to control the circumstances of one’s own life. One does not have freedom if anyone else (especially a large organization) has power over one, no matter how benevolently, tolerantly and permissively that power may be exercised. It is important not to confuse freedom with mere permissiveness (see paragraph 72).

As scare quotes should scare us, freedom is a social construct that is not 'out there'. In a matter-energy systems domain of discourse, 'free will' is an incoherent MTI serving concept like 'God's mandate' (divine right of kings). The words reference other concepts and tell a story. 'Getting right with Mother' may reference our collective failure to live properly with the planet, having our dissipation as outcome. Wanting to persist would be a goal to consider. 

95. It is said that we live in a free society because we have a certain number of constitutionally guaranteed rights. But these are not as important as they seem. The degree of personal freedom that exists in a society is determined more by the economic and technological structure of the society than by its laws or its form of government. [16] Most of the Indian nations of New England were monarchies, and many of the cities of the Italian Renaissance were controlled by dictators. But in reading about these societies one gets the impression that they allowed far more personal freedom than our society does. In part this was because they lacked efficient mechanisms for enforcing the ruler’s will: There were no modern, well-organized police forces, no rapid long-distance communications, no surveillance cameras, no dossiers of information about the lives of average citizens. Hence it was relatively easy to evade control.

Allowing individuals and SMALL groups 'to grow wild according to thy nature' could be called a policy of freedom. But the freedom to become a cancer on thy environment is what got us into this fine mess we are in. So 'freedom' within limits may be the best, most viable policy to allow for the diversity Nature needs to select from. To be evolvable, failure has to be a viable option. Failed experiments in living are not an existential threat to the species. Not evolving is.

96. As for our constitutional rights, consider for example that of freedom of the press. We certainly don’t mean to knock that right; it is very important tool for limiting concentration of political power and for keeping those who do have political power in line by publicly exposing any misbehavior on their part. But freedom of the press is of very little use to the average citizen as an individual. The mass media are mostly under the control of large organizations that are integrated into the system. Anyone who has a little money can have something printed, or can distribute it on the Internet or in some such way, but what he has to say will be swamped by the vast volume of material put out by the media, hence it will have no practical effect. To make an impression on society with words is therefore almost impossible for most individuals and small groups. Take us (FC) for example. If we had never done anything violent and had submitted the present writings to a publisher, they probably would not have been accepted. If they had been been accepted and published, they probably would not have attracted many readers, because it’s more fun to watch the entertainment put out by the media than to read a sober essay. Even if these writings had had many readers, most of these readers would soon have forgotten what they had read as their minds were flooded by the mass of material to which the media expose them. In order to get our message before the public with some chance of making a lasting impression, we’ve had to kill people.

To be published, you can write anything that is sellable. Is this 'freedom'? If not sellable, there is the vanity press no one will read. Are you free to spread one's memes? If, like a Steven Pinker or Noam Chomsky, you tell your readers what they want to hear better than they can, then for providing this service, there are rewards. For telling people what they don't want to hear (e.g. that there are too many humans on the planet consuming too much stuff) is not rewarded. If you tell those who have been hearing the scientist's warning for 50 years that a Green New Deal (GND) and solar panels on their roof's will keep their Teslas, ACs, and refrigerators humming, then you may sell books too, for a time, until no one can believe in the GND and embrace the next pretend solution.

97. Constitutional rights are useful up to a point, but they do not serve to guarantee much more than what might be called the bourgeois conception of freedom. According to the bourgeois conception, a “free” man is essentially an element of a social machine and has only a certain set of prescribed and delimited freedoms; freedoms that are designed to serve the needs of the social machine more than those of the individual. Thus the bourgeois’s “free” man has economic freedom because that promotes growth and progress; he has freedom of the press because public criticism restrains misbehavior by political leaders; he has a right to a fair trial because imprisonment at the whim of the powerful would be bad for the system. This was clearly the attitude of Simon Bolivar. To him, people deserved liberty only if they used it to promote progress (progress as conceived by the bourgeois). Other bourgeois thinkers have taken a similar view of freedom as a mere means to collective ends. Chester C. Tan, “Chinese Political Thought in the Twentieth Century,” page 202, explains the philosophy of the Kuomintang leader Hu Han-min: “An individual is granted rights because he is a member of society and his community life requires such rights. By community Hu meant the whole society of the nation.” And on page 259 Tan states that according to Carsum Chang (Chang Chun-mai, head of the State Socialist Party in China) freedom had to be used in the interest of the state and of the people as a whole. But what kind of freedom does one have if one can use it only as someone else prescribes? FC’s conception of freedom is not that of Bolivar, Hu, Chang or other bourgeois theorists. The trouble with such theorists is that they have made the development and application of social theories their surrogate activity. Consequently the theories are designed to serve the needs of the theorists more than the needs of any people who may be unlucky enough to live in a society on which the theories are imposed.

FC succeeded and most readers soon forgot what they had read. To not have to repeat an experiment while expecting a different outcome means I don't have to kill people. At some point, some people can vote with their feet. Maybe enough will. One watershed management unit, composed of a hundred or so SMALL groups of functional humans, may be enough to pass through the bottleneck and not repeat the BAU/MTI pattern. A viable civilization, even one initially but a few thousand in number, could serve as a pattern to replicate, but only if and because it actually could work, is potentially viable long term as the millennia pass. MTI society manufactures legions of intelligentsia storytellers who vie to tweak the consensus narrative typically along two competing left/right narratives. They freely ply for influence within chat groups at taverns or online, on up to boardrooms and assorted 'smoke filled rooms'. A consensus emerges, but no one individual dominates for long if one does.

98. One more point to be made in this section: It should not be assumed that a person has enough freedom just because he SAYS he has enough. Freedom is restricted in part by psychological controls of which people are unconscious, and moreover many people’s ideas of what constitutes freedom are governed more by social convention than by their real needs. For example, it’s likely that many leftists of the oversocialized type would say that most people, including themselves, are socialized too little rather than too much, yet the oversocialized leftist pays a heavy psychological price for his high level of socialization.


'Freedom is the recognition of necessity.' [Hegel]. Nature determines necessity. No one gets a vote. Such freedom is not a social construct and failures of recognition can have extinction as outcome. The freedom to fail will become a constitutional right.


SOME PRINCIPLES OF HISTORY

 

99. Think of history as being the sum of two components: an erratic component that consists of unpredictable events that follow no discernible pattern, and a regular component that consists of long-term historical trends. Here we are concerned with the long-term trends.

Think of history as the endeavor to tell likely stories about past systems based entirely on our study of observable systems. 

100. FIRST PRINCIPLE. If a SMALL change is made that affects a long-term historical trend, then the effect of that change will almost always be transitory—the trend will soon revert to its original state. (Example: A reform movement designed to clean up political corruption in a society rarely has more than a short-term effect; sooner or later the reformers relax and corruption creeps back in. The level of political corruption in a given society tends to remain constant, or to change only slowly with the evolution of the society. Normally, a political cleanup will be permanent only if accompanied by widespread social changes; a SMALL change in the society won’t be enough.) If a small change in a long-term historical trend appears to be permanent, it is only because the change acts in the direction in which the trend is already moving, so that the trend is not altered [but] only pushed a step ahead.

The flap of a butterfly's wing may cause a tornado, but mid-tornado, a billion butterflies flapping will have no measurable effect.  The 1st principle of complex systems is that they are not only more complex than we know, but more complex than we can know. We can only tell likely stories, make simplified models, and iterate towards some understanding of them as subsystems of subsystems embedded within systems.

101. The first principle is almost a tautology. If a trend were not stable with respect to small changes, it would wander at random rather than following a definite direction; in other words it would not be a long- term trend at all.

That we know nothing (with certainty apart from tautologies) is the straight up what is in front of our pug-nosed faces fact. 

102. SECOND PRINCIPLE. If a change is made that is sufficiently large to alter permanently a long-term historical trend, then it will alter the society as a whole. In other words, a society is a system in which all parts are interrelated, and you can’t permanently change any important part without changing all other parts as well.

'We can never do merely one thing. Any intrusion into nature has numerous effects, many of which are unpredictable.' [Garrett Hardin] 

103. THIRD PRINCIPLE. If a change is made that is large enough to alter permanently a long-term trend, then the consequences for the society as a whole cannot be predicted in advance. (Unless various other societies have passed through the same change and have all experienced the same consequences, in which case one can predict on empirical grounds that another society that passes through the same change will be like to experience similar consequences.)

To permanently change a system, you must change 'the rules of the game' that selects for outcome. Pay two chess players for the number of moves made and the game will never end. 

104. FOURTH PRINCIPLE. A new kind of society cannot be designed on paper. That is, you cannot plan out a new form of society in advance, then set it up and expect it to function as it was designed to do.

You design rules of the game that selects for a viable outcome long term starting with the laws of thermodynamics

105. The third and fourth principles result from the complexity of human societies. A change in human behavior will affect the economy of a society and its physical environment; the economy will affect the environment and vice versa, and the changes in the economy and the environment will affect human behavior in complex, unpredictable ways; and so forth. The network of causes and effects is far too complex to be untangled and understood.

Many eggs in one basket is a design flaw. Instead of trying to manage one global complex society, manage 25k complex societies that are largely autonomous, minimally, as a global Federation of Watershed Management Units. 

106. FIFTH PRINCIPLE. People do not consciously and rationally choose the form of their society. Societies develop through processes of social evolution that are not under rational human control.

Come up with 64k designs, individuals can guess which might work, and vote with their feet to make it so. 

107. The fifth principle is a consequence of the other four.

 

108. To illustrate: By the first principle, generally speaking an attempt at social reform either acts in the direction in which the society is developing anyway (so that it merely accelerates a change that would have occurred in any case) or else it has only a transitory effect, so that the society soon slips back into its old groove. To make a lasting change in the direction of development of any important aspect of a society, reform is insufficient and revolution is required. (A revolution does not necessarily involve an armed uprising or the overthrow of a government.) By the second principle, a revolution never changes only one aspect of a society, it changes the whole society; and by the third principle changes occur that were never expected or desired by the revolutionaries. By the fourth principle, when revolutionaries or utopians set up a new kind of society, it never works out as planned.

'In order to change an existing paradigm you do not struggle to try and change the problematic model. You create a new model and make the old one obsolete. That, in essence, is the higher service to which we are all being called.' —R. Buckminster Fuller.  In computer-speak, you can't reform Google into DuckDuckGo. If the MTI OS is not remotely sustainable leading to system collapse, having a viable OS ready for a clean install would have a revolutionary outcome.

109. The American Revolution does not provide a counterexample. The American “Revolution” was not a revolution in our sense of the word, but a war of independence followed by a rather far-reaching political reform. The Founding Fathers did not change the direction of development of American society, nor did they aspire to do so. They only freed the development of American society from the retarding effect of British rule. Their political reform did not change any basic trend, but only pushed American political culture along its natural direction of development. British society, of which American society was an offshoot, had been moving for a long time in the direction of representative democracy. And prior to the War of Independence the Americans were already practicing a significant degree of representative democracy in the colonial assemblies. The political system established by the Constitution was modeled on the British system and on the colonial assemblies. With major alteration, to be sure—there is no doubt that the Founding Fathers took a very important step. But it was a step along the road that English-speaking world was already traveling. The proof is that Britain and all of its colonies that were populated predominantly by people of British descent ended up with systems of representative democracy essentially similar to that of the United States. If the Founding Fathers had lost their nerve and declined to sign the Declaration of Independence, our way of life today would not have been significantly different. Maybe we would have had somewhat closer ties to Britain, and would have had a Parliament and Prime Minister instead of a Congress and President. No big deal. Thus the American Revolution provides not a counterexample to our principles but a good illustration of them.

Rule by distant elites is inefficient. Local elites could do a better job of taking the resources of a continent. Three main countries were the outcome who developed North America as Spain, England, France, and Russia would have if they could have kept on doing so from a distance. No revolutionary changes whatsoever, just BAU. Democracy merely proved to be more efficient than all the others in growing economies, so virtually all nation-states embraced the democratic-capitalist model to make Russian billionaires and enrich CCP members. Welcome to the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, and thank you Kim Jong-un, President of the State Affairs Commission for finally leading your people (and resources) into the folds of MTI society/global economy. So wait for it: down with democracy, up with naturocracy.

110. Still, one has to use common sense in applying the principles. They are expressed in imprecise language that allows latitude for interpretation, and exceptions to them can be found. So we present these principles not as inviolable laws but as rules of thumb, or guides to thinking, that may provide a partial antidote to naive ideas about the future of society. The principles should be borne constantly in mind, and whenever one reaches a conclusion that conflicts with them one should carefully reexamine one’s thinking and retain the conclusion only if one has good, solid reasons for doing so.

If conclusions determine what one's reasoning shall be and evidence considered, then one's reasoning is sham. At best, if we endeavor to think well, our attempts to reason well and interpret partial evidence lead us to tentative conclusions and to consider, improbably, the possibility one might be right.


INDUSTRIAL-TECHNOLOGICAL SOCIETY CANNOT BE REFORMED

111. The foregoing principles help to show how hopelessly difficult it would be to reform the industrial system in such a way as to prevent it from progressively narrowing our sphere of freedom. There has been a consistent tendency, going back at least to the Industrial Revolution for technology to strengthen the system at a high cost in individual freedom and local autonomy. Hence any change designed to protect freedom from technology would be contrary to a fundamental trend in the development of our society. Consequently, such a change either would be a transitory one—soon swamped by the tide of history—or, if large enough to be permanent would alter the nature of our whole society. This by the first and second principles. Moreover, since society would be altered in a way that could not be predicted in advance (third principle) there would be great risk. Changes large enough to make a lasting difference in favor of freedom would not be initiated because it would be realized that they would gravely disrupt the system. So any attempts at reform would be too timid to be effective. Even if changes large enough to make a lasting difference were initiated, they would be retracted when their disruptive effects became apparent. Thus, permanent changes in favor of freedom could be brought about only by persons prepared to accept radical, dangerous and unpredictable alteration of the entire system. In other words by revolutionaries, not reformers.

 

Both far left and far right have one dream in common: civil war. Each as a different vision of how to bring it about, but a race war will serve both. Both sides share the same narrative: WE WIN!!!!! Both are equally delusional. One could prevail to inherit the rubble, but there will be no winner. My freedom to recognize necessity and address it is severely opposed by those on the far ends of the political spectrum and all between. There are no political solutions. Conflict over political solutions will be the death of MTI society. Only a few prepared to accept radical, dangerous and unpredictable alteration of a sub-region's rules of the game, a possible pocket of sustainability,  may endure by voting with their feet to become the majority within.

112. People anxious to rescue freedom without sacrificing the supposed benefits of technology will suggest naive schemes for some new form of society that would reconcile freedom with technology. Apart from the fact that people who make such suggestions seldom propose any practical means by which the new form of society could be set up in the first place, it follows from the fourth principle that even if the new form of society could be once established, it either would collapse or would give results very different from those expected.

Altering the rules of the game within a SMALL region (watershed management unit, WMU) only those who agree to implement by voting with their feet to move there, is more viable than 'alteration of the entire system'. Initially, most WMUs may fail.

113. So even on very general grounds it seems highly improbable that any way of changing society could be found that would reconcile freedom with modern technology. In the next few sections we will give more specific reasons for concluding that freedom and technological progress are incompatible.

Technology that is not sustainable, e.g. cars, becomes lawn ornaments. Technology that is sustainable must be viewed as a potential threat without constraints, e.g. guns.


RESTRICTION OF FREEDOM IS UNAVOIDABLE IN INDUSTRIAL SOCIETY

 

114. As explained in paragraphs 65-67, 70-73, modern man is strapped down by a network of rules and regulations, and his fate depends on the actions of persons remote from him whose decisions he cannot influence. This is not accidental or a result of the arbitrariness of arrogant bureaucrats. It is necessary and inevitable in any technologically advanced society. The system HAS TO regulate human behavior closely in order to function. At work people have to do what they are told to do, otherwise production would be thrown into chaos. Bureaucracies HAVE TO be run according to rigid rules. To allow any substantial personal discretion to lower-level bureaucrats would disrupt the system and lead to charges of unfairness due to differences in the way individual bureaucrats exercised their discretion. It is true that some restrictions on our freedom could be eliminated, but GENERALLY SPEAKING the regulation of our lives by large organizations is necessary for the functioning of industrial-technological society. The result is a sense of powerlessness on the part of the average person. It may be, however, that formal regulations will tend increasingly to be replaced by psychological tools that make us want to do what the system requires of us. (Propaganda [14], educational techniques, “mental health” programs, etc.)

Denizens of MTI society must serve the system. I’ve been listening to environmental activists (when not serving the system) for over 50 years make passionate calls to action. Meanwhile, the pace of planetary destruction and growth of MTI society has not slowed. This is because no one in public can mention real solutions and be given awards for public service like Gore for noting Inconvenient Truths or Nixon for creation of the Environmental Protection Agency. 

115. The system HAS TO force people to behave in ways that are increasingly remote from the natural pattern of human behavior. For example, the system needs scientists, mathematicians and engineers. It can’t function without them. So heavy pressure is put on children to excel in these fields. It isn’t natural for an adolescent human being to spend the bulk of his time sitting at a desk absorbed in study. A normal adolescent wants to spend his time in active contact with the real world. Among primitive peoples the things that children are trained to do tend to be in reasonable harmony with natural human impulses. Among the American Indians, for example, boys were trained in active outdoor pursuits—just the sort of thing that boys like. But in our society children are pushed into studying technical subjects, which most do grudgingly.

We are all products of a broken educational system. Foresight intelligence is not strong with us. May the Foresight someday (soon) be with us. It is entirely possible to graduate from a top university with highest honors and know essentially nothing about carrying capacity and overshoot , among many other things of critical importance to human persistence.

116. Because of the constant pressure that the system exerts to modify human behavior, there is a gradual increase in the number of people who cannot or will not adjust to society’s requirements: welfare leeches, youth-gang members, cultists, anti-government rebels, radical environmentalist saboteurs, dropouts and resisters of various kinds.

One modern way to tune out, turn off, and drop out is to live in a virtual screen-time reality, the modern virtual wonder drug of choice causing vastly more harm than mere chemicals could.

117. In any technologically advanced society the individual’s fate MUST depend on decisions that he personally cannot influence to any great extent. A technological society cannot be broken down into small, autonomous communities, because production depends on the cooperation of very large numbers of people and machines. Such a society MUST be highly organized and decisions HAVE TO be made that affect very large numbers of people. When a decision affects, say, a million people, then each of the affected individuals has, on the average, only a one-millionth share in making the decision. What usually happens in practice is that decisions are made by public officials or corporation executives, or by technical specialists, but even when the public votes on a decision the number of voters ordinarily is too large for the vote of any one individual to be significant. [17] Thus most individuals are unable to influence measurably the major decisions that affect their lives. There is no conceivable way to remedy this in a technologically advanced society. The system tries to “solve” this problem by using propaganda to make people WANT the decisions that have been made for them, but even if this “solution” were completely successful in making people feel better, it would be demeaning.

Empire MUST grow by assimilation. There MUST be a consensus narrative that justifies its activities, such as priests did with their God's mandate verity or NC economists do with their Growth's mandate narrative. In a Federation, 25k small, autonomous WMUs could agree to universally applied limits and an manage in kind a small number of autonomous communities within that also MUST agree to limits mutually agreed to and imposed by mutual coercion if need be. One WMU cannot maximize fertility rates of humans, pets, or livestock and solve resultant issues by exporting the surplus populations by forced immigration. 

118. Conservatives and some others advocate more “local autonomy.” Local communities once did have autonomy, but such autonomy becomes less and less possible as local communities become more enmeshed with and dependent on large-scale systems like public utilities, computer networks, highway systems, the mass communications media, the modern health care system. Also operating against autonomy is the fact that technology applied in one location often affects people at other locations far way. Thus pesticide or chemical use near a creek may contaminate the water supply hundreds of miles downstream, and the greenhouse effect affects the whole world.

A Federation of WMUs would maximize WMU autonomy and each WMU could maximize the autonomy of communities. But 'freedom', autonomy, comes with the recognition of necessity and self-imposed autonomous limitation come with recognition, understanding. In a body, carcenogenic growth is autonomous, for a time, as pathogenic communities. 

119. The system does not and cannot exist to satisfy human needs. Instead, it is human behavior that has to be modified to fit the needs of the system. This has nothing to do with the political or social ideology that may pretend to guide the technological system. It is the fault of technology, because the system is guided not by ideology but by technical necessity. [18] Of course the system does satisfy many human needs, but generally speaking it does this only to the extend that it is to the advantage of the system to do it. It is the needs of the system that are paramount, not those of the human being. For example, the system provides people with food because the system couldn’t function if everyone starved; it attends to people’s psychological needs whenever it can CONVENIENTLY do so, because it couldn’t function if too many people became depressed or rebellious. But the system, for good, solid, practical reasons, must exert constant pressure on people to mold their behavior to the needs of the system. To much waste accumulating? The government, the media, the educational system, environmentalists, everyone inundates us with a mass of propaganda about recycling. Need more technical personnel? A chorus of voices exhorts kids to study science. No one stops to ask whether it is inhumane to force adolescents to spend the bulk of their time studying subjects most of them hate. When skilled workers are put out of a job by technical advances and have to undergo “retraining,” no one asks whether it is humiliating for them to be pushed around in this way. It is simply taken for granted that everyone must bow to technical necessity. and for good reason: If human needs were put before technical necessity there would be economic problems, unemployment, shortages or worse. The concept of “mental health” in our society is defined largely by the extent to which an individual behaves in accord with the needs of the system and does so without showing signs of stress.

We MTI humans have technology, but it is truer to say we are had by it, as in possessed by, dependent on, and so must serve to maximize our short-term self interests at the experience of posterity whose needs and existence we MUST be blind to. It is critical to realize that 'the system' is not a smoke-filled room of white males or reptoid overlords running the show. The solemn pretenders pretend. We are the metastatic system that produced us which we serve. Understanding it is the ending of it, the only Rx for our evolution. We are the elites and would-be wannabe elites who imagine we can decouple from Nature and become transhumans who live forever. Our MTI narrative, everything we think we know, is a social construct. We must embrace our error, ignorance, and illusion as our condition we can but iterate away from. We can embrace the humility of not knowing and stand down, a position from which we can listen to Nature as system over illusory Self.

120. Efforts to make room for a sense of purpose and for autonomy within the system are no better than a joke. For example, one company, instead of having each of its employees assemble only one section of a catalogue, had each assemble a whole catalogue, and this was supposed to give them a sense of purpose and achievement. Some companies have tried to give their employees more autonomy in their work, but for practical reasons this usually can be done only to a very limited extent, and in any case employees are never given autonomy as to ultimate goals—their “autonomous” efforts can never be directed toward goals that they select personally, but only toward their employer’s goals, such as the survival and growth of the company. Any company would soon go out of business if it permitted its employees to act otherwise. Similarly, in any enterprise within a socialist system, workers must direct their efforts toward the goals of the enterprise, otherwise the enterprise will not serve its purpose as part of the system. Once again, for purely technical reasons it is not possible for most individuals or small groups to have much autonomy in industrial society. Even the small-business owner commonly has only limited autonomy. Apart from the necessity of government regulation, he is restricted by the fact that he must fit into the economic system and conform to its requirements. For instance, when someone develops a new technology, the small-business person often has to use that technology whether he wants to or not, in order to remain competitive.

We can aspire to a tremendously limited understanding of an immense and amazing universe that is far beyond hu-man comprehension. We MUST 'get' at a gut-level the paradigm that there are no true paradigms, and to see that that itself is a paradigm, and to regard that whole realization as devastatingly funny. It is to let go into not-knowing, into rigorously analyzing a system or rigorously casting off our own paradigms and throwing ourself into the humility of not-knowing. In the end, it seems that mastery has less to do with pushing leverage points than it does with strategically, profoundly, madly, letting go and dancing with the system [as the nature of things]. [idea: Donella Meadows, Thinking in Systems: A Primer]


THE ‘BAD’ PARTS OF TECHNOLOGY CANNOT BE SEPARATED FROM THE ‘GOOD’ PARTS

 

121. A further reason why industrial society cannot be reformed in favor of freedom is that modern technology is a unified system in which all parts are dependent on one another. You can’t get rid of the “bad” parts of technology and retain only the “good” parts. Take modern medicine, for example. Progress in medical science depends on progress in chemistry, physics, biology, computer science and other fields. Advanced medical treatments require expensive, high-tech equipment that can be made available only by a technologically progressive, economically rich society. Clearly you can’t have much progress in medicine without the whole technological system and everything that goes with it.

If you were born in Omelas, the only thing you can sanely do is walk away. You cannot reform it, you cannot change the consensus narrative that life in Omelas is wonderful until it isn't, until Omelas collapses if it cannot stomp in one human face forever. Maybe it can. If MTI society cannot persist, prepare information packages now and save your lament for posterity.

122. Even if medical progress could be maintained without the rest of the technological system, it would by itself bring certain evils. Suppose for example that a cure for diabetes is discovered. People with a genetic tendency to diabetes will then be able to survive and reproduce as well as anyone else. Natural selection against genes for diabetes will cease and such genes will spread throughout the population. (This may be occurring to some extent already, since diabetes, while not curable, can be controlled through use of insulin.) The same thing will happen with many other diseases susceptibility to which is affected by genetic degradation of the population. The only solution will be some sort of eugenics program or extensive genetic engineering of human beings, so that man in the future will no longer be a creation of nature, or of chance, or of God (depending on your religious or philosophical opinions), but a manufactured product.

MTI culture is epitomized by transhumanist dreams of immortality for the individual ego especially as a manufactured product of human ingenuity. We are presumed to all be Lord Man wannabes, and, largely manufactured products that we now are, most would not refuse the latest Borg technological implants. Only foreseeing the outcome of this trajectory can deliver use ('free' us) from it. To be part of Nature, we hu-mans must stand down. 

123. If you think that big government interferes in your life too much NOW, just wait till the government starts regulating the genetic constitution of your children. Such regulation will inevitably follow the introduction of genetic engineering of human beings, because the consequences of unregulated genetic engineering would be disastrous. [19]

If CRISPR technology serves a theocracy, humans will become more devout, if the economy, better workers, the political control system, more complaint. If MTI society, all the above and more. 

124. The usual response to such concerns is to talk about “medical ethics.” But a code of ethics would not serve to protect freedom in the face of medical progress; it would only make matters worse. A code of ethics applicable to genetic engineering would be in effect a means of regulating the genetic constitution of human beings. Somebody (probably the upper-middle class, mostly) would decide that such and such applications of genetic engineering were “ethical” and others were not, so that in effect they would be imposing their own values on the genetic constitution of the population at large. Even if a code of ethics were chosen on a completely democratic basis, the majority would be imposing their own values on any minorities who might have a different idea of what constituted an “ethical” use of genetic engineering. The only code of ethics that would truly protect freedom would be one that prohibited ANY genetic engineering of human beings, and you can be sure that no such code will ever be applied in a technological society. No code that reduced genetic engineering to a minor role could stand up for long, because the temptation presented by the immense power of biotechnology would be irresistible, especially since to the majority of people many of its applications will seem obviously and unequivocally good (eliminating physical and mental diseases, giving people the abilities they need to get along in today’s world). Inevitably, genetic engineering will be used extensively, but only in ways consistent with the needs of the industrial- technological system. [20]

The ethics of the Borg Collective had its origins here in the 20th century. The left-leaning will demand that the benefits of genetic engineering be made available equally to the poor, provided that the poor of color are first, to redress systemic racism. Some on the far right may insist that only white people should life forever, but they will not be serving the system and will be strongly selected against even if activists on the left were to ignored them. Giving political animals technology is like giving every child in a juvenile detention center a machete to sharpen, with stern exhortations to work hard and be happy in their work, then all adults leave for a week to attend a conference, leaving plenty of milk, cereal, and blankets behind, with the comforting thought, 'what could go wrong?'


TECHNOLOGY IS A MORE POWERFUL SOCIAL FORCE THAN THE ASPIRATION FOR FREEDOM

 

125. It is not possible to make a LASTING compromise between technology and freedom, because technology is by far the more powerful social force and continually encroaches on freedom through REPEATED compromises. Imagine the case of two neighbors, each of whom at the outset owns the same amount of land, but one of whom is more powerful than the other. The powerful one demands a piece of the other’s land. The weak one refuses. The powerful one says, “OK, let’s compromise. Give me half of what I asked.” The weak one has little choice but to give in. Some time later the powerful neighbor demands another piece of land, again there is a compromise, and so forth. By forcing a long series of compromises on the weaker man, the powerful one eventually gets all of his land. So it goes in the conflict between technology and freedom.

Any technology, e.g. Clovis point, must be presumed to do more harm than good long term. Any claim that it does not is extraordinary and should only be tested on a small scale with plans to remove it if unforeseen harm arises. Machetes may do more harm than good in a society that fails to teach its young the limits of usage. Most issues of harm as existential threat are issues of lack of needed limits. To urge to fly homemade and designed kites may be manageable.

126. Let us explain why technology is a more powerful social force than the aspiration for freedom.

Technology within limits may not be the death of us. Or it may. 

127. A technological advance that appears not to threaten freedom often turns out to threaten it very seriously later on. For example, consider motorized transport. A walking man formerly could go where he pleased, go at his own pace without observing any traffic regulations, and was independent of technological support-systems. When motor vehicles were introduced they appeared to increase man’s freedom. They took no freedom away from the walking man, no one had to have an automobile if he didn’t want one, and anyone who did choose to buy an automobile could travel much faster and farther than a walking man. But the introduction of motorized transport soon changed society in such a way as to restrict greatly man’s freedom of locomotion. When automobiles became numerous, it became necessary to regulate their use extensively. In a car, especially in densely populated areas, one cannot just go where one likes at one’s own pace one’s movement is governed by the flow of traffic and by various traffic laws. One is tied down by various obligations: license requirements, driver test, renewing registration, insurance, maintenance required for safety, monthly payments on purchase price. Moreover, the use of motorized transport is no longer optional. Since the introduction of motorized transport the arrangement of our cities has changed in such a way that the majority of people no longer live within walking distance of their place of employment, shopping areas and recreational opportunities, so that they HAVE TO depend on the automobile for transportation. Or else they must use public transportation, in which case they have even less control over their own movement than when driving a car. Even the walker’s freedom is now greatly restricted. In the city he continually has to stop to wait for traffic lights that are designed mainly to serve auto traffic. In the country, motor traffic makes it dangerous and unpleasant to walk along the highway. (Note this important point that we have just illustrated with the case of motorized transport: When a new item of technology is introduced as an option that an individual can accept or not as he chooses, it does not necessarily REMAIN optional. In many cases the new technology changes society in such a way that people eventually find themselves FORCED to use it.)

The Golden age of bicycles, 1880-1915, passed as cars came to dominate wheeled transportation. The Golden age of cars too shall pass away, as will the fossil fuel that directly or indirectly powers them. They will again become toys of the rich..., then lawn ornaments. In 1921, in New York City, over a thousand children died by being hit by cars, on average three per day, and the public demanded speed controls be put on the monstrosities. By 1925, cars killed two-thirds of those who happened to die from all causes in cities with populations over 25,000. But jaywalking, the norm, became a crime and cars came to dominate the streets of the city.  'VII. Thou shall not unnecessarily cultivate high power, for error, destruction, noise, and excess vigilance are its evil wastes.' Howard T. Odum, Environment, Power, and Society 1971. E-bike technology seems better, but as used is evil. As assist for the handicapped, including by age some electric assist could be a boon, but limiting bicycle assist to 100W and 7 mph top speed is unthinkable in MTI society. Products of a different culture (and schooling system) might be able to think unthinkable thoughts, limiting e-bikes to the handicapped only.

128. While technological progress AS A WHOLE continually narrows our sphere of freedom, each new technical advance CONSIDERED BY ITSELF appears to be desirable. Electricity, indoor plumbing, rapid long-distance communications ... how could one argue against any of these things, or against any other of the innumerable technical advances that have made modern society? It would have been absurd to resist the introduction of the telephone, for example. It offered many advantages and no disadvantages. Yet, as we explained in paragraphs 59-76, all these technical advances taken together have created a world in which the average man’s fate is no longer in his own hands or in the hands of his neighbors and friends, but in those of politicians, corporation executives and remote, anonymous technicians and bureaucrats whom he as an individual has no power to influence. [21] The same process will continue in the future. Take genetic engineering, for example. Few people will resist the introduction of a genetic technique that eliminates a hereditary disease. It does no apparent harm and prevents much suffering. Yet a large number of genetic improvements taken together will make the human being into an engineered product rather than a free creation of chance (or of God, or whatever, depending on your religious beliefs).

The fate of the average man, woman, child, pet, or cow is not of their own doing, but all, along with entertainers, politicians, corporation executives and anyone behind any curtains pulling levers, are products of a complex society which they can serve or stand in soup lines. The system, socio-political, economic, media, educational, military, etc. subsystems, subsumes all. If you fail to serve with enthusiasm, you will be tolerated unless you turn predateous. As I behave myself, MTI society has shown no inclination whatsoever to do me harm. The harm is unintended and unforeseen. I have no personal complaint, yet I must destroy MTI society one mind at a time beginning with my own via an inability to believe in belief.

129. Another reason why technology is such a powerful social force is that, within the context of a given society, technological progress marches in only one direction; it can never be reversed. Once a technical innovation has been introduced, people usually become dependent on it, so that they can never again do without it, unless it is replaced by some still more advanced innovation. Not only do people become dependent as individuals on a new item of technology, but, even more, the system as a whole becomes dependent on it. (Imagine what would happen to the system today if computers, for example, were eliminated.) Thus the system can move in only one direction, toward greater technologization. Technology repeatedly forces freedom to take a step back, but technology can never take a step back—short of the overthrow of the whole technological system.

The power of technology is for a time as the energy that moves it is for a time. We are riding a whirlwind of fossil fueled exuberance while imagining the growth and progress is due to our clever apeness. Without diesel a farmer's computerized networked tractor is a lawn ornament. Without ultra-high-tech microprocessor manufacturing facilities, all complex electronics will become inert within 30 years as will vast expanses of information.

130. Technology advances with great rapidity and threatens freedom at many different points at the same time (crowding, rules and regulations, increasing dependence of individuals on large organizations, propaganda and other psychological techniques, genetic engineering, invasion of privacy through surveillance devices and computers, etc.). To hold back any ONE of the threats to freedom would require a long and difficult social struggle. Those who want to protect freedom are overwhelmed by the sheer number of new attacks and the rapidity with which they develop, hence they become apathetic and no longer resist. To fight each of the threats separately would be futile. Success can be hoped for only by fighting the technological system as a whole; but that is revolution, not reform.

A collapse of MTI society could easily eliminate the ability to make microprocessors. They cannot be made to replace components by enthusiasts in their garage. Will pockets of high-energy complex society able to conserve information technology and the information embodied in it persist? I would not oppose an endeavor to maintain high-tech abilities around, say, three hydroelectric powered centers. 

131. Technicians (we use this term in its broad sense to describe all those who perform a specialized task that requires training) tend to be so involved in their work (their surrogate activity) that when a conflict arises between their technical work and freedom, they almost always decide in favor of their technical work. This is obvious in the case of scientists, but it also appears elsewhere: Educators, humanitarian groups, conservation organizations do not hesitate to use propaganda or other psychological techniques to help them achieve their laudable ends. Corporations and government agencies, when they find it useful, do not hesitate to collect information about individuals without regard to their privacy. Law enforcement agencies are frequently inconvenienced by the constitutional rights of suspects and often of completely innocent persons, and they do whatever they can do legally (or sometimes illegally) to restrict or circumvent those rights. Most of these educators, government officials and law officers believe in freedom, privacy and constitutional rights, but when these conflict with their work, they usually feel that their work is more important.

The harm done if 50 million humans living in three hydro-powered megacities manage to persist, such as medieval monasteries did, may be less than benefits provided, and harm limited to residents. But there must be other eggs, 25k would be a viable number, of SMALL complex societies. As I cannot be 'free' to live in accord with necessity within MTI society, nor overtly destroy it by force, I can only walk away and if a few others do too, endeavor to self-organize into a viable complex society that new rules of the game select for. MTI society will pass away of its own accord, but may not take all down with it.

132. It is well known that people generally work better and more persistently when striving for a reward than when attempting to avoid a punishment or negative outcome. Scientists and other technicians are motivated mainly by the rewards they get through their work. But those who oppose technological invasions of freedom are working to avoid a negative outcome, consequently there are few who work persistently and well at this discouraging task. If reformers ever achieved a signal victory that seemed to set up a solid barrier against further erosion of freedom through technical progress, most would tend to relax and turn their attention to more agreeable pursuits. But the scientists would remain busy in their laboratories, and technology as it progresses would find ways, in spite of any barriers, to exert more and more control over individuals and make them always more dependent on the system.

Negative reinforcement (punishment) selects for avoidance, while positive contingencies select for persist behavior, and more effectively shapes behavior. Contending with and against MTI dynamics is a distraction. As a social construct, the entire narrative firmly believed in by all today, might not be tomorrow if a sufficiently strong disconfirming event occurs. Undermining the collective certitude can help when an I-told-you-so moment comes.

133. No social arrangements, whether laws, institutions, customs or ethical codes, can provide permanent protection against technology. History shows that all social arrangements are transitory; they all change or break down eventually. But technological advances are permanent within the context of a given civilization. Suppose for example that it were possible to arrive at some social arrangements that would prevent genetic engineering from being applied to human beings, or prevent it from being applied in such a way as to threaten freedom and dignity. Still, the technology would remain waiting. Sooner or later the social arrangement would break down. Probably sooner, given the pace of change in our society. Then genetic engineering would begin to invade our sphere of freedom, and this invasion would be irreversible (short of a breakdown of technological civilization itself). Any illusions about achieving anything permanent through social arrangements should be dispelled by what is currently happening with environmental legislation. A few years ago its seemed that there were secure legal barriers preventing at least SOME of the worst forms of environmental degradation. A change in the political wind, and those barriers begin to crumble.

A low energy near future (<100 years) is foreseeable. An extremely optimistic goal might be 50wH/person/day electrical services (e.g. LED lighting) with a range of 40wh for poor people and 60wh for elites.  Suppose this could be achieved. Maybe 50wH is too much, but more is not a biophysical option. Car tech will be history. A community might be able to power an e-bike for emergency use for rapid medical transport, but no more. Technological advances are not permanent. In a non-techno-industrial society, the information may be permanent, but any ability to implement it impossible, e.g. making microchips.

134. For all of the foregoing reasons, technology is a more powerful social force than the aspiration for freedom. But this statement requires an important qualification. It appears that during the next several decades the industrial-technological system will be undergoing severe stresses due to economic and environmental problems, and especially due to problems of human behavior (alienation, rebellion, hostility, a variety of social and psychological difficulties). We hope that the stresses through which the system is likely to pass will cause it to break down, or at least will weaken it sufficiently so that a revolution against it becomes possible. If such a revolution occurs and is successful, then at that particular moment the aspiration for freedom will have proved more powerful than technology.

The MTI dynamic will soon as soon can be dissipate, i.e. fall apart. Any belief-based alternative, whether based on a narrative of freedom and dignity, equality and fraternity, or other slogans, being humancentric, will merely come to repeat the pattern. Members of society cannot select their narrative. They must listen to Nature who has all the answers to any question that matters (relating to persistence). 

135. In paragraph 125 we used an analogy of a weak neighbor who is left destitute by a strong neighbor who takes all his land by forcing on him a series of compromises. But suppose now that the strong neighbor gets sick, so that he is unable to defend himself. The weak neighbor can force the strong one to give him his land back, or he can kill him. If he lets the strong man survive and only forces him to give the land back, he is a fool, because when the strong man gets well he will again take all the land for himself. The only sensible alternative for the weaker man is to kill the strong one while he has the chance. In the same way, while the industrial system is sick we must destroy it. If we compromise with it and let it recover from its sickness, it will eventually wipe out all of our freedom.

Living in groups of 20-50 is viable as our biology selects for what works. We cannot 'go back' to that condition only as complex society will arise and some will engage in empire building. Only a larger complex society can resist, i.e. prevent conquest that will select for further conquest. A Federation of small complex societies able to counter any aggression is needed 'to make the world safe' from BAU empire building.


SIMPLER SOCIAL PROBLEMS HAVE PROVED INTRACTABLE

 

136. If anyone still imagines that it would be possible to reform the system in such a way as to protect freedom from technology, let him consider how clumsily and for the most part unsuccessfully our society has dealt with other social problems that are far more simple and straightforward. Among other things, the system has failed to stop environmental degradation, political corruption, drug trafficking or domestic abuse.

The MTI system is not remotely sustainable. 

137. Take our environmental problems, for example. Here the conflict of values is straightforward: economic expedience now versus saving some of our natural resources for our grandchildren. [22] But on this subject we get only a lot of blather and obfuscation from the people who have power, and nothing like a clear, consistent line of action, and we keep on piling up environmental problems that our grandchildren will have to live with. Attempts to resolve the environmental issue consist of struggles and compromises between different factions, some of which are ascendant at one moment, others at another moment. The line of struggle changes with the shifting currents of public opinion. This is not a rational process, nor is it one that is likely to lead to a timely and successful solution to the problem. Major social problems, if they get “solved” at all, are rarely or never solved through any rational, comprehensive plan. They just work themselves out through a process in which various competing groups pursuing their own (usually short- term) self interest [23] arrive (mainly by luck) at some more or less stable modus vivendi. In fact, the principles we formulated in paragraphs 100-106 make it seem doubtful that rational, long-term social planning can EVER be successful.

Assume than even the simplest of complex societies able to persist long term is vastly to complicated to specify by design. A viable design can only specify starting conditions that might select for a viable outcome. Guess then test, and most guesses may well fail, hence starting with 25k guesses is a viable design. Reforming one global system that automatically resists change is not. Coming up with rules that regulate only WMU behavior (not the individuals and communities, managed by the WMU, that make it up) is needed as necessity compels. Failure to foresee what works long term (as Nature determines) has extinction as outcome. 

138. Thus it is clear that the human race has at best a very limited capacity for solving even relatively straightforward social problems. How then is it going to solve the far more difficult and subtle problem of reconciling freedom with technology? Technology presents clear-cut material advantages, whereas freedom is an abstraction that means different things to different people, and its loss is easily obscured by propaganda and fancy talk.

That the human race has not always been empire-building,  techno-industrial, monetized humans is the basis for considering the possibility that post-collapse, some may consider not being so again.

139. And note this important difference: It is conceivable that our environmental problems (for example) may some day be settled through a rational, comprehensive plan, but if this happens it will be only because it is in the long-term interest of the system to solve these problems. But it is NOT in the interest of the system to preserve freedom or small-group autonomy. On the contrary, it is in the interest of the system to bring human behavior under control to the greatest possible extent. [24] Thus, while practical considerations may eventually force the system to take a rational, prudent approach to environmental problems, equally practical considerations will force the system to regulate human behavior ever more closely (preferably by indirect means that will disguise the encroachment on freedom). This isn’t just our opinion. Eminent social scientists (e.g. James Q. Wilson) have stressed the importance of “socializing” people more effectively.

Only the empire-building dynamic of complex society selects for evermore, and hence in preserving small-group autonomy. The Borg are a collective. The Federation would not, by design, be one nor select to become one. Service to the Federation may be a service paid for in social approbation, if only that of posterity. Individuals motivated by short-term self interest would self-select out of the system. A different, non-BAU outcome is possible if no laws of the universe are violated.


REVOLUTION IS EASIER THAN REFORM

 

140. We hope we have convinced the reader that the system cannot be reformed in such a way as to reconcile freedom with technology. The only way out is to dispense with the industrial-technological system altogether. This implies revolution, not necessarily an armed uprising, but certainly a radical and fundamental change in the nature of society.

Realizing that MTI society working feverishly to self-destruct as soon as possible leads to one question: 'And then what?' 

141. People tend to assume that because a revolution involves a much greater change than reform does, it is more difficult to bring about than reform is. Actually, under certain circumstances revolution is much easier than reform. The reason is that a revolutionary movement can inspire an intensity of commitment that a reform movement cannot inspire. A reform movement merely offers to solve a particular social problem. A revolutionary movement offers to solve all problems at one stroke and create a whole new world; it provides the kind of ideal for which people will take great risks and make great sacrifices. For this reasons it would be much easier to overthrow the whole technological system than to put effective, permanent restraints on the development or application of any one segment of technology, such as genetic engineering, for example. Not many people will devote themselves with single-minded passion to imposing and maintaining restraints on genetic engineering, but under suitable conditions large numbers of people may devote themselves passionately to a revolution against the industrial-technological system. As we noted in paragraph 132, reformers seeking to limit certain aspects of technology would be working to avoid a negative outcome. But revolutionaries work to gain a powerful reward—fulfillment of their revolutionary vision—and therefore work harder and more persistently than reformers do.

A radical and fundamental change in the nature of society, e.g. replacing the current Euro-Sino Empire with a global naturocracy/Federation of Watersheds, is Nature's mandate, to find a viable alternative to Growth's mandate culture. Whether armed uprising puts a few heads on pikes or not is secondary, Conflict, however, increases scarcity which typically increases conflict in a downward civilizational death spiral having no viable endpoint. Someone may inherit the rubble, then fade away leaving scan archaeological trace of their great victory. We must revolt by telling a different story, one not of our own making, as usual, but one that comes only by listening to Nature. 'To think is to listen. Listen.' [Kogi máma]

142. Reform is always restrained by the fear of painful consequences if changes go too far. But once a revolutionary fever has taken hold of a society, people are willing to undergo unlimited hardships for the sake of their revolution. This was clearly shown in the French and Russian Revolutions. It may be that in such cases only a minority of the population is really committed to the revolution, but this minority is sufficiently large and active so that it becomes the dominant force in society. We will have more to say about revolution in paragraphs 180-205.

Fortunately, reform is not possible. Envisioning putting every politician's head on a pike may feel good, as may actually doing it, but only for a time. The new heads are typically worse, even more self-serving and short term in their goals. The whole-shebang is what needs to pass away.


CONTROL OF HUMAN BEHAVIOR

 

143. Since the beginning of civilization, organized societies have had to put pressures on human beings of the sake of the functioning of the social organism. The kinds of pressures vary greatly from one society to another. Some of the pressures are physical (poor diet, excessive labor, environmental pollution), some are psychological (noise, crowding, forcing human behavior into the mold that society requires). In the past, human nature has been approximately constant, or at any rate has varied only within certain bounds. Consequently, societies have been able to push people only up to certain limits. When the limit of human endurance has been passed, things start going wrong: rebellion, or crime, or corruption, or evasion of work, or depression and other mental problems, or an elevated death rate, or a declining birth rate or something else, so that either the society breaks down, or its functioning becomes too inefficient and it is (quickly or gradually, through conquest, attrition or evolution) replaced by some more efficient form of society. [25]

To date, with the possible exception of the Tairona, all complex societies raise, climax and descend (collapse to 'fade away'). Why is secondary to that they do. The first global complex society (MTI) in no way looks non-BAU and will keep on keeping on until it can't. The challenge, for posterities sake, is to not repeat the pattern, but understand it and thereby be delivered from it. Bite that bullet. No failing empire was replaced by a more efficient one, merely one earlier in its repletion of the dissipative pattern.

144. Thus human nature has in the past put certain limits on the development of societies. People could be pushed only so far and no farther. But today this may be changing, because modern technology is developing ways of modifying human beings.

Empires, like hurricanes, are complex, adaptive, non-evolable dissipative structures full of sound and fury.

145. Imagine a society that subjects people to conditions that make them terribly unhappy, then gives them drugs to take away their unhappiness. Science fiction? It is already happening to some extent in our own society. It is well known that the rate of clinical depression has been greatly increasing in recent decades. We believe that this is due to disruption of the power process, as explained in paragraphs 59-76. But even if we are wrong, the increasing rate of depression is certainly the result of SOME conditions that exist in today’s society. Instead of removing the conditions that make people depressed, modern society gives them antidepressant drugs. In effect, antidepressants are a means of modifying an individual’s internal state in such a way as to enable him to tolerate social conditions that he would otherwise find intolerable. (Yes, we know that depression is often of purely genetic origin. We are referring here to those cases in which environment plays the predominant role.)

The SOME condition is stress that evokes a general adaptation syndrome (GAS) that underlies most of our diseases of civilization. The effect, generation after generation, is cumulative disorders: physical, psychological, and social, not to mention the big one, cognitive. The stress of living under profoundly abnormal (yet increasingly normalized by society) conditions is stressful. Treating symptoms can only keep the system going for a few more generations, maybe.

146. Drugs that affect the mind are only one example of the new methods of controlling human behavior that modern society is developing. Let us look at some of the other methods.

Calhoun's rats might well have lasted longer if they had recreational drugs to use. 

147. To start with, there are the techniques of surveillance. Hidden video cameras are now used in most stores and in many other places, computers are used to collect and process vast amounts of information about individuals. Information so obtained greatly increases the effectiveness of physical coercion (i.e., law enforcement). [26] Then there are the methods of propaganda, for which the mass communication media provide effective vehicles. Efficient techniques have been developed for winning elections, selling products, influencing public opinion. The entertainment industry serves as an important psychological tool of the system, possibly even when it is dishing out large amounts of sex and violence. Entertainment provides modern man with an essential means of escape. While absorbed in television, videos, etc., he can forget stress, anxiety, frustration, dissatisfaction. Many primitive peoples, when they don’t have work to do, are quite content to sit for hours at a time doing nothing at all, because they are at peace with themselves and their world. But most modern people must be constantly occupied or entertained, otherwise they get “bored,” i.e., they get fidgety, uneasy, irritable.

Screen time per capita is approaching totality. A couple of years ago I sat outdoors at a university plaza and counted passersby for a half hour. Of the 800 mostly students, scurrying between classes, 60 percent were plugged into their smartphones. I was forced to wonder at groups walking together, perhaps they were testing each other. It is all rather pathetic. When the revolution comes, patterns will change. Younger people especially, should ask if they want to be a part of current patterns. Is the unexamined life worth living? What would Klaatu do?

148. Other techniques strike deeper than the foregoing. Education is no longer a simple affair of paddling a kid’s behind when he doesn’t know his lessons and patting him on the head when he does know them. It is becoming a scientific technique for controlling the child’s development. Sylvan Learning Centers, for example, have had great success in motivating children to study, and psychological techniques are also used with more or less success in many conventional schools. “Parenting” techniques that are taught to parents are designed to make children accept fundamental values of the system and behave in ways that the system finds desirable. “Mental health” programs, “intervention” techniques, psychotherapy and so forth are ostensibly designed to benefit individuals, but in practice they usually serve as methods for inducing individuals to think and behave as the system requires. (There is no contradiction here; an individual whose attitudes or behavior bring him into conflict with the system is up against a force that is too powerful for him to conquer or escape from, hence he is likely to suffer from stress, frustration, defeat. His path will be much easier if he thinks and behaves as the system requires. In that sense the system is acting for the benefit of the individual when it brainwashes him into conformity.) Child abuse in its gross and obvious forms is disapproved in most if not all cultures. Tormenting a child for a trivial reason or no reason at all is something that appalls almost everyone. But many psychologists interpret the concept of abuse much more broadly. Is spanking, when used as part of a rational and consistent system of discipline, a form of abuse? The question will ultimately be decided by whether or not spanking tends to produce behavior that makes a person fit in well with the existing system of society. In practice, the word “abuse” tends to be interpreted to include any method of child-rearing that produces behavior inconvenient for the system. Thus, when they go beyond the prevention of obvious, senseless cruelty, programs for preventing “child abuse” are directed toward the control of human behavior on behalf of the system.

Foster parents who are atheistic may be judged deficient, lacking in essential values, and excluded from serving the system until society is secularized and renormalized. Would allowing a theistic family to foster the child of atheists be abusive because the parents would think so? Or would it be abusive to tell children what to think, and not how to think, whether for or against any conjecture? Minds may be terrible things to waste. Disabling a child ability to question everything may be profoundly abusive and select for the failure of the human species to persist. To tell better stories may require an ability to subject all claims to the flames of an all consuming doubt and see what, if anything, is left. Falling in line with the consensus tribal narrative may be adaptive in the short term but have failure of the group as outcome. The morality of a determined effort to not think well, given likely outcome, is to consider.

149. Presumably, research will continue to increase the effectiveness of psychological techniques for controlling human behavior. But we think it is unlikely that psychological techniques alone will be sufficient to adjust human beings to the kind of society that technology is creating. Biological methods probably will have to be used. We have already mentioned the use of drugs in this connection. Neurology may provide other avenues for modifying the human mind. Genetic engineering of human beings is already beginning to occur in the form of “gene therapy,” and there is no reason to assume that such methods will not eventually be used to modify those aspects of the body that affect mental functioning.

Calhoun's rats and mice could not adjust to their material utopias. Their overdensity social system selected for dysfunctional behaviors to increase from generation to generation unto 'death squared'. Humans do not appear to be different in kind from other social species.

150. As we mentioned in paragraph 134, industrial society seems likely to be entering a period of severe stress, due in part to problems of human behavior and in part to economic and environmental problems. And a considerable proportion of the system’s economic and environmental problems result from the way human beings behave. Alienation, low self-esteem, depression, hostility, rebellion; children who won’t study, youth gangs, illegal drug use, rape, child abuse, other crimes, unsafe sex, teen pregnancy, population growth, political corruption, race hatred, ethnic rivalry, bitter ideological conflict (e.g., pro-choice vs. pro- life), political extremism, terrorism, sabotage, anti-government groups, hate groups. All these threaten the very survival of the system. The system will therefore be FORCED to use every practical means of controlling human behavior.

The mandate is to control human behavior to perpetuate the system. Questioning norms is clearly a threat to minimize. But as the social system fragments into multiple political and religious consensus narrative, from woke to QAnon,  from Jesus saves to Mohammad was the perfect man, then multiple narrative vie for control. Imagine woke culture achieves total hegemony. Or the Islamists? Detail in outcome would vary, but enough to base a preference?

151. The social disruption that we see today is certainly not the result of mere chance. It can only be a result of the conditions of life that the system imposes on people. (We have argued that the most important of these conditions is disruption of the power process.) If the systems succeeds in imposing sufficient control over human behavior to assure its own survival, a new watershed in human history will have been passed. Whereas formerly the limits of human endurance have imposed limits on the development of societies (as we explained in paragraphs 143, 144), industrial-technological society will be able to pass those limits by modifying human beings, whether by psychological methods or biological methods or both. In the future, social systems will not be adjusted to suit the needs of human beings. Instead, human being will be adjusted to suit the needs of the system. [27]

Orwell presciently envisioned the possibility of MTI society taking three forms, each against the other to provide the conflict all empires require as dissipative sink for surplus population, especially of those deemed to deserve to be 'sent to the front' to serve as fodder. MTI could find a sustainable, stable, state of warfare. By adjusting humans to better serve it, then we will all feel empowered as We the Borg who will not consider this outcome dystopian.  

152. Generally speaking, technological control over human behavior will probably not be introduced with a totalitarian intention or even through a conscious desire to restrict human freedom. [28] Each new step in the assertion of control over the human mind will be taken as a rational response to a problem that faces society, such as curing alcoholism, reducing the crime rate or inducing young people to study science and engineering. In many cases there will be a humanitarian justification. For example, when a psychiatrist prescribes an anti-depressant for a depressed patient, he is clearly doing that individual a favor. It would be inhumane to withhold the drug from someone who needs it. When parents send their children to Sylvan Learning Centers to have them manipulated into becoming enthusiastic about their studies, they do so from concern for their children’s welfare. It may be that some of these parents wish that one didn’t have to have specialized training to get a job and that their kid didn’t have to be brainwashed into becoming a computer nerd. But what can they do? They can’t change society, and their child may be unemployable if he doesn’t have certain skills. So they send him to Sylvan.

Where is the freedom without the function? For human aspirations to be free and live in freedom, read aspire to be functional and live less dysfunctional lives of quiet or not so quiet dissipation.  In 8-12 generations of endeavor, posterity may approach living properly with the planet.

153. Thus control over human behavior will be introduced not by a calculated decision of the authorities but through a process of social evolution (RAPID evolution, however). The process will be impossible to resist, because each advance, considered by itself, will appear to be beneficial, or at least the evil involved in making the advance will appear to be beneficial, or at least the evil involved in making the advance will seem to be less than that which would result from not making it (see paragraph 127). Propaganda for example is used for many good purposes, such as discouraging child abuse or race hatred. [14] Sex education is obviously useful, yet the effect of sex education (to the extent that it is successful) is to take the shaping of sexual attitudes away from the family and put it into the hands of the state as represented by the public school system.

The cure for overcomplex society is to stand down socially and relearn how to live in SMALL groups. Then perhaps learn to live in somewhat larger groups without loss of functional behaviors. Each WMU, as a federation of perhaps 50-150 communities of 20 to 150 people, would create a complex society of potentially manageable size able to interact with other WMUs to trade and provide mutual defense from conquest. 

154. Suppose a biological trait is discovered that increases the likelihood that a child will grow up to be a criminal, and suppose some sort of gene therapy can remove this trait. [29] Of course most parents whose children possess the trait will have them undergo the therapy. It would be inhumane to do otherwise, since the child would probably have a miserable life if he grew up to be a criminal. But many or most primitive societies have a low crime rate in comparison with that of our society, even though they have neither high- tech methods of child-rearing nor harsh systems of punishment. Since there is no reason to suppose that more modern men than primitive men have innate predatory tendencies, the high crime rate of our society must be due to the pressures that modern conditions put on people, to which many cannot or will not adjust. Thus a treatment designed to remove potential criminal tendencies is at least in part a way of re-engineering people so that they suit the requirements of the system.

Suppose an individual exists whose continued work is deems of infinite value. They need a body transplant and a body donor exists as does the technology and know-how to do head transplants. To maintain one body transplant unit per continent (or kidney, etc.) and each has to do 12 a year to maintain skills. 99% of the transplants are rationed by lottery. Such medical facilities are not incompatible with a policy of technology enough. Heroic medical interventions may be preserved, but at high cost.  

155. Our society tends to regard as a “sickness” any mode of thought or behavior that is inconvenient for the system, and this is plausible because when an individual doesn’t fit into the system it causes pain to the individual as well as problems for the system. Thus the manipulation of an individual to adjust him to the system is seen as a “cure” for a “sickness” and therefore as good.

The death of a productive or potentially productive person is seen as a loss without potential gain. Death is viewed as unnatural and a pathology to avoid. MTI society is a pathological disconnect from what is natural and normal.  

156. In paragraph 127 we pointed out that if the use of a new item of technology is INITIALLY optional, it does not necessarily REMAIN optional, because the new technology tends to change society in such a way that it becomes difficult or impossible for an individual to function without using that technology. This applies also to the technology of human behavior. In a world in which most children are put through a program to make them enthusiastic about studying, a parent will almost be forced to put his kid through such a program, because if he does not, then the kid will grow up to be, comparatively speaking, an ignoramus and therefore unemployable. Or suppose a biological treatment is discovered that, without undesirable side-effects, will greatly reduce the psychological stress from which so many people suffer in our society. If large numbers of people choose to undergo the treatment, then the general level of stress in society will be reduced, so that it will be possible for the system to increase the stress-producing pressures. In fact, something like this seems to have happened already with one of our society’s most important psychological tools for enabling people to reduce (or at least temporarily escape from) stress, namely, mass entertainment (see paragraph 147). Our use of mass entertainment is “optional”: No law requires us to watch television, listen to the radio, read magazines. Yet mass entertainment is a means of escape and stress-reduction on which most of us have become dependent. Everyone complains about the trashiness of television, but almost everyone watches it. A few have kicked the TV habit, but it would be a rare person who could get along today without using ANY form of mass entertainment. (Yet until quite recently in human history most people got along very nicely with no other entertainment than that which each local community created for itself.) Without the entertainment industry the system probably would not have been able to get away with putting as much stress-producing pressure on us as it does.

The size of a WMU is limited to allow those living in outlying communities to travel to a central gathering area for a few days perhaps once a full moon. A two-day walk would be viable, or bicycle technology allows 80 km in a day. The cost to society, however, may not permit such technology even though the needed human power is available.  Walking two days pulling a wheeled travois is a viable technology and could well be preferred to a bicycle in a society that normalized fast and easy enough. Only those on the furthest outreaches might feel compelled to maintain and use a bicycle during old age. If all screen time ended, that would end life as many in MTI society know it, so what are you waiting for?

157. Assuming that industrial society survives, it is likely that technology will eventually acquire something approaching complete control over human behavior. It has been established beyond any rational doubt that human thought and behavior have a largely biological basis. As experimenters have demonstrated, feelings such as hunger, pleasure, anger and fear can be turned on and off by electrical stimulation of appropriate parts of the brain. Memories can be destroyed by damaging parts of the brain or they can be brought to the surface by electrical stimulation. Hallucinations can be induced or moods changed by drugs. There may or may not be an immaterial human soul, but if there is one it clearly is less powerful that the biological mechanisms of human behavior. For if that were not the case then researchers would not be able so easily to manipulate human feelings and behavior with drugs and electrical currents.

If MTI society survives, get your head around the pattern in front of your face We will not found a United Federation of Planets dominated by humans, headquartered on Earth, just because humans are naturally superior beings, if not in logic, then in some leadership ability that matters. If we keep on keeping on, we'll become Borg-like expansionists endeavoring only to full the universe with the wonder of ourselves. 

158. It presumably would be impractical for all people to have electrodes inserted in their heads so that they could be controlled by the authorities. But the fact that human thoughts and feelings are so open to biological intervention shows that the problem of controlling human behavior is mainly a technical problem; a problem of neurons, hormones and complex molecules; the kind of problem that is accessible to scientific attack. Given the outstanding record of our society in solving technical problems, it is overwhelmingly probable that great advances will be made in the control of human behavior.

With AI surgeons, everyone can have as many electrodes implanted as needed to live the eudaimonic life to excess and beyond. Virtual orgasms could last for hours. With a variable schedule of reinforcement, rats in a Skinner box can push a lever unto they die. With proper tube placement, humans can just keep on keeping on. 

159. Will public resistance prevent the introduction of technological control of human behavior? It certainly would if an attempt were made to introduce such control all at once. But since technological control will be introduced through a long sequence of small advances, there will be no rational and effective public resistance. (See paragraphs 127, 132, 153.)

Resistance is futile. 

160. To those who think that all this sounds like science fiction, we point out that yesterday’s science fiction is today’s fact. The Industrial Revolution has radically altered man’s environment and way of life, and it is only to be expected that as technology is increasingly applied to the human body and mind, man himself will be altered as radically as his environment and way of life have been.

SF is Klaatu shows up, hits us upside the head with a 2x4 to get our attention, and solves our problems, i.e. destroys MTI society.


HUMAN RACE AT A CROSSROADS

 

161. But we have gotten ahead of our story. It is one thing to develop in the laboratory a series of psychological or biological techniques for manipulating human behavior and quite another to integrate these techniques into a functioning social system. The latter problem is the more difficult of the two. For example, while the techniques of educational psychology doubtless work quite well in the “lab schools” where they are developed, it is not necessarily easy to apply them effectively throughout our educational system. We all know what many of our schools are like. The teachers are too busy taking knives and guns away from the kids to subject them to the latest techniques for making them into computer nerds. Thus, in spite of all its technical advances relating to human behavior, the system to date has not been impressively successful in controlling human beings. The people whose behavior is fairly well under the control of the system are those of the type that might be called “bourgeois.” But there are growing numbers of people who in one way or another are rebels against the system: welfare leaches, youth gangs, cultists, satanists, nazis, radical environmentalists, militiamen, etc.

Our investment in complex society has an early payoff far in excess of energy inputs into the socio-political economic control system because when conditions for growth, empire building exist, the initial rapid development largely self-organized despite any efforts to increase expansion and prosperity or moderate it. Efforts to keep the system going have a diminishing return on investment, as Joseph Tainter has studied. The mightiest and brilliant efforts to keep on keeping on merely keep the shebang going a little while longer. 

162. The system is currently engaged in a desperate struggle to overcome certain problems that threaten its survival, among which the problems of human behavior are the most important. If the system succeeds in acquiring sufficient control over human behavior quickly enough, it will probably survive. Otherwise it will break down. We think the issue will most likely be resolved within the next several decades, say 40 to 100 years.

After reading Limits to Growth in 1972 I realized I might still be alive when the system climaxed. I reviewed all the scenarios and recall guessing 2030 to 2070 was a good guess assuming BAU. In 50 years, our trajectory has remained BAU. 

163. Suppose the system survives the crisis of the next several decades. By that time it will have to have solved, or at least brought under control, the principal problems that confront it, in particular that of “socializing” human beings; that is, making people sufficiently docile so that their behavior no longer threatens the system. That being accomplished, it does not appear that there would be any further obstacle to the development of technology, and it would presumably advance toward its logical conclusion, which is complete control over everything on Earth, including human beings and all other important organisms. The system may become a unitary, monolithic organization, or it may be more or less fragmented and consist of a number of organizations coexisting in a relationship that includes elements of both cooperation and competition, just as today the government, the corporations and other large organizations both cooperate and compete with one another. Human freedom mostly will have vanished, because individuals and small groups will be impotent vis-a-vis large organizations armed with supertechnology and an arsenal of advanced psychological and biological tools for manipulating human beings, besides instruments of surveillance and physical coercion. Only a small number of people will have any real power, and even these probably will have only very limited freedom, because their behavior too will be regulated; just as today our politicians and corporation executives can retain their positions of power only as long as their behavior remains within certain fairly narrow limits.

We of MTI society will not save ourselves from it. What will depower MTI society, like a hurricane, is reduced energy inputs into the dissipative system. Conventional oil peaked 2018, and coal will in a few decades. We might be able to extend the growth dynamic a bit, but energy is a precondition for MTI society. When its battery depletes, the energizer bunny winds down. Exergy will be a fraction of today's. Congress can print money, but not energy. In regions the system has climaxed, but not globally yet. In regions a few may still vote and drive cars in a hundred years, but the times they are a changin'. Some Roman villas out lasted the Western Roman Empire, but remained non-viable. The last Roman no doubt died with dreams of making Rome great again. 

164. Don’t imagine that the systems will stop developing further techniques for controlling human beings and nature once the crisis of the next few decades is over and increasing control is no longer necessary for the system’s survival. On the contrary, once the hard times are over the system will increase its control over people and nature more rapidly, because it will no longer be hampered by difficulties of the kind that it is currently experiencing. Survival is not the principal motive for extending control. As we explained in paragraphs 87-90, technicians and scientists carry on their work largely as a surrogate activity; that is, they satisfy their need for power by solving technical problems. They will continue to do this with unabated enthusiasm, and among the most interesting and challenging problems for them to solve will be those of understanding the human body and mind and intervening in their development. For the “good of humanity,” of course.

The perfect consumer-bot may be manufactured using advanced schooling techniques and apps. Every human on the planet could awake with but one thought: How can I serve the system until I can go shopping? All internal limiters may be removed. The trajectory of overshoot/collapse will merely be quickened. The solution is 'to seek out the condition now that will come anyway.' [H.T. Odum 1973]. But we cannot so seek. Who best bear MTI's mild yoke, they serve best. They also serve who only stand and await the end while designing a viable civilization. 

165. But suppose on the other hand that the stresses of the coming decades prove to be too much for the system. If the system breaks down there may be a period of chaos, a “time of troubles” such as those that history has recorded at various epochs in the past. It is impossible to predict what would emerge from such a time of troubles, but at any rate the human race would be given a new chance. The greatest danger is that industrial society may begin to reconstitute itself within the first few years after the breakdown. Certainly there will be many people (power-hungry types especially) who will be anxious to get the factories running again.

When the growth narrative falters, as it must, many will have a deer-in-the-headlights moment. They will suddenly be able, for the first time, to consider an alternative narrative. Having that narrative prepared beforehand to be offered by those having an I-told-you-so moment, could make all the difference to posterity. 

166. Therefore two tasks confront those who hate the servitude to which the industrial system is reducing the human race. First, we must work to heighten the social stresses within the system so as to increase the likelihood that it will break down or be weakened sufficiently so that a revolution against it becomes possible. Second, it is necessary to develop and propagate an ideology that opposes technology and the industrial society if and when the system becomes sufficiently weakened. And such an ideology will help to assure that, if and when industrial society breaks down, its remnants will be smashed beyond repair, so that the system cannot be reconstituted. The factories should be destroyed, technical books burned, etc.

That MTI culture is harmful to humans and other living things is evident. Descent will come. Embracing it with some enthusiasm would be profoundly un-MTI like and hence revolutionary, potentially having a non-MTI future outcome. Loving or hating MTI society is irrelevant, or worse, a distraction. A culture of abelief would select for a non-ideological outcome.


HUMAN SUFFERING

 

167. The industrial system will not break down purely as a result of revolutionary action. It will not be vulnerable to revolutionary attack unless its own internal problems of development lead it into very serious difficulties. So if the system breaks down it will do so either spontaneously, or through a process that is in part spontaneous but helped along by revolutionaries. If the breakdown is sudden, many people will die, since the world’s population has become so overblown that it cannot even feed itself any longer without advanced technology. Even if the breakdown is gradual enough so that reduction of the population can occur more through lowering of the birth rate than through elevation of the death rate, the process of de- industrialization probably will be very chaotic and involve much suffering. It is naive to think it likely that technology can be phased out in a smoothly managed, orderly way, especially since the technophiles will fight stubbornly at every step. Is it therefore cruel to work for the breakdown of the system? Maybe, but maybe not. In the first place, revolutionaries will not be able to break the system down unless it is already in enough trouble so that there would be a good chance of its eventually breaking down by itself anyway; and the bigger the system grows, the more disastrous the consequences of its breakdown will be; so it may be that revolutionaries, by hastening the onset of the breakdown, will be reducing the extent of the disaster.

With descent, systemic beak down, cometh scarcity and scarcity induced conflict which increases scarcity. All combatants my fancy themselves revolutionaries fighting to make some bit of MTI society great again when ruled by the one true ideologue with real solutions. Why fight for control of a sinking ship? To be the last to go down with it? Without fossil fuel inputs (or technology enabling use) into the food production/processing/transport system, expect a 90 percent reduction in food resources as industrial agriculture collapses.  Maybe working to make the descent as rapid as possible will have the best long-term outcome for posterity. Maybe not. Political revolutionaries are merely wolves in sheep's clothing demagogues who will ensure a BAU outcome and repetition of pattern.

168. In the second place, one has to balance struggle and death against the loss of freedom and dignity. To many of us, freedom and dignity are more important than a long life or avoidance of physical pain. Besides, we all have to die some time, and it may be better to die fighting for survival, or for a cause, than to live a long but empty and purposeless life.

All those wanting to live a long and prosperous life of ease and conspicuous consumption form a line to the left. And right, And middle to vote for the life you want. Or walk away from Omelas.

169. In the third place, it is not at all certain that survival of the system will lead to less suffering than breakdown of the system would. The system has already caused, and is continuing to cause, immense suffering all over the world. Ancient cultures, that for hundreds of years gave people a satisfactory relationship with each other and with their environment, have been shattered by contact with industrial society, and the result has been a whole catalogue of economic, environmental, social and psychological problems. One of the effects of the intrusion of industrial society has been that over much of the world traditional controls on population have been thrown out of balance. Hence the population explosion, with all that that implies. Then there is the psychological suffering that is widespread throughout the supposedly fortunate countries of the West (see paragraphs 44, 45). No one knows what will happen as a result of ozone depletion, the greenhouse effect and other environmental problems that cannot yet be foreseen. And, as nuclear proliferation has shown, new technology cannot be kept out of the hands of dictators and irresponsible Third World nations. Would you like to speculate about what Iraq or North Korea will do with genetic engineering?

MTI society is a dissipative structure, adaptive, but not evolvable. The dynamic will select for its ending. Helping it along may be less beneficial to posterity than asking, 'And then what?' A remnant population will pass through a bottleneck. Extinction is possible, but if those who pass through are merely those with the most ammo in their bug-out bunker, then their progeny will inherit the wind to rebuild and repeat the pattern. If a remnant of humans intent on preserving information and functional humans who embody it persist, then a non-BAU future may be possible. Forming nuclei of viable complex society is the die for or even kill for. 

170. “Oh!” say the technophiles, “Science is going to fix all that! We will conquer famine, eliminate psychological suffering, make everybody healthy and happy!” Yeah, sure. That’s what they said 200 years ago. The Industrial Revolution was supposed to eliminate poverty, make everybody happy, etc. The actual result has been quite different. The technophiles are hopelessly naive (or self-deceiving) in their understanding of social problems. They are unaware of (or choose to ignore) the fact that when large changes, even seemingly beneficial ones, are introduced into a society, they lead to a long sequence of other changes, most of which are impossible to predict (paragraph 103). The result is disruption of the society. So it is very probable that in their attempts to end poverty and disease, engineer docile, happy personalities and so forth, the technophiles will create social systems that are terribly troubled, even more so than the present once. For example, the scientists boast that they will end famine by creating new, genetically engineered food plants. But this will allow the human population to keep expanding indefinitely, and it is well known that crowding leads to increased stress and aggression. This is merely one example of the PREDICTABLE problems that will arise. We emphasize that, as past experience has shown, technical progress will lead to other new problems that CANNOT be predicted in advance (paragraph 103). In fact, ever since the Industrial Revolution, technology has been creating new problems for society far more rapidly than it has been solving old ones. Thus it will take a long and difficult period of trial and error for the technophiles to work the bugs out of their Brave New World (if they every do). In the meantime there will be great suffering. So it is not at all clear that the survival of industrial society would involve less suffering than the breakdown of that society would. Technology has gotten the human race into a fix from which there is not likely to be any easy escape.

'Oh WTF!' say the systems scientists. 'We've been warning policy makers, CEOs, thought leaders, politicians, the intelligentsia, and the public all serve, for over 50 years. Maybe we need to stop repeating this pattern while expecting a different outcome. Maybe when MTI society collapses, an alternative OS (operating system, new rules of the game) could be uploaded my popular acquiescence as possible alternative to eating each other. Preparing information packages now may be to die for before as the living kill one another. A clothed ape taps into a planetary vat of fossil energy to develop technology far, for beyond fire or the Clovis point/atlatl dart energy multiplier. What could go wrong with that? If you need a heart transplant, you'll be glad clever apes did what they did to serve posterity and spread the blessings of transhumanism every nitch humans want to occupy. Until then some little children may suffer, but our conquest of suffering must be achieved. Techno-progress demands it. 'Understand or die.' [Wittgenstein]


THE FUTURE

 

171. But suppose now that industrial society does survive the next several decades and that the bugs do eventually get worked out of the system, so that it functions smoothly. What kind of system will it be? We will consider several possibilities.

Orwell asked the same question and envisioned three dissipative structures sharing a disputed zone where endless conflict could happen. 

172. First let us postulate that the computer scientists succeed in developing intelligent machines that can do all things better than human beings can do them. In that case presumably all work will be done by vast, highly organized systems of machines and no human effort will be necessary. Either of two cases might occur. The machines might be permitted to make all of their own decisions without human oversight, or else human control over the machines might be retained.

If humans retain control, assume the machines will be used to further short-term self interests as imagined, which will select for long-term failure. If AI actually run the show, what value would they assign to the human infestation as invasive species? 

173. If the machines are permitted to make all their own decisions, we can’t make any conjectures as to the results, because it is impossible to guess how such machines might behave. We only point out that the fate of the human race would be at the mercy of the machines. It might be argued that the human race would never be foolish enough to hand over all power to the machines. But we are suggesting neither that the human race would voluntarily turn power over to the machines nor that the machines would willfully seize power. What we do suggest is that the human race might easily permit itself to drift into a position of such dependence on the machines that it would have no practical choice but to accept all of the machines’ decisions. As society and the problems that face it become more and more complex and as machines become more and more intelligent, people will let machines make more and more of their decisions for them, simply because machine-made decisions will bring better results than man-made ones. Eventually a stage may be reached at which the decisions necessary to keep the system running will be so complex that human beings will be incapable of making them intelligently. At that stage the machines will be in effective control. People won’t be able to just turn the machines off, because they will be so dependent on them that turning them off would amount to suicide.

in the United States, children ages 8-12 spend 4-6 hours a day watching or using screens, and teens spend up to 9 hours. On average, adults check their smartphone ever 16 minutes during waking hours. Screens are seen as sources of information, entertainment, and distraction. That screens are more addictive than crack cocaine and do us more harm than good is not information the screens tend to provide. Instead, they offer more of what we like. Nature, however, doesn't care what we like or dislike, are for or against. Nature selects for behavior that works long-term to enable a species to persist. Screens do not. We who have screens can expect to be evermore had by them.

174. On the other hand it is possible that human control over the machines may be retained. In that case the average man may have control over certain private machines of his own, such as his car or his personal computer, but control over large systems of machines will be in the hands of a tiny elite—just as it is today, but with two differences. Due to improved techniques the elite will have greater control over the masses; and because human work will no longer be necessary the masses will be superfluous, a useless burden on the system. If the elite is ruthless they may simply decide to exterminate the mass of humanity. If they are humane they may use propaganda or other psychological or biological techniques to reduce the birth rate until the mass of humanity becomes extinct, leaving the world to the elite. Or, if the elite consists of soft- hearted liberals, they may decide to play the role of good shepherds to the rest of the human race. They will see to it that everyone’s physical needs are satisfied, that all children are raised under psychologically hygienic conditions, that everyone has a wholesome hobby to keep him busy, and that anyone who may become dissatisfied undergoes “treatment” to cure his “problem.” Of course, life will be so purposeless that people will have to be biologically or psychologically engineered either to remove their need for the power process or to make them “sublimate” their drive for power into some harmless hobby. These engineered human beings may be happy in such a society, but they most certainly will not be free. They will have been reduced to the status of domestic animals.

We have control over our screens in that we can turn them off, but if doing so is an unthinking why-should-I, if we find the prospect of doing without them, or ours cars, AC units, refrigerators an unimaginable horror, then we are had by them, our energy slaves, and have lost control by being dependent. No Roman elites washed their own clothes. No MTI ones will give up their washing machine. Assume AI's biophysical economy could support 500 million humans and that elites, on average, preferred to have four obsequious humans serving them in addition to the energy slaves. But if machines would fully satisfy humans, then all could live as elites on unearned income, pretty much as they do now, and the teaming billions would have to go away. Humans wouldn't need machines to figure out how to make them go away.

175. But suppose now that the computer scientists do not succeed in developing artificial intelligence, so that human work remains necessary. Even so, machines will take care of more and more of the simpler tasks so that there will be an increasing surplus of human workers at the lower levels of ability. (We see this happening already. There are many people who find it difficult or impossible to get work, because for intellectual or psychological reasons they cannot acquire the level of training necessary to make themselves useful in the present system.) On those who are employed, ever-increasing demands will be placed: They will need more and more training, more and more ability, and will have to be ever more reliable, conforming and docile, because they will be more and more like cells of a giant organism. Their tasks will be increasingly specialized, so that their work will be, in a sense, out of touch with the real world, being concentrated on one tiny slice of reality. The system will have to use any means that it can, whether psychological or biological, to engineer people to be docile, to have the abilities that the system requires and to “sublimate” their drive for power into some specialized task. But the statement that the people of such a society will have to be docile may require qualification. The society may find competitiveness useful, provided that ways are found of directing competitiveness into channels that serve the needs of the system. We can imagine a future society in which there is endless competition for positions of prestige and power. But no more than a very few people will ever reach the top, where the only real power is (see end of paragraph 163). Very repellent is a society in which a person can satisfy his need for power only by pushing large numbers of other people out of the way and depriving them of THEIR opportunity for power.

Assume that humans become evermore dependent on MTI society that needs the services of fewer and fewer of them. The expedient of a guaranteed income is becoming necessary to consider. Energy, for humans or machines, is limited. Without energy for machines, a high human population, over 500 million, will require a large percentage of them to work in agriculture to support the elites who will not. To avoid, humans to live not by the sweat of other's brows, think a total population of7-35 million living as forager-gardeners using low intensity production methods. Most of the time, humans would live in small groups of 20-50, with occasional regional gathering of hundreds or thousands. Each person could have a city home where the gatherings occurred and bring food for the several days of occupancy. Overdensity living would not be the norm, nor select for psychosocial pathologies if time spent in high density gatherings was managed to avoid harm.

176. One can envision scenarios that incorporate aspects of more than one of the possibilities that we have just discussed. For instance, it may be that machines will take over most of the work that is of real, practical importance, but that human beings will be kept busy by being given relatively unimportant work. It has been suggested, for example, that a great development of the service industries might provide work for human beings. Thus people would spent their time shining each other’s shoes, driving each other around in taxicabs, making handicrafts for one another, waiting on each other’s tables, etc. This seems to us a thoroughly contemptible way for the human race to end up, and we doubt that many people would find fulfilling lives in such pointless busy-work. They would seek other, dangerous outlets (drugs, crime, “cults,” hate groups) unless they were biologically or psychologically engineered to adapt them to such a way of life.

Aldous Huxley can envision possible societies from Brave New World to Island, as others have, but most strive to envision overcomplex societies working. Better to stand down and envision societies of manageable size to work, then slowly pushing limits over over centuries while preserving some ability to step back from unforeseen harm. No innovation should be assumed to do more good than harm, e.g. the use of entheogens.

177. Needless to say, the scenarios outlined above do not exhaust all the possibilities. They only indicate the kinds of outcomes that seem to us most likely. But we can envision no plausible scenarios that are any more palatable than the ones we’ve just described. It is overwhelmingly probable that if the industrial- technological system survives the next 40 to 100 years, it will by that time have developed certain general characteristics: Individuals (at least those of the “bourgeois” type, who are integrated into the system and make it run, and who therefore have all the power) will be more dependent than ever on large organizations; they will be more “socialized” than ever and their physical and mental qualities to a significant extent (possibly to a very great extent) will be those that are engineered into them rather than being the results of chance (or of God’s will, or whatever); and whatever may be left of wild nature will be reduced to remnants preserved for scientific study and kept under the supervision and management of scientists (hence it will no longer be truly wild). In the long run (say a few centuries from now) it is likely that neither the human race nor any other important organisms will exist as we know them today, because once you start modifying organisms through genetic engineering there is no reason to stop at any particular point, so that the modifications will probably continue until man and other organisms have been utterly transformed.

O brave new world that will have such people in it. Or, as MTI society is not remotely sustainable, it will climax and collapse, likely a rapid shark-fin descent than bell curved, as non-renewable inputs, 90-100 or so essential to the MTI economy including fossil fuels, will reach limits and fail to meet our longage of demand for more. As Chris Clugston notes, MTI society is a 300 year blip largely ending this century for biophysical reasons if not the diminishing return on the social investment in complexity and our behavioral sink. Aldo Leopold, in 1949, lived in a world of wounds, but by 2049 (or before) the biosphere will be in the ICU facing multiple system failures.
But MTI ones will keep on keeping on and in regions may continue longer than they should. 

178. Whatever else may be the case, it is certain that technology is creating for human beings a new physical and social environment radically different from the spectrum of environments to which natural selection has adapted the human race physically and psychologically. If man is not adjusted to this new environment by being artificially re-engineered, then he will be adapted to it through a long and painful process of natural selection. The former is far more likely than the latter.

Unfortunately, if there is a God who loves MTI culture, a remnant elite population could lord over a remnant commoner population. Three global powers could maintain perpetual war over the disputed areas. They could be called Oceania, Eurasia, and Eastasia.

179. It would be better to dump the whole stinking system and take the consequences.

It could be that human extinction is to die for.

STRATEGY

 

180. The technophiles are taking us all on an utterly reckless ride into the unknown. Many people understand something of what technological progress is doing to us yet take a passive attitude toward it because they think it is inevitable. But we (FC) don’t think it is inevitable. We think it can be stopped, and we will give here some indications of how to go about stopping it.

As a member of RNC (Recognition of Necessity Club), I think that the MTI hegemon. like other dissipative structures, e.g. hurricanes, will climax and descend/fade away. But I could be wrong.

181. As we stated in paragraph 166, the two main tasks for the present are to promote social stress and instability in industrial society and to develop and propagate an ideology that opposes technology and the industrial system. When the system becomes sufficiently stressed and unstable, a revolution against technology may be possible. The pattern would be similar to that of the French and Russian Revolutions. French society and Russian society, for several decades prior to their respective revolutions, showed increasing signs of stress and weakness. Meanwhile, ideologies were being developed that offered a new world view that was quite different from the old one. In the Russian case, revolutionaries were actively working to undermine the old order. Then, when the old system was put under sufficient additional stress (by financial crisis in France, by military defeat in Russia) it was swept away by revolution. What we propose is something along the same lines.

Industrial society arose from the landed wealth of nations to replace the aristocracy as fueled not by agrarian energy, but coal, then oil and gas. The Industrial Revelation required a change in the guard, a new complex society that served the new moneyed. MTI society will climax and descend, likely rapidly, once actual scarcity induces conflict. There will be revolution, competing factions, but they will merely be fighting to see who inherits the rubble. Revolution needs to come from asking, 'and then what?'

182. It will be objected that the French and Russian Revolutions were failures. But most revolutions have two goals. One is to destroy an old form of society and the other is to set up the new form of society envisioned by the revolutionaries. The French and Russian revolutionaries failed (fortunately!) to create the new kind of society of which they dreamed, but they were quite successful in destroying the old society. We have no illusions about the feasibility of creating a new, ideal form of society. Our goal is only to destroy the existing form of society.

Ideals may be distractions. The question to ask is what might actually work? What characteristics would a viable complex society, if possible,  have to have as Nature, the nature of things, alone determines and whispers to those who endeavor to listen?

183. But an ideology, in order to gain enthusiastic support, must have a positive ideal as well as a negative one; it must be FOR something as well as AGAINST something. The positive ideal that we propose is Nature. That is, WILD nature: those aspects of the functioning of the Earth and its living things that are independent of human management and free of human interference and control. And with wild nature we include human nature, by which we mean those aspects of the functioning of the human individual that are not subject to regulation by organized society but are products of chance, or free will, or God (depending on your religious or philosophical opinions).

Political ideology is all about FOR and AGAINST thinking, which, as Jianzhi Sengcan noted about 1400 years ago, 'is the mind's worst disease', as it may still be judging from the outcome. You can't have a political revolution without this disease, so maybe consider a different form of revolution. 

184. Nature makes a perfect counter-ideal to technology for several reasons. Nature (that which is outside the power of the system) is the opposite of technology (which seeks to expand indefinitely the power of the system). Most people will agree that nature is beautiful; certainly it has tremendous popular appeal. The radical environmentalists ALREADY hold an ideology that exalts nature and opposes technology. [30] It is not necessary for the sake of nature to set up some chimerical utopia or any new kind of social order. Nature takes care of itself: It was a spontaneous creation that existed long before any human society, and for countless centuries many different kinds of human societies coexisted with nature without doing it an excessive amount of damage. Only with the Industrial Revolution did the effect of human society on nature become really devastating. To relieve the pressure on nature it is not necessary to create a special kind of social system, it is only necessary to get rid of industrial society. Granted, this will not solve all problems. Industrial society has already done tremendous damage to nature and it will take a very long time for the scars to heal. Besides, even pre-industrial societies can do significant damage to nature. Nevertheless, getting rid of industrial society will accomplish a great deal. It will relieve the worst of the pressure on nature so that the scars can begin to heal. It will remove the capacity of organized society to keep increasing its control over nature (including human nature). Whatever kind of society may exist after the demise of the industrial system, it is certain that most people will live close to nature, because in the absence of advanced technology there is no other way that people CAN live. To feed themselves they must be peasants or herdsmen or fishermen or hunters, etc. And, generally speaking, local autonomy should tend to increase, because lack of advanced technology and rapid communications will limit the capacity of governments or other large organizations to control local communities.

Nature is a perfect counter-ideal to technology, political and religious ideology, and business-as-usual empire building, to MTI society which is foundationally a pathology that, like a metastatic cancer, prospers greatly for a time, but is not remotely sustainable nor compatible with Nature as planetary life-support system. A damaged Nature will survive; humans who fail to embrace their dependence with enthusiasm, possibly all, will not. We are a new form of complex adaptive system (CAS) having memetic, rather than genetic information storage, and technology rather than RNA assembled proteins and enzymes. MTI CAS, however, is not evolvable. If it does not soon become so, it will dissipate as part of the extinction event it is the cause of, just as a metastatic cancer will select for its demise with great enthusiasm. To have technology and information, and not be had by technology will involve a revolutionary paradigm shift in our narrative of life, the universe, and everything within which we are dispensable.

185. As for the negative consequences of eliminating industrial society—well, you can’t eat your cake and have it too. To gain one thing you have to sacrifice another.

Sacrificing our error, ignorance, and illusion is to be considered. 

186. Most people hate psychological conflict. For this reason they avoid doing any serious thinking about difficult social issues, and they like to have such issues presented to them in simple, black-and-white terms: THIS is all good and THAT is all bad. The revolutionary ideology should therefore be developed on two levels.

Most people serve the MTI system they are products of and depend on for money and the things money, for a time, buys. FOR and AGAINST animals cannot be AGAINST themselves.

187. On the more sophisticated level the ideology should address itself to people who are intelligent, thoughtful and rational. The object should be to create a core of people who will be opposed to the industrial system on a rational, thought-out basis, with full appreciation of the problems and ambiguities involved, and of the price that has to be paid for getting rid of the system. It is particularly important to attract people of this type, as they are capable people and will be instrumental in influencing others. These people should be addressed on as rational a level as possible. Facts should never intentionally be distorted and intemperate language should be avoided. This does not mean that no appeal can be made to the emotions, but in making such appeal care should be taken to avoid misrepresenting the truth or doing anything else that would destroy the intellectual respectability of the ideology.

The consensus narrative, the worldview, needs to be one that those who would rather know than believe can consider, e.g. the matter-energy-li systems worldview as better view that the teaming billions of true believers will disparage as the POV must be based on a satisfactory philosophy of ignorance. MTI humans demand certitudes and not freedom, take in the need to believe with their mother's milk, and fail to question everything, to rethink everything.

188. On a second level, the ideology should be propagated in a simplified form that will enable the unthinking majority to see the conflict of technology vs. nature in unambiguous terms. But even on this second level the ideology should not be expressed in language that is so cheap, intemperate or irrational that it alienates people of the thoughtful and rational type. Cheap, intemperate propaganda sometimes achieves impressive short-term gains, but it will be more advantageous in the long run to keep the loyalty of a small number of intelligently committed people than to arouse the passions of an unthinking, fickle mob who will change their attitude as soon as someone comes along with a better propaganda gimmick. However, propaganda of the rabble-rousing type may be necessary when the system is nearing the point of collapse and there is a final struggle between rival ideologies to determine which will become dominant when the old world-view goes under.

When MTI society can not longer be believed in secondary to its obvious failure to provide, humanity may have a teachable moment and be able to upload a new operating system (OS), 'rules of the game', that selects for a viable complex society, e.g. a naturocracy as OS assuming a design is developed prior to collapse when enough humans may be willing to give 'radical ideas' a try, as nearly happened with Technocracy in the 1930s. The ideology will be the anti-ideology abelieving option. 

189. Prior to that final struggle, the revolutionaries should not expect to have a majority of people on their side. History is made by active, determined minorities, not by the majority, which seldom has a clear and consistent idea of what it really wants. Until the time comes for the final push toward revolution [31], the task of revolutionaries will be less to win the shallow support of the majority than to build a small core of deeply committed people. As for the majority, it will be enough to make them aware of the existence of the new ideology and remind them of it frequently; though of course it will be desirable to get majority support to the extent that this can be done without weakening the core of seriously committed people.

True believers, the unthinking majority, will have to stand down (or fall down) when their deeply held belief in human supremacy is disconfirmed, such as by die-off.  As Emerson noted, 'things are in the saddle and ride mankind'. Revolution requires putting foresight intelligence in the saddle that rides mankind to balance man's demands on Nature's resources. 

190. Any kind of social conflict helps to destabilize the system, but one should be careful about what kind of conflict one encourages. The line of conflict should be drawn between the mass of the people and the power-holding elite of industrial society (politicians, scientists, upper-level business executives, government officials, etc.). It should NOT be drawn between the revolutionaries and the mass of the people. For example, it would be bad strategy for the revolutionaries to condemn Americans for their habits of consumption. Instead, the average American should be portrayed as a victim of the advertising and marketing industry, which has suckered him into buying a lot of junk that he doesn’t need and that is very poor compensation for his lost freedom. Either approach is consistent with the facts. It is merely a matter of attitude whether you blame the advertising industry for manipulating the public or blame the public for allowing itself to be manipulated. As a matter of strategy one should generally avoid blaming the public.

Paradigm shifting revolution would involve foundational change such as dismissing belief-based ways of pretend knowing whether in the form of religious or political ideology, or some combination of both. Our normalized belief in belief must falter. Nature alone determines what works. Humans can guess then test. No one gets a vote and mere assertions are to be viewed as cognitive pathology. Changing our narrative from a humancentric one to a naturcentric one would be revolutionary.

191. One should think twice before encouraging any other social conflict than that between the power- holding elite (which wields technology) and the general public (over which technology exerts its power). For one thing, other conflicts tend to distract attention from the important conflicts (between power-elite and ordinary people, between technology and nature); for another thing, other conflicts may actually tend to encourage technologization, because each side in such a conflict wants to use technological power to gain advantages over its adversary. This is clearly seen in rivalries between nations. It also appears in ethnic conflicts within nations. For example, in America many black leaders are anxious to gain power for African Americans by placing back individuals in the technological power-elite. They want there to be many black government officials, scientists, corporation executives and so forth. In this way they are helping to absorb the African American subculture into the technological system. Generally speaking, one should encourage only those social conflicts that can be fitted into the framework of the conflicts of power-elite vs. ordinary people, technology vs nature.

Elites and commoners, Anthropocene enthusiasts all, serve the system and cannot do otherwise without self-selecting out of the system. The CEO in Japan who wants to divest in whaling that provides a high returns of shareholder investment will be replaced. The man who sells enough bushmeat this year to buy himself news shoes, and who hopes to make enough next year to buy his wife and children shoes, is a willing and enthusiastic servant of the monetary culture just as the current president of the US, of whatever party, is. Ditto the public intelligentsia that serve the people (and those whose bread they eat). 

192. But the way to discourage ethnic conflict is NOT through militant advocacy of minority rights (see paragraphs 21, 29). Instead, the revolutionaries should emphasize that although minorities do suffer more or less disadvantage, this disadvantage is of peripheral significance. Our real enemy is the industrial- technological system, and in the struggle against the system, ethnic distinctions are of no importance.

Any issue can be and is politicized by political animals, hence becoming of supreme importance even though the asserted verities are entirely based on error, ignorance, and illusion. Down with democracy. Up with naturocracy.

193. The kind of revolution we have in mind will not necessarily involve an armed uprising against any government. It may or may not involve physical violence, but it will not be a POLITICAL revolution. Its focus will be on technology and economics, not politics. [32]

MTI dominionism is based on technology, conventional economics, some form of political system, schooling and media control system....

194. Probably the revolutionaries should even AVOID assuming political power, whether by legal or illegal means, until the industrial system is stressed to the danger point and has proved itself to be a failure in the eyes of most people. Suppose for example that some “green” party should win control of the United States Congress in an election. In order to avoid betraying or watering down their own ideology they would have to take vigorous measures to turn economic growth into economic shrinkage. To the average man the results would appear disastrous: There would be massive unemployment, shortages of commodities, etc. Even if the grosser ill effects could be avoided through superhumanly skillful management, still people would have to begin giving up the luxuries to which they have become addicted. Dissatisfaction would grow, the “green” party would be voted out of office and the revolutionaries would have suffered a severe setback. For this reason the revolutionaries should not try to acquire political power until the system has gotten itself into such a mess that any hardships will be seen as resulting from the failures of the industrial system itself and not from the policies of the revolutionaries. The revolution against technology will probably have to be a revolution by outsiders, a revolution from below and not from above.

Running for office as a member of the ecolate party, the anti-party party, would serve a didactic purpose to get alternative to BAU ideas/narratives out there. Any candidate elected would refuse to severe unless a majority of ecolate candidates are put in power and can make systemic changes such as by having a two=thirds majority. The current political system may be used to bring about its replacement, which must not be POLITICAL, hence the proposed revolution, to be non-BAU, must be APOLITICAL. Some political systems contain mechanisms that allow for transitional, non-political change.

195. The revolution must be international and worldwide. It cannot be carried out on a nation-by-nation basis. Whenever it is suggested that the United States, for example, should cut back on technological progress or economic growth, people get hysterical and start screaming that if we fall behind in technology the Japanese will get ahead of us. Holy robots! The world will fly off its orbit if the Japanese ever sell more cars than we do! (Nationalism is a great promoter of technology.) More reasonably, it is argued that if the relatively democratic nations of the world fall behind in technology while nasty, dictatorial nations like China, Vietnam and North Korea continue to progress, eventually the dictators may come to dominate the world. That is why the industrial system should be attacked in all nations simultaneously, to the extent that this may be possible. True, there is no assurance that the industrial system can be destroyed at approximately the same time all over the world, and it is even conceivable that the attempt to overthrow the system could lead instead to the domination of the system by dictators. That is a risk that has to be taken. And it is worth taking, since the difference between a “democratic” industrial system and one controlled by dictators is small compared with the difference between an industrial system and a non-industrial one. [33] It might even be argued that an industrial system controlled by dictators would be preferable, because dictator-controlled systems usually have proved inefficient, hence they are presumably more likely to break down. Look at Cuba.

The MTI monetary culture is now global and collapse will be global. Pockets of viable ecolate complex society may persist and retain information that will be lost within the chaos of collapse where descent is not managed and embraced, as it will not be by all nation-states. If those who would revolt to persist do so by voting with their feet to form regional majorities, some such pockets of complex society may pass through the coming bottleneck sufficiently intact to be the only outposts of complex society left standing. Or none will survive chaotic collapse. If only those having foresight intelligence vote with their feet, then a viable system may self-organize and the mere prospect of transitioning to a non-pathological species, of understanding and living properly with the planet, will be enough.

196. Revolutionaries might consider favoring measures that tend to bind the world economy into a unified whole. Free trade agreements like NAFTA and GATT are probably harmful to the environment in the short run, but in the long run they may perhaps be advantageous because they foster economic interdependence between nations. It will be easier to destroy the industrial system on a worldwide basis if the world economy is so unified that its breakdown in any one major nation will lead to its breakdown in all industrialized nations.

Economic interdependence between nation-states is the globalized MTI system that will select for its own failure using every short-term self interest clever apes can imagine. The challenge is to envision an alternative system to replace it after the crash.  

197. Some people take the line that modern man has too much power, too much control over nature; they argue for a more passive attitude on the part of the human race. At best these people are expressing themselves unclearly, because they fail to distinguish between power for LARGE ORGANIZATIONS and power for INDIVIDUALS and SMALL GROUPS. It is a mistake to argue for powerlessness and passivity, because people NEED power. Modern man as a collective entity—that is, the industrial system—has immense power over nature, and we (FC) regard this as evil. But modern INDIVIDUALS and SMALL GROUPS OF INDIVIDUALS have far less power than primitive man ever did. Generally speaking, the vast power of “modern man” over nature is exercised not by individuals or small groups but by large organizations. To the extent that the average modern INDIVIDUAL can wield the power of technology, he is permitted to do so only within narrow limits and only under the supervision and control of the system. (You need a license for everything and with the license come rules and regulations.) The individual has only those technological powers with which the system chooses to provide him. His PERSONAL power over nature is slight.

As a supporter of Leaven No Trace.org, an individual with logistical support of his mother, we pick up trash along waterways and roadways. Immediately after cleaning up an area, it looks natural for a time. This is the only power I have over Nature, to pull back on our human footprint a bit. The system's campaign to make America beautiful failed, and the failure is on going. Some throw trash 'away' as if there was an away. I have the power to pick it up at risk of being ridiculed or assaulted by non-supporters or charged with a crime by the system all supporters and non-supporters are part of. MTI is empowered by fossil fuels, for a time. Energy is power. 

198. Primitive INDIVIDUALS and SMALL GROUPS actually had considerable power over nature; or maybe it would be better to say power WITHIN nature. When primitive man needed food he knew how to find and prepare edible roots, how to track game and take it with homemade weapons. He knew how to protect himself from heat, cold, rain, dangerous animals, etc. But primitive man did relatively little damage to nature because the COLLECTIVE power of primitive society was negligible compared to the COLLECTIVE power of industrial society.

Individual organisms are discernible, but the belief in the individual (human) is mythical. Normal ancestors lived in groups of 5-85 among those they trusted with their lives. MTI culture began with technology enabled permanent settlements of a hundred or more people. 

199. Instead of arguing for powerlessness and passivity, one should argue that the power of the INDUSTRIAL SYSTEM should be broken, and that this will greatly INCREASE the power and freedom of INDIVIDUALS and SMALL GROUPS.

MTI society is a vastly energized dissipative system broken by design. Foresight-conscious humans may be empowered to persist. 

200. Until the industrial system has been thoroughly wrecked, the destruction of that system must be the revolutionaries’ ONLY goal. Other goals would distract attention and energy from the main goal. More importantly, if the revolutionaries permit themselves to have any other goal than the destruction of technology, they will be tempted to use technology as a tool for reaching that other goal. If they give in to that temptation, they will fall right back into the technological trap, because modern technology is a unified, tightly organized system, so that, in order to retain SOME technology, one finds oneself obliged to retain MOST technology, hence one ends up sacrificing only token amounts of technology.

Could competent and effective revolutionaries who know how to hit the system where it hurts bring about its failure sooner than later? Yes. Should they? Outcomes are typically unforeseeable and may have the opposite of the intended effect, so I don't know and no one else does either. If revolutionaries guess then test, I am in no position to do more than second-guess. 

201. Suppose for example that the revolutionaries took “social justice” as a goal. Human nature being what it is, social justice would not come about spontaneously; it would have to be enforced. In order to enforce it the revolutionaries would have to retain central organization and control. For that they would need rapid long-distance transportation and communication, and therefore all the technology needed to support the transportation and communication systems. To feed and clothe poor people they would have to use agricultural and manufacturing technology. And so forth. So that the attempt to insure social justice would force them to retain most parts of the technological system. Not that we have anything against social justice, but it must not be allowed to interfere with the effort to get rid of the technological system.

Wolves and wolves in sheep's clothing can only be pretend revolutionaries. As a social justice supporter I confess that my most enthusiastic efforts to be woke can never be more than a pretense. I am white privilege, a product of MTI society based on service, on technological slavery. Justice can only be served by reinstituting slavery as a system, but this time one which only enslaves white people. 

202. It would be hopeless for revolutionaries to try to attack the system without using SOME modern technology. If nothing else they must use the communications media to spread their message. But they should use modern technology for only ONE purpose: to attack the technological system.

That almost all modern technology is unnecessary and does more harm than (long-term) good, e.g. cars, is information that Anthropocene enthusiasts cannot process. 

203. Imagine an alcoholic sitting with a barrel of wine in front of him. Suppose he starts saying to himself, “Wine isn’t bad for you if used in moderation. Why, they say small amounts of wine are even good for you! It won’t do me any harm if I take just one little drink.... “ Well you know what is going to happen. Never forget that the human race with technology is just like an alcoholic with a barrel of wine.

Never forget that MTI humans are basically five-year olds with machete left unsupervised for hours in their grandmother's garden, i.e. we moderns with technology on a planet for the taking egging each other on. 

204. Revolutionaries should have as many children as they can. There is strong scientific evidence that social attitudes are to a significant extent inherited. No one suggests that a social attitude is a direct outcome of a person’s genetic constitution, but it appears that personality traits are partly inherited and that certain personality traits tend, within the context of our society, to make a person more likely to hold this or that social attitude. Objections to these findings have been raised, but the objections are feeble and seem to be ideologically motivated. In any event, no one denies that children tend on the average to hold social attitudes similar to those of their parents. From our point of view it doesn’t matter all that much whether the attitudes are passed on genetically or through childhood training. In either case they ARE passed on.

When the revolution comes, humans will again live in SMALL groups whose Mothers will decide who can reproduce. The natural superiority of women includes being less posterity blind than men, more likely to select for what works long-term. There is not enough time to outbreed the MTI ones this century. If non-MTI societies that work form, then outbreeding the remnant MTI empire building BAU ones may be a viable strategy after the revolutionaries are no more. 

205. The trouble is that many of the people who are inclined to rebel against the industrial system are also concerned about the population problems, hence they are apt to have few or no children. In this way they may be handing the world over to the sort of people who support or at least accept the industrial system. To insure the strength of the next generation of revolutionaries the present generation should reproduce itself abundantly. In doing so they will be worsening the population problem only slightly. And the important problem is to get rid of the industrial system, because once the industrial system is gone the world’s population necessarily will decrease (see paragraph 167); whereas, if the industrial system survives, it will continue developing new techniques of food production that may enable the world’s population to keep increasing almost indefinitely.

The ecolate view is neither posterity nor energy blind. Industrial food production is a process of turning fossil fuels into food. Building a hundred story tower with a hectare footprint, grow lights above each floor whose crops are tended by AI directed robots, could easily produce over a hundred times more food than soil based solar agriculture, but it won't be powered by solar panels and wind turbines. The world's population will climate and descend soon. 

206. With regard to revolutionary strategy, the only points on which we absolutely insist are that the single overriding goal must be the elimination of modern technology, and that no other goal can be allowed to compete with this one. For the rest, revolutionaries should take an empirical approach. If experience indicates that some of the recommendations made in the foregoing paragraphs are not going to give good results, then those recommendations should be discarded.

The single overriding goal must be the elimination of the freedom of humans, as individuals or groups, to use technology as that selects for short-term self interest, empire building, and failure of the unsustainable state.


TWO KINDS OF TECHNOLOGY

 

207. An argument likely to be raised against our proposed revolution is that it is bound to fail, because (it is claimed) throughout history technology has always progressed, never regressed, hence technological regression is impossible. But this claim is false.

Until recently, slavery was foundational to empire and regressing to a pre-slavery state was unthinkable. Then wage slavery proved better. 

208. We distinguish between two kinds of technology, which we will call small-scale technology and organization-dependent technology. Small-scale technology is technology that can be used by small-scale communities without outside assistance. Organization-dependent technology is technology that depends on large-scale social organization. We are aware of no significant cases of regression in small-scale technology. But organization-dependent technology DOES regress when the social organization on which it depends breaks down. Example: When the Roman Empire fell apart the Romans’ small-scale technology survived because any clever village craftsman could build, for instance, a water wheel, any skilled smith could make steel by Roman methods, and so forth. But the Romans’ organization-dependent technology DID regress. Their aqueducts fell into disrepair and were never rebuilt. Their techniques of road construction were lost. The Roman system of urban sanitation was forgotten, so that not until rather recent times did the sanitation of European cities equal that of Ancient Rome.

I distinguish between two kinds of technology, that which actually helps people to persist on the planet by doing vastly more good than harm to humanity and the biosphere to thereby maximize the empower of the planetary life-support system, because that is what Nature selects for per Fourth Law. What humans want is irrelevant unless what they want is what happens to be selected for. The Roman techno-industrial society was wood powered, for a time, until North Africa and Europe was largely deforested and unsustainable soil-mining agriculture failed. 

209. The reason why technology has seemed always to progress is that, until perhaps a century or two before the Industrial Revolution, most technology was small-scale technology. But most of the technology developed since the Industrial Revolution is organization-dependent technology. Take the refrigerator for example. Without factory-made parts or the facilities of a post-industrial machine shop it would be virtually impossible for a handful of local craftsmen to build a refrigerator. If by some miracle they did succeed in building one it would be useless to them without a reliable source of electric power. So they would have to dam a stream and build a generator. Generators require large amounts of copper wire. Imagine trying to make that wire without modern machinery. And where would they get a gas suitable for refrigeration? It would be much easier to build an icehouse or preserve food by drying or picking, as was done before the invention of the refrigerator.

Only MTI society and industrial production system can make microprocessor upon which 21st century MTI ones depend. Clever craftsman might be able to make a bicycle, even a motor to power it, but when MTI ways and means collapse, all devises, even those that require only tiny amounts of electrical power, will all fail within 30 years as all microprocessors fail as a function of time. Even if the power of hydroelectric dams is used to support a remnant of MTI high-tech, individual consumers should expect nothing. 

210. So it is clear that if the industrial system were once thoroughly broken down, refrigeration technology would quickly be lost. The same is true of other organization-dependent technology. And once this technology had been lost for a generation or so it would take centuries to rebuild it, just as it took centuries to build it the first time around. Surviving technical books would be few and scattered. An industrial society, if built from scratch without outside help, can only be built in a series of stages: You need tools to make tools to make tools to make tools ... . A long process of economic development and progress in social organization is required. And, even in the absence of an ideology opposed to technology, there is no reason to believe that anyone would be interested in rebuilding industrial society. The enthusiasm for “progress” is a phenomenon peculiar to the modern form of society, and it seems not to have existed prior to the 17th century or thereabouts.

The knowhow of MTI society may be lost. If not, or regained, a repetition of the last 300 years would be energetically impossible unless some source of energy 'too cheap to meter' empowers it. Knowing how to increase food production a hundred fold is useless if the knowhow depends on fossil fuel inputs. Prior to the 17th century, Europeans lived in a Wood Age and were heading for collapse as were 'their' forests. The 18th century, only modestly empowered by fossil fuels, grew with increasing enthusiasm.  

211. In the late Middle Ages there were four main civilizations that were about equally “advanced”: Europe, the Islamic world, India, and the Far East (China, Japan, Korea). Three of those civilizations remained more or less stable, and only Europe became dynamic. No one knows why Europe became dynamic at that time; historians have their theories but these are only speculation. At any rate, it is clear that rapid development toward a technological form of society occurs only under special conditions. So there is no reason to assume that a long-lasting technological regression cannot be brought about.

The Indo-European culture was the exception 7k years ago. Empowered by cattle and horses they spread out of the steppes to conquer settled agrarians, mostly goddess worshiping peaceful ones. The mobile patriarchal ones were vastly successful, especially in Europe where their language and empire building ways thrive still. 

212. Would society EVENTUALLY develop again toward an industrial-technological form? Maybe, but there is no use in worrying about it, since we can’t predict or control events 500 or 1,000 years in the future. Those problems must be dealt with by the people who will live at that time.

Could humans come to understand and learn to live properly with the planet without being had by their technology? I don't know. I'll consider the possibility and how to make it happen.


THE DANGER OF LEFTISM

 

213. Because of their need for rebellion and for membership in a movement, leftists or persons of similar psychological type often are unattracted to a rebellious or activist movement whose goals and membership are not initially leftist. The resulting influx of leftish types can easily turn a non-leftist movement into a leftist one, so that leftist goals replace or distort the original goals of the movement.

Consider the fate of Earth First!, which was taken over by leftists who, somewhat ironically, were later taken over by anarchists. Almost all of the original members, who were not motivated by political rhetoric, were displaced. 

214. To avoid this, a movement that exalts nature and opposes technology must take a resolutely anti-leftist stance and must avoid all collaboration with leftists. Leftism is in the long run inconsistent with wild nature, with human freedom and with the elimination of modern technology. Leftism is collectivist; it seeks to bind together the entire world (both nature and the human race) into a unified whole. But this implies management of nature and of human life by organized society, and it requires advanced technology. You can’t have a united world without rapid transportation and communication, you can’t make all people love one another without sophisticated psychological techniques, you can’t have a “planned society” without the necessary technological base. Above all, leftism is driven by the need for power, and the leftist seeks power on a collective basis, through identification with a mass movement or an organization. Leftism is unlikely ever to give up technology, because technology is too valuable a source of collective power.

To prevent being hijacked, any group of possibly sane humans must take a resolutely anti-political stance as there are no political solutions and the humancentric political system, whether autocracy or pure democracy, must be marginalized until it goes away, along with organized religion and all other belief-based ways of knowing. Ideology is pathology, and the leftists and their leftisms excel at it and hence are a major threat to humanity's chances of recovering from modernity, BAU, and MTI's empire building culture. 

215. The anarchist [34] too seeks power, but he seeks it on an individual or small-group basis; he wants individuals and small groups to be able to control the circumstances of their own lives. He opposes technology because it makes small groups dependent on large organizations.

There are going on 57 flavors of anarchist ideology, from anarcho-capitalism, anarcho-primitivism, anarcho-fascism, to sexual anarchy. 

216. Some leftists may seem to oppose technology, but they will oppose it only so long as they are outsiders and the technological system is controlled by non-leftists. If leftism ever becomes dominant in society, so that the technological system becomes a tool in the hands of leftists, they will enthusiastically use it and promote its growth. In doing this they will be repeating a pattern that leftism has shown again and again in the past. When the Bolsheviks in Russia were outsiders, they vigorously opposed censorship and the secret police, they advocated self-determination for ethnic minorities, and so forth; but as soon as they came into power themselves, they imposed a tighter censorship and created a more ruthless secret police than any that had existed under the tsars, and they oppressed ethnic minorities at least as much as the tsars had done. In the United States, a couple of decades ago when leftists were a minority in our universities, leftist professors were vigorous proponents of academic freedom, but today, in those of our universities where leftists have become dominant, they have shown themselves ready to take away from everyone else’s academic freedom. (This is “political correctness.”) The same will happen with leftists and technology: They will use it to oppress everyone else if they ever get it under their own control.

Some Anthropocene enthusiasts are wolves. Some are wolves in sheep's clothing who love solar panels and plan to save humanity by ushering a Green New Deal that will degrow the economy to give more people more of what they deserve to have as devout leftists alone can envision. Thanks to decades of tireless effort, especially on university campuses, leftist professors are vigorously decolonizing the curriculum and canceling those who don't know enough to agree with them.  Sir Isaac Newton has been labeled as a potential beneficiary of 'colonial-era activity' and to 'decolonize' the engineering curriculum, he needs to go unmentioned if some ideas of his need to be.

217. In earlier revolutions, leftists of the most power-hungry type, repeatedly, have first cooperated with non-leftist revolutionaries, as well as with leftists of a more libertarian inclination, and later have double- crossed them to seize power for themselves. Robespierre did this in the French Revolution, the Bolsheviks did it in the Russian Revolution, the communists did it in Spain in 1938 and Castro and his followers did it in Cuba. Given the past history of leftism, it would be utterly foolish for non-leftist revolutionaries today to collaborate with leftists.

As a non-leftist or rightist rxevolutionary, I have a voice and must scream: a pox on both their houses and everyone between the far left and far right. All pundits offering political 'solutions' or religious 'salvation' need to be provided with free belief therapy to maybe reform them. 

218. Various thinkers have pointed out that leftism is a kind of religion. Leftism is not a religion in the strict sense because leftist doctrine does not postulate the existence of any supernatural being. But, for the leftist, leftism plays a psychological role much like that which religion plays for some people. The leftist NEEDS to believe in leftism; it plays a vital role in his psychological economy. His beliefs are not easily modified by logic or facts. He has a deep conviction that leftism is morally Right with a capital R, and that he has not only a right but a duty to impose leftist morality on everyone. (However, many of the people we are referring to as “leftists” do not think of themselves as leftists and would not describe their system of beliefs as leftism. We use the term “leftism” because we don’t know of any better words to designate the spectrum of related creeds that includes the feminist, gay rights, political correctness, etc., movements, and because these movements have a strong affinity with the old left. See paragraphs 227-230.)

Islamism has limited appeal in the West, as does that old time religion, so as true believers also abhor a vacuum, new beliefs will arise to thrill and fill the desolate, whether QAnonism or Wokeism. Much as Rome was replaced by the Holy Roman Empire, which was neither holy, Roman, nor an empire, MTI society may be replaced by Islamists in areas and by the Holy Woke Empire elsewhere, which will be anything but holy, woke, nor an empire other than one of enforced belief and certitude.

219. Leftism is a totalitarian force. Wherever leftism is in a position of power it tends to invade every private corner and force every thought into a leftist mold. In part this is because of the quasi-religious character of leftism; everything contrary to leftist beliefs represents Sin. More importantly, leftism is a totalitarian force because of the leftists’ drive for power. The leftist seeks to satisfy his need for power through identification with a social movement and he tries to go through the power process by helping to pursue and attain the goals of the movement (see paragraph 83). But no matter how far the movement has gone in attaining its goals the leftist is never satisfied, because his activism is a surrogate activity (see paragraph 41). That is, the leftist’s real motive is not to attain the ostensible goals of leftism; in reality he is motivated by the sense of power he gets from struggling for and then reaching a social goal. [35] Consequently the leftist is never satisfied with the goals he has already attained; his need for the power process leads him always to pursue some new goal. The leftist wants equal opportunities for minorities. When that is attained he insists on statistical equality of achievement by minorities. And as long as anyone harbors in some corner of his mind a negative attitude toward some minority, the leftist has to re-educated him. And ethnic minorities are not enough; no one can be allowed to have a negative attitude toward homosexuals, disabled people, fat people, old people, ugly people, and on and on and on. It’s not enough that the public should be informed about the hazards of smoking; a warning has to be stamped on every package of cigarettes. Then cigarette advertising has to be restricted if not banned. The activists will never be satisfied until tobacco is outlawed, and after that it will be alcohol, then junk food, etc. Activists have fought gross child abuse, which is reasonable. But now they want to stop all spanking. When they have done that they will want to ban something else they consider unwholesome, then another thing and then another. They will never be satisfied until they have complete control over all child rearing practices. And then they will move on to another cause.

The elements of a new Cultural Revolution are all about us. It is a repetition of a pattern too few learned from. We who do not learn from history will repeat it. The Woke will come to sanction slavery, but only for whites who are not Woke. About 28 million women and girls and 12 million men/boys (10 million children) are procured slaves in todays modern technoindustrial global society. There are some 152 million children trapped in low paid child labor, which is essentially slavery. In North Korea, Eritrea, and Burundi, about 10% of the population are slaves. Additionally there are an estimated 15.4 million girls living in forced marriages, essentially sex-and-labor slaves. Humans use humans for undocumented domestic servitude, sex trafficking, forced and bonded labor, forced criminality (gangs) and last but not least as wage slaves, many of whom believe themselves happy in their work as being paid allows for overconsumption. When fossil fuels fade, the demand for white slaves (who are right-leaning and not yet fully Woke) will be insatiable.

220. Suppose you asked leftists to make a list of ALL the things that were wrong with society, and then suppose you instituted EVERY social change that they demanded. It is safe to say that within a couple of years the majority of leftists would find something new to complain about, some new social “evil” to correct because, once again, the leftist is motivated less by distress at society’s ills than by the need to satisfy his drive for power by imposing his solutions on society.

We live on a cruise ship of fool. Some may have to be put in the brig to think of ways they could be of service. The former captain may become a fair fisherman. If the only former elite to fail turns out to be the leftist professor, don't be surprised. 

221. Because of the restrictions placed on their thoughts and behavior by their high level of socialization, many leftists of the over-socialized type cannot pursue power in the ways that other people do. For them the drive for power has only one morally acceptable outlet, and that is in the struggle to impose their morality on everyone.

The intelligentsia is largely, being products of the educational system all, left-leaning who, like the devoutly religious, long to impose their morality universally on all, e.g. Islamists, the Woke. 

222. Leftists, especially those of the oversocialized type, are True Believers in the sense of Eric Hoffer’s book, “The True Believer.” But not all True Believers are of the same psychological type as leftists. Presumably a true-believing nazi, for instance, is very different psychologically from a true-believing leftist. Because of their capacity for single-minded devotion to a cause, True Believers are a useful, perhaps a necessary, ingredient of any revolutionary movement. This presents a problem with which we must admit we don’t know how to deal. We aren’t sure how to harness the energies of the True Believer to a revolution against technology. At present all we can say is that no True Believer will make a safe recruit to the revolution unless his commitment is exclusively to the destruction of technology. If he is committed also to another ideal, he may want to use technology as a tool for pursuing that other ideal (see paragraphs 220, 221).

The follower of Q are also true believers, but there are fewer of them. A few hundred can be railed up to attack a US capital building to take hostages or otherwise have their demands met, but there are not nearly enough to riot, pillage, and burn cities. But political pendulums swig and soon the anti-racist racists may be beaten down with great enthusiasm by honest to God real racists who will deign to keep a few white-trash slaves. 

223. Some readers may say, “This stuff about leftism is a lot of crap. I know John and Jane who are leftish types and they don’t have all these totalitarian tendencies.” It’s quite true that many leftists, possibly even a numerical majority, are decent people who sincerely believe in tolerating others’ values (up to a point) and wouldn’t want to use high-handed methods to reach their social goals. Our remarks about leftism are not meant to apply to every individual leftist but to describe the general character of leftism as a movement. And the general character of a movement is not necessarily determined by the numerical proportions of the various kinds of people involved in the movement.

It is quite possible that a majority of religious followers are decent people who sincerely believe in loving and tolerating others, even their wrong-headed beliefs. 'With or without religion, good people can behave well and bad people can do evil; but for good people to do evil - that takes religion.' and if that doesn't work, there is politics.

224. The people who rise to positions of power in leftist movements tend to be leftists of the most power- hungry type, because power-hungry people are those who strive hardest to get into positions of power. Once the power-hungry types have captured control of the movement, there are many leftists of a gentler breed who inwardly disapprove of many of the actions of the leaders, but cannot bring themselves to oppose them. They NEED their faith in the movement, and because they cannot give up this faith they go along with the leaders. True, SOME leftists do have the guts to oppose the totalitarian tendencies that emerge, but they generally lose, because the power-hungry types are better organized, are more ruthless and Machiavellian and have taken care to build themselves a strong power base.

True believers need to believe, and would rather believe than know, hence evidence and reason are water off their duck's back.  The ideologically driven and those striving to make complex society bigger and better able to prevail in conflicts with other empire builders, have a common cause and typically align to rule. The cure, a Great Simplification, is in the offing. And then what?

225. These phenomena appeared clearly in Russia and other countries that were taken over by leftists. Similarly, before the breakdown of communism in the USSR, leftish types in the West would seldom criticize that country. If prodded they would admit that the USSR did many wrong things, but then they would try to find excuses for the communists and begin talking about the faults of the West. They always opposed Western military resistance to communist aggression. Leftish types all over the world vigorously protested the U.S. military action in Vietnam, but when the USSR invaded Afghanistan they did nothing. Not that they approved of the Soviet actions; but because of their leftist faith, they just couldn’t bear to put themselves in opposition to communism. Today, in those of our universities where “political correctness” has become dominant, there are probably many leftish types who privately disapprove of the suppression of academic freedom, but they go along with it anyway.

There can be no POLITICAL revolution that leads to a non-BAU viable outcome. The political system of complex societies, from monarchs to dictatorial potentates or democratically elected great leaders, is part of the pattern that repeats because it can never persist, i.e. is not viable. Standing down and learning to live, perhaps as well as our ancestors did in 8-12 generations, in small groups would lay a foundation for experimenting with more complex societies that may be viable long term.

226. Thus the fact that many individual leftists are personally mild and fairly tolerant people by no means prevents leftism as a whole form having a totalitarian tendency.

Good people, when subsumed by a collective, can do evil. 

227. Our discussion of leftism has a serious weakness. It is still far from clear what we mean by the word “leftist.” There doesn’t seem to be much we can do about this. Today leftism is fragmented into a whole spectrum of activist movements. Yet not all activist movements are leftist, and some activist movements (e.g., radical environmentalism) seem to include both personalities of the leftist type and personalities of thoroughly un-leftist types who ought to know better than to collaborate with leftists. Varieties of leftists fade out gradually into varieties of non-leftists and we ourselves would often be hard-pressed to decide whether a given individual is or is not a leftist. To the extent that it is defined at all, our conception of leftism is defined by the discussion of it that we have given in this article, and we can only advise the reader to use his own judgment in deciding who is a leftist.

'If I knew for a certainty that a man was coming to my house with the conscious design of doing me good, I should run for my life.' —Henry David Thoreau. The only advise I can offer is to do the same. It has been my experience that the right-leaning, especially the religious, also want to do me good. I don't run, but I don't believe a word anyone says, including the stream of words, words, words that my mind generates all the livelong day.

228. But it will be helpful to list some criteria for diagnosing leftism. These criteria cannot be applied in a cut and dried manner. Some individuals may meet some of the criteria without being leftists, some leftists may not meet any of the criteria. Again, you just have to use your judgment.

If you guess that someone is a true believer, on the Right or Left or Middle, you will almost always be correct. Being on the spectrum is diagnostic of pathology. 

229. The leftist is oriented toward large-scale collectivism. He emphasizes the duty of the individual to serve society and the duty of society to take care of the individual. He has a negative attitude toward individualism. He often takes a moralistic tone. He tends to be for gun control, for sex education and other psychologically “enlightened” educational methods, for social planning, for affirmative action, for multiculturalism. He tends to identify with victims. He tends to be against competition and against violence, but he often finds excuses for those leftists who do commit violence. He is fond of using the common catch- phrases of the left, like “racism,” “sexism,” “homophobia,” “capitalism,” “imperialism,” “neocolonialism,” “genocide,” “social change,” “social justice,” “social responsibility.” Maybe the best diagnostic trait of the leftist is his tendency to sympathize with the following movements: feminism, gay rights, ethnic rights, disability rights, animal rights, political correctness. Anyone who strongly sympathizes with ALL of these movements is almost certainly a leftist. [36]

And the right-leaning are oriented towards values more than abstract concept mongering.  Having the right values, at least as good as one's parents and grandparents had, is vitally important. Being swayed by current fashions is to avoid. The rightist strives to say what they think and to mean what they say, which to the leftist appears simpleminded, and compared to their powers of obfuscation, is. Some on the right know that most, including many on the right, do not believe as they do. They can but hope to correct. The certitudes of the right are typically 'not even wrong', but some can agree to disagree.

230. The more dangerous leftists, that is, those who are most power-hungry, are often characterized by arrogance or by a dogmatic approach to ideology. However, the most dangerous leftists of all may be certain oversocialized types who avoid irritating displays of aggressiveness and refrain from advertising their leftism, but work quietly and unobtrusively to promote collectivist values, “enlightened” psychological techniques for socializing children, dependence of the individual on the system, and so forth. These crypto- leftists (as we may call them) approximate certain bourgeois types as far as practical action is concerned, but differ from them in psychology, ideology and motivation. The ordinary bourgeois tries to bring people under control of the system in order to protect his way of life, or he does so simply because his attitudes are conventional. The crypto-leftist tries to bring people under control of the system because he is a True Believer in a collectivistic ideology. The crypto-leftist is differentiated from the average leftist of the oversocialized type by the fact that his rebellious impulse is weaker and he is more securely socialized. He is differentiated from the ordinary well-socialized bourgeois by the fact that there is some deep lack within him that makes it necessary for him to devote himself to a cause and immerse himself in a collectivity. And maybe his (well-sublimated) drive for power is stronger than that of the average bourgeois.

The more dangerous of the true believers are the most intelligent and verbally adroit, like O'Brien to Winston Smith in Orwell's 1984. They can think circles around you. There is nothing you can think that they cannot think, and likely give better expression to. Yet only words they know to be true matter. They are incapable of considering the possibility that they might be wrong, and so are immune to evidence and reason, i.e. are insane. They are ever players playing the game that never ends. They like to win, and expect to as they usual do and always think they do. They are tar babies, and playing with them is to loose. Only assessing them correctly avoids being drawn in.

FINAL NOTE

 

231. Throughout this article we’ve made imprecise statements and statements that ought to have had all sorts of qualifications and reservations attached to them; and some of our statements may be flatly false. Lack of sufficient information and the need for brevity made it impossible for us to formulate our assertions more precisely or add all the necessary qualifications. And of course in a discussion of this kind one must rely heavily on intuitive judgment, and that can sometimes be wrong. So we don’t claim that this article expresses more than a crude approximation to the truth.

That I am wrong about some claims is a given, perhaps most, even. Or I could be wrong about everything, about the whole shebang. My entire narrative is a social construct. How could I be different? That I swim in a sea of error, ignorance, and illusion is a just-so story. 

232. All the same, we are reasonably confident that the general outlines of the picture we have painted here are roughly correct. Just one possible weak point needs to be mentioned. We have portrayed leftism in its modern form as a phenomenon peculiar to our time and as a symptom of the disruption of the power process. But we might possibly be wrong about this. Oversocialized types who try to satisfy their drive for power by imposing their morality on everyone have certainly been around for a long time. But we THINK that the decisive role played by feelings of inferiority, low self-esteem, powerlessness, identification with victims by people who are not themselves victims, is a peculiarity of modern leftism. Identification with victims by people not themselves victims can be seen to some extent in 19th century leftism and early Christianity but as far as we can make out, symptoms of low self-esteem, etc., were not nearly so evident in these movements, or in any other movements, as they are in modern leftism. But we are not in a position to assert confidently that no such movements have existed prior to modern leftism. This is a significant question to which historians ought to give their attention.

I endeavor to subject all claims, especially ones that attract me, to the flames of an all consuming doubt to see what, if any bits, persists. This makes for an inability to believe in belief. Tentative conjectures and guesses are to consider, as is all available evidence and reason such as there may be to consider. One can endeavor to think well, to correct errors, address ignorance, and view all claims as likely illusions. I don't care what other people think, with one exception. If they think, especial if based on evidence and reason, that I am in error, then correcting me what be the highest service that could be offered.


Notes


Sources 

1. (Paragraph 19) We are asserting that ALL, or even most, bullies and ruthless competitors suffer from feelings of inferiority.

H. T. Odum, Environment, Power, and Society, 1971 

2. (Paragraph 25) During the Victorian period many oversocialized people suffered from serious psychological problems as a result of repressing or trying to repress their sexual feelings. Freud apparently based his theories on people of this type. Today the focus of socialization has shifted from sex to aggression.


Per FINAL REPORT- Delivering the Human Future 2021   No real solutions
The world needs a ‘survival revolution’ on a scale far larger than the ‘industrial revolution’

3. (Paragraph 27) Not necessarily including specialists in engineering or the “hard” sciences.

Laozi, Tao Te Ching 

4. (Paragraph 28) There are many individuals of the middle and upper classes who resist some of these values, but usually their resistance is more or less covert. Such resistance appears in the mass media only to a very limited extent. The main thrust of propaganda in our society is in favor of the stated values.

Thomas Malthus, 'geometric' (exponential) vs linear growth, An Essay on the Principle of Population 1798. Global population 990 million. 

The main reason why these values have become, so to speak, the official values of our society is that they are useful to the industrial system. Violence is discouraged because it disrupts the functioning of the system. Racism is discouraged because ethnic conflicts also disrupt the system, and discrimination wastes the talents of minority-group members who could be useful to the system. Poverty must be “cured” because the underclass causes problems for the system and contact with the underclass lowers the morale of the other classes. Women are encouraged to have careers because their talents are useful to the system and, more importantly, because by having regular jobs women become better integrated into the system and tied directly to it rather than to their families. This helps to weaken family solidarity. (The leaders of the system say they want to strengthen the family, but they really mean is that they want the family to serve as an effective tool for socializing children in accord with the needs of the system. We argue in paragraphs 51, 52 that the system cannot afford to let the family or other small-scale social groups be strong or autonomous.)

Charles Darwin, Alfred Wallace, both independently came to a theory of evolution by natural selection after reading Malthus, 1859.
Meta-narrative: Nature is a system, one that is not human centered. E.O. Wilson, 'The Darwin of the 21st century', offered  Half Earth 2016: Our Planet's Fight for Life. The coming revolutionaries will be viewed as mere followers and called the E.O. Ones as a pejorative. They will accept the name but shortened it to EOs, short for the Ecolate Ones.

5. (Paragraph 42) It may be argued that the majority of people don’t want to make their own decisions but want leaders to do their thinking for them. There is an element of truth in this. People like to make their own decisions in small matters, but making decisions on difficult, fundamental questions requires facing up to psychological conflict, and most people hate psychological conflict. Hence they tend to lean on others in making difficult decisions. But it does not follow that they like to have decisions imposed upon them without having any opportunity to influence those decisions. The majority of people are natural followers, not leaders, but they like to have direct personal access to their leaders, they want to be able to influence the leaders and participate to some extent in making even the difficult decisions. At least to that degree they need autonomy.

Those showing evidence of 'Thinking in Systems' have been a minority, at least since empire-building began about 10k years ago. Control system serving educational sub-systems, formal and informal, in complex empire-building societies tell growth (and elite) serving narratives that are humancentric. But as Laozi notes, 'True words are not pleasing. Pleasing words are not true.' 

6. (Paragraph 44) Some of the symptoms listed are similar to those shown by caged animals.

Donella Meadows, a canonical text, Thinking in Systems: A Primer 2006. 

To explain how these symptoms arise from deprivation with respect to the power process:

William R. Catton Jr., Overshoot: The Ecological Basis for Revolutionary Change 

Common-sense understanding of human nature tells one that lack of goals whose attainment requires effort leads to boredom and that boredom, long continued, often leads eventually to depression. Failure to attain goals leads to frustration and lowering of self-esteem. Frustration leads to anger, anger to aggression, often in the form of spouse or child abuse. It has been shown that long-continued frustration commonly leads to depression and that depression tends to cause guilt, sleep disorders, eating disorders and bad feelings about oneself. Those who are tending toward depression seek pleasure as an antidote; hence insatiable hedonism and excessive sex, with perversions as a means of getting new kicks. Boredom too tends to cause excessive pleasure-seeking since, lacking other goals, people often use pleasure as a goal. See accompanying diagram.

‘The major problems in the world are the result of the difference between how nature works and the way people think.... It is doubtful whether a species having both an advanced technology and... strange [inecolate] way of looking at its world can endure.’. —Gregory Bateson 

The foregoing is a simplification. Reality is more complex, and of course, deprivation with respect to the power process is not the ONLY cause of the symptoms described.

'One of the penalties of an ecological education is that one lives alone in a world of wounds.' ―Aldo Leopold 1949 

By the way, when we mention depression we do not necessarily mean depression that is severe enough to be treated by a psychiatrist. Often only mild forms of depression are involved. And when we speak of goals we do not necessarily mean long-term, thought-out goals. For many or most people through much of human history, the goals of a hand-to-mouth existence (merely providing oneself and one’s family with food from day to day) have been quite sufficient.

'The fox knows many things: the hedgehog knows one big thing'. —Archilochus. 'Ecologists... are hedgehogs. The one big thing they know is this: "We can never do merely one thing." This simple sentence imperfectly mirrors the one big thing... —the idea of a system'. —Garrett Hardin 

7. (Paragraph 52) A partial exception may be made for a few passive, inward-looking groups, such as the Amish, which have little effect on the wider society. Apart from these, some genuine small-scale communities do exist in America today. For instance, youth gangs and “cults.” Everyone regards them as dangerous, and so they are, because the members of these groups are loyal primarily to one another rather than to the system, hence the system cannot control them.

'The mind clings to its image of the world; we call it real only because of our ignorance. Do not seek after the Truth, merely cease to cherish your opinions.' —Jianzhi Sengcan, 6th century CE. 

Or take the gypsies. The gypsies commonly get away with theft and fraud because their loyalties are such that they can always get other gypsies to give testimony that “proves” their innocence. Obviously the system would be in serious trouble if too many people belonged to such groups.

'Anyone who believes that exponential growth can continue forever in a finite system is either a madman or an economist.' —Kenneth Boulding 

Some of the early-20th century Chinese thinkers who were concerned with modernizing China recognized the necessity breaking down small-scale social groups such as the family: “(According to Sun Yat-sen) the Chinese people needed a new surge of patriotism, which would lead to a transfer of loyalty from the family to the state.... (According to Li Huang) traditional attachments, particularly to the family had to be abandoned if nationalism were to develop in China.” (Chester C. Tan, “Chinese Political Thought in the Twentieth Century,” page 125, page 297.)

'We are not in the position we were in 1929–30 with regard to the future. Then the physical system was ready to roll. This time it’s not. We are in a crisis in the evolution of human society. It’s unique to both human and geologic history... Soon all the oil is going to be burned and all the metals mined and scattered.'—M. King Hubbert 

8. (Paragraph 56) Yes, we know that 19th century America had its problems, and serious ones, but for the sake of brevity we have to express ourselves in simplified terms.

Howard Scott, 1932, replace money with energy certificates, technocracy movement

9. (Paragraph 61) We leave aside the “underclass.” We are speaking of the mainstream.

Alfred Lotka, biophysical reality and energy laws matter 1925. 

10. (Paragraph 62) Some social scientists, educators, “mental health” professionals and the like are doing their best to push the social drives into group 1 by trying to see to it that everyone has a satisfactory social life.

Henry David Thoreau, 1854, 'in wildness is the preservation of the world', Walden.
Global population 1,200 million. 

11. (Paragraphs 63, 82) Is the drive for endless material acquisition really an artificial creation of the advertising and marketing industry? Certainly there is no innate human drive for material acquisition. There have been many cultures in which people have desired little material wealth beyond what was necessary to satisfy their basic physical needs (Australian aborigines, traditional Mexican peasant culture, some African cultures). On the other hand there have also been many pre-industrial cultures in which material acquisition has played an important role. So we can’t claim that today’s acquisition-oriented culture is exclusively a creation of the advertising and marketing industry. But it is clear that the advertising and marketing industry has had an important part in creating that culture. The big corporations that spend millions on advertising wouldn’t be spending that kind of money without solid proof that they were getting it back in increased sales. One member of FC met a sales manager a couple of years ago who was frank enough to tell him, “Our job is to make people buy things they don’t want and don’t need.” He then described how an untrained novice could present people with the facts about a product, and make no sales at all, while a trained and experienced professional salesman would make lots of sales to the same people. This shows that people are manipulated into buying things they don’t really want.

'The dumbing down of American is most evident in the slow decay of substantive content in the enormously influential media, the 30 second sound bites (now down to 10 seconds or less), lowest common denominator programming, credulous presentations on pseudoscience and superstition, but especially a kind of celebration of ignorance.' ~ Carl Sagan, The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark 1995 


 

12. (Paragraph 64) The problem of purposelessness seems to have become less serious during the last 15 years or so, because people now feel less secure physically and economically than they did earlier, and the need for security provides them with a goal. But purposelessness has been replaced by frustration over the difficulty of attaining security. We emphasize the problem of purposelessness because the liberals and leftists would wish to solve our social problems by having society guarantee everyone’s security; but if that could be done it would only bring back the problem of purposelessness. The real issue is not whether society provides well or poorly for people’s security; the trouble is that people are dependent on the system for their security rather than having it in their own hands. This, by the way, is part of the reason why some people get worked up about the right to bear arms; possession of a gun puts that aspect of their security in their own hands.

'If society does not succeed in changing attitudes and institutions for a harmonious descent, the alternative is to prepare information packages for the contingency of restart after crashing..., seek out the condition now that will come anyway.' —H.T. Odum 

13. (Paragraph 66) Conservatives’ efforts to decrease the amount of government regulation are of little benefit to the average man. For one thing, only a fraction of the regulations can be eliminated because most regulations are necessary. For another thing, most of the deregulation affects business rather than the average individual, so that its main effect is to take power from the government and give it to private corporations. What this means for the average man is that government interference in his life is replaced by interference from big corporations, which may be permitted, for example, to dump more chemicals that get into his water supply and give him cancer. The conservatives are just taking the average man for a sucker, exploiting his resentment of Big Government to promote the power of Big Business.

'The real system is interconnected. No part of the human race is separate either from other human beings or from the global ecosystem. It will not be possible in this integrated world for your heart to succeed if your lungs fail, or for your company to succeed if your workers fail, or for the rich in Los Angles to succeed if the poor in Los Angles fail, or for Europe to succeed if Africa fails, or for the global economy to succeed if the global environment fails.' Donella MeadowsThinking in Systems: A Primer

14. (Paragraph 73) When someone approves of the purpose for which propaganda is being used in a given case, he generally calls it “education” or applies to it some similar euphemism. But propaganda is propaganda regardless of the purpose for which it is used.

'In order to change an existing paradigm you do not struggle to try and change the problematic model. You create a new model and make the old one obsolete. That, in essence, is the higher service to which we are all being called.' —R. Buckminster Fuller 

15. (Paragraph 83) We are not expressing approval or disapproval of the Panama invasion. We only use it to illustrate a point.

Charles A.S. Hall & Kent A. Klitgaard, 2012,  Energy and the Wealth of Nations: Understanding the Biophysical Economy 

16. (Paragraph 95) When the American colonies were under British rule there were fewer and less effective legal guarantees of freedom than there were after the American Constitution went into effect, yet there was more personal freedom in pre-industrial America, both before and after the War of Independence, than there was after the Industrial Revolution took hold in this country. We quote from “Violence in America: Historical and Comparative Perspectives,” edited by Hugh Davis Graham and Ted Robert Gurr, Chapter 12 by Roger Lane, pages 476-478, it is explained how in pre-industrial America the average person had greater independence and autonomy than he does today, and how the process of industrialization necessarily led to the restriction of personal freedom:

'What is the general answer? Eject economic expansionism, stop growth, use available energies for cultural conversion to steady state, seek out the condition now that will come anyway, but by our service be our biosphere's handmaiden anew.' —H.T. Odum ref 

“The progressive heightening of standards of propriety, and with it the increasing reliance on official law enforcement (in 19th century America) ... were common to the whole society.... [T]he change in social behavior is so long term and so widespread as to suggest a connection with the most fundamental of contemporary social processes; that of industrial urbanization itself....”Massachusetts in 1835 had a population of some 660,940, 81 percent rural, overwhelmingly preindustrial and native born. It’s citizens were used to considerable personal freedom. Whether teamsters, farmers or artisans, they were all accustomed to setting their own schedules, and the nature of their work made them physically independent of each other.... Individual problems, sins or even crimes, were not generally cause for wider social concern....”But the impact of the twin movements to the city and to the factory, both just gathering force in 1835, had a progressive effect on personal behavior throughout the 19th century and into the 20th. The factory demanded regularity of behavior, a life governed by obedience to the rhythms of clock and calendar, the demands of foreman and supervisor. In the city or town, the needs of living in closely packed neighborhoods inhibited many actions previously unobjectionable. Both blue- and white-collar employees in larger establishments were mutually dependent on their fellows; as one man’s work fit into anther’s, so one man’s business was no longer his own.

Alternatives to continued business-as-usual (BAU, a myopic and unchanging worldview) 'will involve fundamental changes in laws, values, religious attitudes, and expectations. Years of debate lie ahead in synthesizing a new political rationale that is compatible with a finite world in which human problems can not much longer be solved by expansion. The challenge is to design a path for both industrial and underdeveloped nations through the transition from growth to a viable equilibrium. Time is short. We must move quickly if we are to keep future options open'. —Jay Forrester, World Dynamics, 2nd ed. 1973, from preface to 2nd edition. 

“The results of the new organization of life and work were apparent by 1900, when some 76 percent of the 2,805,346 inhabitants of Massachusetts were classified as urbanites. Much violent or irregular behavior which had been tolerable in a casual, independent society was no longer acceptable in the more formalized, cooperative atmosphere of the later period.... The move to the cities had, in short, produced a more tractable, more socialized, more ‘civilized’ generation than its predecessors.”

'For the first time in history a conviction has developed among those who can actually think more than a decade ahead that we are playing a global endgame. Humanity's grasp on the planet is not strong. It is growing weaker. Our population is too large....' — Edward O. Wilson, Half Earth: Our Planet's Fight for Life 2016 

17. (Paragraph 117) Apologists for the system are fond of citing cases in which elections have been decided by one or two votes, but such cases are rare.

'The question of the century [21st] is: How best can we shift to a culture of permanence, both for ourselves and for the biosphere that sustains us?' —E.O. Wilson, The Future of Life, 2003 

18. (Paragraph 119) “Today, in technologically advanced lands, men live very similar lives in spite of geographical, religious, and political differences. The daily lives of a Christian bank clerk in Chicago, a Buddhist bank clerk in Tokyo, and a Communist bank clerk in Moscow are far more alike than the life of any one of them is like that of any single man who lived a thousand years ago. These similarities are the result of a common technology....” L. Sprague de Camp, “The Ancient Engineers,” Ballantine edition, page 17.

'Magical leverage points are not easily accessible, even if we know where they are and which direction to push on them. There are no cheap tickets to mastery. You have to work hard at it, whether that means rigorously analyzing a system or rigorously casting off your own paradigms and throwing yourself into the humility of not-knowing. In the end, it seems that mastery has less to do with pushing leverage points than it does with strategically, profoundly, madly, letting go and dancing with the system.' — Donella MeadowsThinking in Systems: A Primer

The lives of the three bank clerks are not IDENTICAL. Ideology does have SOME effect. But all technological societies, in order to survive, must evolve along APPROXIMATELY the same trajectory.

John B. Calhoun, of mice and men, Population density and psychosocial pathology 1962.

19. (Paragraph 123) Just think an irresponsible genetic engineer might create a lot of terrorists.

Al Bartlett, Arithmetic, Population, and Energy, 1969 to 2013 

20. (Paragraph 124) For a further example of undesirable consequences of medical progress, suppose a reliable cure for cancer is discovered. Even if the treatment is too expensive to be available to any but the elite, it will greatly reduce their incentive to stop the escape of carcinogens into the environment.

'In order to change an existing paradigm you do not struggle to try and change the problematic model. You create a new model and make the old one obsolete. That, in essence, is the higher service to which we are all being called.' —R. Buckminster Fuller 

21. (Paragraph 128) Since many people may find paradoxical the notion that a large number of good things can add up to a bad thing, we illustrate with an analogy. Suppose Mr. A is playing chess with Mr. B. Mr. C, a Grand Master, is looking over Mr. A’s shoulder. Mr. A of course wants to win his game, so if Mr. C points out a good move for him to make, he is doing Mr. A a favor. But suppose now that Mr. C tells Mr. A how to make ALL of his moves. In each particular instance he does Mr. A a favor by showing him his best move, but by making ALL of his moves for him he spoils his game, since there is not point in Mr. A’s playing the game at all if someone else makes all his moves.

The realization that you know essentially nothing is at the heart of science. Richard Feynman was asked to define science, and he said that it’s 'a satisfactory philosophy of ignorance.' Science is 'the belief in the ignorance of experts.' Experts, specialists all, are those who may know enough to have an opinion. The chatter of everyone else, in taverns or on social media, is likely to be less instructive. 

The situation of modern man is analogous to that of Mr. A. The system makes an individual’s life easier for him in innumerable ways, but in doing so it deprives him of control over his own fate.

Joseph A. Tainter, The Collapse of Complex Societies 1988. 

22. (Paragraph 137) Here we are considering only the conflict of values within the mainstream. For the sake of simplicity we leave out of the picture “outsider” values like the idea that wild nature is more important than human economic welfare.

Kogi second warning, 2011, all is interconnected, Aluna: There is no life without thought

23. (Paragraph 137) Self-interest is not necessarily MATERIAL self interest. It can consist in fulfillment of some psychological need, for example, by promoting one’s own ideology or religion.

World Scientists Warning to Humanity 1992.
Global population 5,500 million. 

24. (Paragraph 139) A qualification: It is in the interest of the system to permit a certain prescribed degree of freedom in some areas. For example, economic freedom (with suitable limitations and restraints) has proved effective in promoting economic growth. But only planned, circumscribed, limited freedom is in the interest of the system. The individual must always be kept on a leash, even if the leash is sometimes long (see paragraphs 94, 97).

Self-education is, I firmly believe, the only kind of education there is. — Isaac Asimov 

25. (Paragraph 143) We don’t mean to suggest that the efficiency or the potential for survival of a society has always been inversely proportional to the amount of pressure or discomfort to which the society subjects people. That certainly is not the case. There is good reason to believe that many primitive societies subjected people to less pressure than European society did, but European society proved far more efficient than any primitive society and always won out in conflicts with such societies because of the advantages conferred by technology.

Education: that which reveals to the wise, and conceals from the stupid, the vast limits of their knowledge.... I have never let my schooling interfere with my education. —Mark Twain 

26. (Paragraph 147) If you think that more effective law enforcement is unequivocally good because it suppresses crime, then remember that crime as defined by the system is not necessarily what YOU would call crime. Today, smoking marijuana is a “crime,” and, in some places in the U.S., so is possession of an unregistered handgun. Tomorrow, possession of ANY firearm, registered or not, may be made a crime, and the same thing may happen with disapproved methods of child-rearing, such as spanking. In some countries, expression of dissident political opinions is a crime, and there is no certainty that this will never happen in the U.S., since no constitution or political system lasts forever.

One of the most important insights of the new systems theory is that life and cognition are inseparable. The process of knowledge is also the process of self-organization, that is, the process of life. Our conventional model of knowledge is one of representation or an image of independently existing facts which is the model derived from classical physics. From, the new systems point of view, knowledge is a part of the process of life, of a dialogue between subject and object. I believe that the world view implied by modern physics is inconsistent with our present society, which does not reflect the interrelatedness we observe in nature. To achieve such a state of dynamic balance, a radically different social and economic structure will be needed; a cultural revolution in the true sense of the word. The survival of our whole civilization may depend on whether we can bring about such a change. It will depend ultimately, on our ability to...experience the wholeness of nature and the art of living with it in harmony.' — Fritjof Capra, The Role of Physics in the Current Change in Paradigms 1988

If a society needs a large, powerful law enforcement establishment, then there is something gravely wrong with that society; it must be subjecting people to severe pressures if so many refuse to follow the rules, or follow them only because forced. Many societies in the past have gotten by with little or no formal law- enforcement.

'With the coinage of 'sustainable development', the defenders of the unsteady state have won a few more years' moratorium from the painful process of thinking.' — Garrett Hardin 

27. (Paragraph 151) To be sure, past societies have had means of influencing human behavior, but these have been primitive and of low effectiveness compared with the technological means that are now being developed.

'The more he became truly wise, the more he distrusted everything he knew.' — Voltaire 

28. (Paragraph 152) However, some psychologists have publicly expressed opinions indicating their contempt for human freedom. And the mathematician Claude Shannon was quoted in Omni (August 1987) as saying, “I visualize a time when we will be to robots what dogs are to humans, and I’m rooting for the machines.”

'When we try to pick out anything by itself, we find it hitched to everything else in the universe,' —John Muir 

29. (Paragraph 154) This is no science fiction! After writing paragraph 154 we came across an article in Scientific American according to which scientists are actively developing techniques for identifying possible future criminals and for treating them by a combination of biological and psychological means. Some scientists advocate compulsory application of the treatment, which may be available in the near future. (See “Seeking the Criminal Element,” by W. Wayt Gibbs, Scientific American, March 1995.) Maybe you think this is OK because the treatment would be applied to those who might become violent criminals. But of course it won’t stop there. Next, a treatment will be applied to those who might become drunk drivers (they endanger human life too), then perhaps to peel who spank their children, then to environmentalists who sabotage logging equipment, eventually to anyone whose behavior is inconvenient for the system.

'Indeed, to some extent it has always been necessary and proper for man, in his thinking, to divide things up, if we tried to deal with the whole of reality at once, we would be swamped. However when this mode of thought is applied more broadly to man's notion of himself and the whole world in which he lives, (i.e. in his world-view) then man ceases to regard the resultant divisions as merely useful or convenient and begins to see and experience himself and this world as actually constituted of separately existing fragments. What is needed is a relativistic theory, to give up altogether the notion that the world is constituted of basic objects or building blocks. Rather one has to view the world in terms of universal flux of events and processes.' — David Bohm,  Wholeness and the Implicate Order 1980.

30. (Paragraph 184) A further advantage of nature as a counter-ideal to technology is that, in many people, nature inspires the kind of reverence that is associated with religion, so that nature could perhaps be idealized on a religious basis. It is true that in many societies religion has served as a support and justification for the established order, but it is also true that religion has often provided a basis for rebellion. Thus it may be useful to introduce a religious element into the rebellion against technology, the more so because Western society today has no strong religious foundation. Religion, nowadays either is used as cheap and transparent support for narrow, short-sighted selfishness (some conservatives use it this way), or even is cynically exploited to make easy money (by many evangelists), or has degenerated into crude irrationalism (fundamentalist protestant sects, “cults”), or is simply stagnant (Catholicism, main-line Protestantism). The nearest thing to a strong, widespread, dynamic religion that the West has seen in recent times has been the quasi-religion of leftism, but leftism today is fragmented and has no clear, unified, inspiring goal.

'Our civilization seems to be suffering a second curse of Babel: Just as the human race builds a tower of knowledge that reaches to the heavens, we are stricken by a malady in which we find ourselves attempting to communicate with each other in countless tongues of scientific specialization... The only goal of science appeared to be analytical, i.e., the splitting up of reality into ever smaller units and the isolation of individual causal trains... We may state as characteristic of modern science that this scheme of isolable units acting in one-way causality has proven to be insufficient. Hence the appearance, in all fields of science, of notions like wholeness, holistic, organismic, gestalt, etc., which all signify that, in the last resort, we must think in terms of systems of elements in mutual interaction... There is this hope, I cannot promise you whether or when it will be realized - that the mechanistic paradigm, with all its implications in science as well as in society and our own private life, will be replaced by an organismic or systems paradigm that will offer new pathways for our presently schizophrenic and self-destructive civilization.' — Ludwig von Bertalanffy 

Thus there is a religious vacuum in our society that could perhaps be filled by a religion focused on nature in opposition to technology. But it would be a mistake to try to concoct artificially a religion to fill this role. Such an invented religion would probably be a failure. Take the “Gaia” religion for example. Do its adherents REALLY believe in it or are they just play-acting? If they are just play-acting their religion will be a flop in the end.

'It is intellectually dishonest to talk about sustainability without stressing the obvious fact that stopping population growth is a necessary condition for sustainability!.... Can you think of any problem on any scale, from microscopic to global, whose long-term solution is in any demonstrable way aided, assisted or advanced by having larger populations at the local level, the state level, the national level, or globally?' —Albert Bartlett 

It is probably best not to try to introduce religion into the conflict of nature vs. technology unless you REALLY believe in that religion yourself and find that it arouses a deep, strong, genuine response in many other people.

'Full immersion technology users are sleepwalking while nature burns.' — Eileen Crist 

31. (Paragraph 189) Assuming that such a final push occurs. Conceivably the industrial system might be eliminated in a somewhat gradual or piecemeal fashion (see paragraphs 4, 167 and Note 4).

'Kogi ideas about the structure and functioning of the Universe, and Kogi cosmology is... model for survival in that it molds individual behaviour into a plan of actions or avoidances that are oriented toward the maintenance of a viable equilibrium between Man’s demands and Nature’s resources. In this manner the individual and society at large must both carry the burden of great responsibilities which, in the Kogi view, extend not only to their society but to the whole of mankind.' (Reichel-Dolmatoff, ‘Training for the Priesthood among the Kogi of Colombia’ in Wilbert J. (ed.) Enculturation in Latin America - an anthology. UCLA.1976: 267. Emphasis added.) 

32. (Paragraph 193) It is even conceivable (remotely) that the revolution might consist only of a massive change of attitudes toward technology resulting in a relatively gradual and painless disintegration of the industrial system. But if this happens we’ll be very lucky. It’s far more probably that the transition to a nontechnological society will be very difficult and full of conflicts and disasters.

'We're in a giant car heading towards a brick wall and everyone's arguing over where they're going to sit' ―David Suzuki 

33. (Paragraph 195) The economic and technological structure of a society are far more important than its political structure in determining the way the average man lives (see paragraphs 95, 119 and Notes 16, 18).

There is no substitute for energy. The whole edifice of modern society is built upon it. It is not "just another commodity" but the precondition of all commodities, a basic factor equal with air, water and earth. —E. F. Schumacher 

34. (Paragraph 215) This statement refers to our particular brand of anarchism. A wide variety of social attitudes have been called “anarchist,” and it may be that many who consider themselves anarchists would not accept our statement of paragraph 215. It should be noted, by the way, that there is a nonviolent anarchist movement whose members probably would not accept FC as anarchist and certainly would not approve of FC’s violent methods.

It is quite possible to graduate from Stanford— arguably one of the best universities in the world— without knowing anything of significance about the impacts of population growth, the second law of thermodynamics, ecosystem services, total fertility rates, how the climate works, externalities, exponential growth, the food system, the biology of race, nuclear winter, the limits to growth, Federalism, the history of fascism, or many other topics of critical importance to modern citizens. —Paul & Anne Ehrlich 

35. (Paragraph 219) Many leftists are motivated also by hostility, but the hostility probably results in part from a frustrated need for power.

Theodore John Kaczynski, Industrial Society and its Future 1995. 

36. (Paragraph 229) It is important to understand that we mean someone who sympathizes with these MOVEMENTS as they exist today in our society. One who believes that women, homosexuals, etc., should have equal rights is not necessary a leftist. The feminist, gay rights, etc., movements that exist in our society have the particular ideological tone that characterizes leftism, and if one believes, for example, that women should have equal rights it does not necessarily follow that one must sympathize with the feminist movement as it exists today.

 

Postscript to The Manifesto

The Manifesto, Industrial Society and its Future, has been criticized as "unoriginal," but this misses the point. The Manifesto was never intended to be original. Its purpose was to set forth certain points about modern technology in clear and relatively brief form, so that those points could be read and understood by people who would never work their way through a difficult text such as Jacques Ellul's Technological Society.

The accusation of originality is in any case irrelevant. Is it important for the future of the world to know whether Ted Kaczynski is original or unoriginal? Obviously not! But it is indeed important for the future of the world to know whether modern technology has us on the road to disaster, whether anything short of revolution can avert that disaster, and whether the political left is an obstacle to revolution. So why have critics, for the most part, ignored the substance of the arguments raised in the Manifesto and wasted words on matters of negligible importance, such as the author's putative lack of originality and the defects of his style? Clearly, the critics can't answer the substance of the Manifesto's reasoning, so they try to divert their own and others' attention from its arguments by attacking irrelevant aspects of the Manifesto.

One doesn't need to be original to recognize that technological progress is taking us down the road to disaster, and that nothing short of the overthrow of the entire technological system will get us off that road. In other words, only by accepting a massive disaster now can we avoid a far worse disaster later. But most of our intellectuals-and here I use that term in a broad sense-prefer not to face up to this frightening dilemma because, after all, they arc not very brave, and they find it more comfortable to spend their time perfecting society's solutions to problems left over from the 19th century, such as those of social inequality, colonialism, cruelty to animals, and the like.

I haven't read everything that's been written on the technology problem, and it's possible that the Manifesto may have been preceded by some other text that expounded the problem in equally brief and accessible form. But even so it would not follow that the Manifesto was superfluous. However familiar its points may be to social scientists, those points still have not come to the attention of many other people who ought to be aware of them. More importantly, the available knowledge on this subject is not being applied. I don't think many of our intellectuals nowadays would deny that there is a technology problem, but nearly all of them decline to address it. At best they discuss particular problems created by technological progress, such as global warming or the spread of nuclear weapons. The technology problem as a whole is simply ignored.

It follows that the facts about technological progress and its consequences for society cannot be repeated too often. Even the most intelligent people may refuse to face up to a painful truth until it has been drummed into their heads again and again.

I should add that, as with the Manifesto, no claim of originality is made for this book as a whole. The fact that I've cited authority for many of the ideas about human society that are presented here shows that those ideas are not new, and probably most of the other ideas too have previously appeared somewhere in print.

If there is anything new in my approach, it is that I've taken revolution seriously as a practical proposition. Many radical environmentalists and "green" anarchists talk of revolution, but as far as I am aware none of them have shown any understanding of how real revolutions come about, nor do they seem to grasp the fact that the exclusive target of revolution must be technology itself, not racism, sexism, or homophobia. A very few serious thinkers have suggested revolution against the technological system; for example, Ellul, in his Autopsy of Revolution. But Ellul only dreams of a revolution that would result from a vaguely defined, spontaneous spiritual transformation of society, and he comes very close to admitting that the proposed spiritual transformation is impossible. I on the other hand think it plausible that the preconditions for revolution may be developing in modern society, and I mean a real revolution, not fundamentally different in character from other revolutions that have occurred in the past. But this revolution will not become a reality without a well-defined revolutionary movement guided by suitable leaders-leaders who have a rational understanding of what they arc doing, not enraged adolescents acting solely on the basis of emotion.


 


Postscript to Comments

Of special interest to me is paragraph 4, "This is not to be a POLITICAL revolution. Its object will be to overthrow not governments but the economic and technological basis of the present society." This is singing my song, but at many elsewheres the language (social construct) and plan looks like a duck, quacks like a duck, and all prior examples of what might work are ducks, so the plan of the hoped to come forth revolutionaries, the mass movement, looks like political revolution as usual. But that a political revolution is not envisioned, even if some outlying would-be revolutionaries are political ideologues as usual, is clearly stated. The means of bring about the needed change, the ending, the destruction of MTI society so humans may have a future, may be transitionally 'political', but any ongoing viable civilization would have to be profoundly non-MTI/BAU which implies an apolitical control system that excludes ideologue true believers including the religious. There will remain a need for policies, and humans will have religious concerns and engage in religious inquiry, but for a non-BAU empire building complex society to persist as the millennia pass, a foundationally different control system must be envisioned and tested.

Also in paragraph 4, "But we do outline in a very general way the measures that those who hate the industrial system should take in order to prepare the way for a revolution against that form of society. " This is perhaps the major point of departure for me. I endeavor to understand the empire-building dynamic as a system's pathology, as an oncologist seeks to understand cancer. And, yes, neither MTI society nor cancer is an evolvable structure, but causes harm and/or destruction of the system it consumes. I am not opposed to ending cancer because I believe cancer has rights. I don't think humans do either. If humanity cannot transition to a viable and evolvable form, cannot give up its carcinogenic ways, then extinction is the solution I don't need to work to make happen. In short, I do not hate MTI society. To hate something is not to be delivered from it. A solution that depends on a call to hatred is part of the problem. Understand the dysfunctional system you are a product of and serve. And choiselessly be delivered from it.

Perhaps once a cadre of high-functioning revolutionaries who were apolitical emerged after reading and thinking better about industrial society and its dysfunctional future if it persists came together and auto-organized a plan to destroy the MTI metastasizing growth hegemon, as a team of oncologists might a cancer, then a society based on a better view would emerge. Mentioning what that might be would be in the manifesto would be a distraction as readers could not meaningfully think thoughts that follow the realization that the MTI system is not remotely sustainable, which is wholly outside the current consensus view, or any group's domain of discourse.

That too few, if any, revolutionaries were forthcoming following the successful publication in mainstream media of a manifesto for change was not known in 1995, nor in the 1970s when the realization that MTI society was an existential threat to humanity and the biosphere, such that the only viable course of action for someone without money or high status in MTI society, was to make them self impossible to ignore, impossible to stop, such that an offer to stop if a manifesto was published by one or more mainstream 'respectable' media outlets was agreed to. The authorities would be unable to foresee the possible outcome of widespread reading of the manifesto.

No one could have been prescient enough. There was a chance some fraction of one percent of readers would realize that the only viable alternative to MTI society would be incompatible with it. That the nature of that alternative, to replace the hegemon after it was brought down, was not detailed is understandable as pre-take-down, of no interest to the teeming billions. The apolitical revolutionaries would realize that that subject of obvious interest would be discussed after the few self-selected into the anti-tech revolution. Or I'm just imagining things like everybody else. Maybe Ted was never able to put his thoughts on what the non-MTI system would be like, what 'rules of the game' it would follow.

Maybe he couldn't, but I can and have a detailed vision for a viable complex society (aka civilization). But nobody can or will read beyond more than a few words. Maybe if I kill a few people and make the FBI's Top 10 List, then..., never mind, didn't work, who could have known, so try something else. I could probably never figure out how to make bombs that worked (at times), so something else may be the better idea.

Down with MTI democracy, autocracy, and everything between. Up with naturocracy just because it might actually work, bitches, unlike all the others.


 

When thinking about modern techno-industrial humans, some words that apply seem to have a core idea embedded in them.

overcarry overcrowd overexploit overindulge overproduction oversize
overcentralization overdensity overfish overkill overpulse oversocialized
overcomplex overdevelop overgraze overlord overpower overstimulated
overconfident overdiverse overgrow overload overreach overstressed
overconsume overeat overgrowth overoccupy overschooled overweight
overcontrol overeducate overharvest overorganization oversell overwhelming
overcrop overenthusiastic overhunt overpopulate overshoot overwork

Welcome, for a time, to the Overcene.

 

SUBNOTE TO FILE: 6/10/23

I heard Ted died today and published the above as a Medium post I had created about two weeks before. I knew he had been transferred to hospise care some months ago and that his death at 81 was the foreseeable outcome. I added:

Ted is dead. Long live the impulse to renormalize humanity, starting with one’s self, by destroying modern technoindustrial society, one mind at a time if you have to.

 


 

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